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UMKC W vs Baker Wildcats W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 120-40
31-9 31-8 33-15 25-8
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UMKC W 🏆
USA
Vs
58%
42%
■ UMKC 58%■ BAKE 42%
Pythia win probability
Projected 70-68
Projected total 138.3
Position#327
Record-
Form-
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
UMKC W host Baker Wildcats W in the NCAA Women. Pythia makes UMKC W the favourite at 58% and projects 70-68, about 138 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC W winWon
58.1%fair 1.72
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baker Wildcats W winLost
41.9%fair 2.39
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKC WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota State Jackrabbits W
#34
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H24/01
NCAA Women
Nebraska O. W
#349
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A31/01
NCAA Women
North Dakota St W
#24
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H06/02
NCAA Women
North Dakota W
#348
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H07/02
NCAA Women
South Dakota W
#81
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A13/02
NCAA Women
South Dakota State Jackrabbits W
#34
L
40-93
40
93
-53
A14/02
NCAA Women
Denver W
#276
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H19/02
NCAA Women
Oral Roberts W
#201
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H21/02
NCAA Women
St. Thomas (Minn.) W
#209
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A26/02
NCAA Women
South Dakota State Jackrabbits W
#34
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A05/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
12-16
17-19
10-15
22-17
17-4
11-22
10-16
15-18
9-23
13-17
12-16
12-15
16-15
15-16
15-22
13-2
13-20
15-15
15-19
10-32
7-22
11-16
12-23
18-11
10-26
14-19
21-23
17-15
18-20
16-20
17-15
20-14
14-21
14-14
23-24
5-17
10-15
22-26
24-17
133.5Avg total
59.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)59.873.7133.5-13.910%
Last 5 (5)60.678.0138.6-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)59.874.2134.0-14.46%
vs Similar (5)65.076.2141.2-11.20%
vs Weaker (6)74.064.3138.3+9.767%
Baker Wildcats WUSALast 10 – points for & against
No recent games.
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10no games
Last 5no games
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 126Actual: Over 126
Over 126
77.5%
Under 126
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Over 131
Over 131
67.0%
Under 131
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Over 136
Over 136
55.1%
Under 136
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

UMKC W total 66.5Actual: UMKC W over 66.5
Over 66.5
64.5%
Under 66.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMKC W total 70.5Actual: UMKC W over 70.5
Over 70.5
49.2%
Under 70.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UMKC W total 74.5Actual: UMKC W over 74.5
Over 74.5
34.0%
Under 74.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baker Wildcats W total 56.5Actual: Baker Wildcats W under 56.5
Over 56.5
86.8%
Under 56.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baker Wildcats W total 60.5Actual: Baker Wildcats W under 60.5
Over 60.5
76.6%
Under 60.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baker Wildcats W total 64.5Actual: Baker Wildcats W under 64.5
Over 64.5
63.1%
Under 64.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread UMKC W -3Actual: UMKC W -3
UMKC -3
49.1%
BAKE +3
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
UMKC
No market prices yet.
BAKE
No market prices yet.
Spread UMKC W 0Actual: UMKC W 0
UMKC 0
58.1%
BAKE 0
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
UMKC
No market prices yet.
BAKE
No market prices yet.
Spread UMKC W +3Actual: UMKC W +3
UMKC +3
67.0%
BAKE -3
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
UMKC
No market prices yet.
BAKE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1
UMKC WBaker Wildcats W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UMKC WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota State Jackrabbits W
#34
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H24/01
NCAA Women
Nebraska O. W
#349
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A31/01
NCAA Women
North Dakota St W
#24
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/02
NCAA Women
North Dakota W
#348
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H07/02
NCAA Women
South Dakota W
#81
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A13/02
NCAA Women
South Dakota State Jackrabbits W
#34
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A14/02
NCAA Women
Denver W
#276
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/02
NCAA Women
Oral Roberts W
#201
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/02
NCAA Women
St. Thomas (Minn.) W
#209
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A26/02
NCAA Women
South Dakota State Jackrabbits W
#34
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A05/03
NCAA Women
63.1Avg total
28.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.666.0-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.432.667.0+1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)30.534.565.0-4.147%-
Last 10 (10)28.234.963.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)25.838.664.4-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.335.864.1-7.524%-
vs Similar (5)31.835.267.0-3.460%-
vs Weaker (6)37.830.568.3+7.350%-
Baker Wildcats WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
No quarter scores for these games.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMKC W wins
0
Baker Wildcats W wins
No previous meetings.
UMKC Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26ASouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W61-75
26/02/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.) W71-73
21/02/26HOral Roberts W68-70
19/02/26HDenver W63-79
14/02/26ASouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W40-93
13/02/26ASouth Dakota W65-70 OT
07/02/26HNorth Dakota W58-68
06/02/26HNorth Dakota St W49-74
31/01/26ANebraska O. W60-59
24/01/26HSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W63-76
DateH/AOpponentScore

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Baker Wildcats W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Losses (last 0)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
2 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
3 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
4 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
5 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
6 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
7 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
8 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
9 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
10 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
11 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
12 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
13 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
14 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
15 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
16 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
17 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
18 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
19 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
20 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
21 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
22 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
23 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
24 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UMKC W31313325120
Baker Wildcats W9815840
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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