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Umea W vs Eskilstuna W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:15
Final 70-80
17-22 23-15 16-16 14-27
Position#17
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.1
Allowed / game65.7
Umea W
Sweden
vs
Eskilstuna W 🏆
Sweden
Position#14
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game64.5
SwedenBasketettan W· Umea Energi Arena (Umea)
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eskilstuna W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Umea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
KFUM Uppsala W
#24
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
A02/04
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
32avg 47
A16/09
Basketettan W
KFUM Uppsala W
#21
W
85-56
85
56
+29
78avg 47
A17/09
Basketettan W
Blackeberg W
#13
L
57-69
57
69
-12
51avg 47
H24/09
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
75-46
75
46
+29
70avg 47
H01/10
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 47
A07/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
64avg 47
A08/10
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#1
L
43-86
43
86
-43
22avg 47
A14/10
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
L
42-50
42
50
-8
26avg 47
H21/10
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
45-60
45
60
-15
27avg 47
A29/10
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
18-18
23-15
19-17
12-16
7-22
11-19
15-8
18-14
20-13
32-11
15-18
17-12
14-13
14-22
12-22
26-12
13-12
15-14
21-8
18-25
19-25
16-22
15-23
19-27
17-15
21-12
15-10
13-21
6-27
6-13
18-25
15-8
7-18
17-14
3-10
12-19
12-22
12-12
9-7
126.6Avg total
61.1Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)59.165.7124.8-6.633%
Season at home (3)58.055.0113.0+3.033%
Season away (6)59.771.0130.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)61.165.5126.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)54.071.0125.0-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.476.1136.5-15.727%
vs Similar (5)66.862.8129.6+4.040%
vs Weaker (10)69.956.7126.6+13.280%
This opponent (Eskilstuna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eskilstuna WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hammarby W
#15
W
59-55
59
55
+4
no box
H04/03
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A12/03
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#6
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H25/03
Basketettan W
Norrkoping 2 W
#22
W
66-39
66
39
+27
no box
H15/04
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
74avg 70
H17/09
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 70
A23/09
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#5
L
52-57
52
57
-5
38avg 70
A30/09
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
W
77-68
77
68
+9
67avg 70
H08/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
L
66-76
66
76
-10
69avg 70
A22/10
Basketettan W
Norrort W
#25
W
95-34
95
34
+61
96avg 70
H28/10
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-12
11-15
16-10
16-18
11-18
19-17
23-13
17-21
27-9
21-26
7-16
12-11
17-7
15-11
22-10
18-15
19-32
20-21
15-14
18-12
19-27
21-10
22-21
15-6
9-18
11-12
17-21
27-18
14-13
19-18
17-19
16-23
18-14
12-17
20-22
23-11
22-6
14-14
36-3
135.4Avg total
72.0Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.764.5138.2+9.250%
Season at home (3)81.361.3142.7+20.067%
Season away (3)66.067.7133.7-1.733%
Last 10 (10)72.063.4135.4+8.660%
Last 5 (5)74.061.0135.0+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.473.6133.9-13.221%
vs Similar (7)59.769.7129.4-10.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.251.2127.4+25.089%
This opponent (Umea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
Umea WEskilstuna W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Umea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Uppsala W
#24
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A02/04
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#5
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A16/09
Basketettan W
KFUM Uppsala W
#21
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A17/09
Basketettan W
Blackeberg W
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H24/09
Basketettan W
Ostersund 2 W
#26
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H01/10
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/10
Basketettan W
RIG Lulea W
#1
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A14/10
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H21/10
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A29/10
Basketettan W
65.5Avg total
30.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.734.766.4-3.145%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.233.466.6-0.262%-
Last 30 away (16)30.435.866.2-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)30.235.365.5-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.641.469.0-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.739.468.1-10.621%-
vs Similar (5)30.432.062.4-1.640%-
vs Weaker (10)36.429.666.0+6.880%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eskilstuna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hammarby W
#15
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H04/03
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#8
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A12/03
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/03
Basketettan W
Norrkoping 2 W
#22
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H15/04
Basketettan W
Lulea Stars W
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H17/09
Basketettan W
Alvik 2 W
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/09
Basketettan W
Tureberg W
#5
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A30/09
Basketettan W
Lulea 2 W
#20
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/10
Basketettan W
Hammarby W
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/10
Basketettan W
Norrort W
#25
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H28/10
Basketettan W
65.9Avg total
35.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.632.964.6-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.432.466.8+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)28.533.662.1-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)35.030.965.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.665.8+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.935.965.7-6.021%-
vs Similar (7)29.434.363.7-4.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.127.363.4+8.878%-
This opponent (Umea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea W: 58.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
55%
28%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.014.2
36.5%
40.9%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.6
26.8%
26.7%19.7
🏀 Free throws15.410.4
67.6%
65.1%10.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eskilstuna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna W: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
55%
28%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.021.3
42.7%
40.9%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.0
33.9%
26.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.7%
65.1%11.0
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea W
LLLWLWLWLW
Eskilstuna W
WLWLWLWLWW
#17
League position
#14
-9.4
Net rating
+11.6
74.2
Offensive rating
89.6
83.6
Defensive rating
78.0
37.9%
Effective FG%
45.0%
41.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.3%
27.8%
Turnover %
28.0%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
39.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
26.8%
3-point %
33.9%
58.3%
Assist %
74.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence74.2 · 89.6Defence83.6 · 78.0Shooting37.9% · 45.0%3-point %26.8% · 33.9%Ball care27.8% · 28.0%Off. rebounds30.3% · 39.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Umea W   ■ Eskilstuna W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Umea W wins
0
Eskilstuna W wins
No previous meetings.
Umea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ALulea Stars W45-60
21/10/23HLulea 2 W42-50
14/10/23ARIG Lulea W43-86
08/10/23AHammarby W72-64
07/10/23AAlvik 2 W68-95
01/10/23HOstersund 2 W75-46
24/09/23HBlackeberg W57-69
17/09/23AKFUM Uppsala W85-56
16/09/23ATureberg W45-65
02/04/23AKFUM Uppsala W79-64
Eskilstuna Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HNorrort W95-34
22/10/23AHammarby W66-76
08/10/23HLulea 2 W77-68
30/09/23ATureberg W52-57
23/09/23AAlvik 2 W80-70
17/09/23HLulea Stars W72-82
15/04/23HNorrkoping 2 W66-39
25/03/23HHuddinge W84-87 OT
12/03/23AOnsala W69-66
04/03/23HHammarby W59-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea W
Basketettan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game59.158.059.7
Allowed / game65.755.071.0
Point differential-6.6+3.0-11.3
Avg total124.8113.0130.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eskilstuna W
Basketettan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game73.781.366.0
Allowed / game64.561.367.7
Point differential+9.2+20.0-1.7
Avg total138.2142.7133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas Malmo W660100%70.844.5+26.3
2 Onsala W550100%72.863.4+9.4
3 RIG Lulea W76186%75.160.7+14.4
4 Lidingo W54180%76.258.0+18.2
5 Tureberg W108280%66.254.3+11.9
6 Lulea Stars W54180%69.659.8+9.8
7 Alvik 2 W97278%83.964.7+19.2
8 KFUM Kalmar W86275%75.563.2+12.2
9 Brahe W64267%64.755.5+9.2
10 RIG Mark W53260%62.656.0+6.6
11 Hammarby W74357%68.364.0+4.3
12 Blackeberg W84450%77.860.4+17.4
13 Fryshuset Basket W84450%72.261.0+11.2
14 Eskilstuna W63350%73.764.5+9.2
15 IK Eos Utveckling W63350%71.869.3+2.5
16 Kvarnby Lions W73443%70.368.1+2.1
17 Lobas W52340%59.648.2+11.4
18 Sodertalje 2 W83538%57.869.2-11.5
19 Umea W93633%59.165.7-6.6
20 Lulea 2 W82625%56.966.6-9.8
21 KFUM Uppsala W82625%61.974.9-13.0
22 Huddinge W61517%43.863.2-19.3
23 Team4Q W71614%47.375.1-27.9
24 Ostersund 2 W91811%44.487.0-42.6
25 Haga Norrkoping W5050%22.837.8-15.0
26 Norrort W5050%45.690.2-44.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Umea W1723161470
Eskilstuna W2215162780
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