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UNC Asheville vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 59-80
25-46 34-34
Position#237
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#42
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H13/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H30/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H03/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
28-41
39-32
51-61
29-25
40-39
57-14
35-40
38-41
35-39
40-34
33-41
33-26
34-29
36-39
46-38
33-35
30-40
35-41
49-43
149.2Avg total
75.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.473.8149.2+1.640%
Season at home (6)78.369.2147.5+9.267%
Season away (4)71.080.8151.8-9.80%
Last 10 (10)75.473.8149.2+1.640%
Last 5 (5)74.474.4148.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.781.9160.6-3.129%
vs Similar (14)77.280.9158.1-3.643%
vs Weaker (9)81.766.7148.3+15.0100%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#291
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-50
41-31
50-26
30-35
41-29
43-43
29-36
44-36
37-33
43-55
36-34
40-32
41-20
46-32
37-40
37-42
47-23
41-42
35-31
45-25
148.8Avg total
79.3Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.871.2149.1+6.667%
Season at home (6)81.863.7145.5+18.2100%
Season away (6)73.878.8152.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)79.369.5148.8+9.870%
Last 5 (5)81.064.2145.2+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)72.771.4144.1+1.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.876.0157.8+5.868%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +3.7+3.7
UNC AshevilleSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
57-14
57
14
+43
H13/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
37.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.173.0+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.833.871.6+3.959%-
Last 30 away (13)35.839.074.8-3.223%-
Last 10 (10)37.032.169.1+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.336.774.0+0.643%-
vs Similar (14)35.339.374.6-4.036%-
vs Weaker (9)39.130.669.7+8.656%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington State
#291
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H14/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
38.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.333.773.0+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.531.974.4+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)35.635.871.4-0.264%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.270.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.229.668.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.933.169.0+2.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.334.574.8+5.873%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UNC Asheville wins
0
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HMiami (Ohio)87-90 OT
06/12/25ANC State63-75
03/12/25HNC Greensboro82-77
30/11/25HAppalachian State67-55
25/11/25HTennessee State73-75
20/11/25AWestern Carolina73-80
13/11/25HBryan92-54
11/11/25HLipscomb69-64
08/11/25AGeorgia Southern90-93
05/11/25AWichita State58-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-56
07/12/25HWeber State88-65
04/12/25AMontana State74-82
30/11/25HLawrence University Vikings87-52
23/11/25APortland76-66
22/11/25ACS Fullerton80-88
22/11/25HNorthern Colorado73-72
15/11/25ASoutheast Missouri State84-72
14/11/25HWisc. Green Bay80-61
11/11/25AWashington State71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.478.371.0
Allowed / game73.869.280.8
Point differential+1.6+9.2-9.8
Avg total149.2147.5151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game77.881.873.8
Allowed / game71.263.778.8
Point differential+6.6+18.2-5.0
Avg total149.1145.5152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point108280%92.371.9+20.4
2 Charleston Southern127558%84.174.8+9.3
3 Winthrop116555%88.078.0+10.0
4 USC Upstate116555%79.769.9+9.8
5 Longwood116555%77.774.8+2.9
6 Radford115645%81.576.5+5.0
7 Presbyterian125742%65.669.1-3.5
8 UNC Asheville104640%75.473.8+1.6
9 Gardner Webb121118%69.189.3-20.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St118373%79.567.5+12.0
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)128467%77.871.2+6.6
3 South Dakota St.127558%74.265.9+8.3
4 South Dakota Coyotes115645%83.282.5+0.6
5 Denver115645%79.682.9-3.3
6 Nebraska O.125742%76.078.6-2.6
7 Oral Roberts114736%76.081.1-5.1
8 North Dakota124833%74.576.1-1.6
9 UMKC101910%66.281.6-15.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNC Asheville253459
St. Thomas (Minn.)463480
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