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Unicaja vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 79-74
26-13 25-24 14-18 14-19
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.3
Unicaja 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#9
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2018
Meetings · Unicaja v Crvena zvezda
08 Jan 2019
UNI79
CZV74
10 Nov 2017
UNI79
CZV65
18 Mar 2016
UNI72
CZV78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#22
W
111-76
111
76
+35
H21/11
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H24/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A08/12
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A12/12
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H16/12
ACB
Torino
#24
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H23/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A29/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A02/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H06/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
31-26
26-13
23-22
25-19
16-18
29-25
19-20
19-27
21-28
18-15
28-23
20-18
24-20
20-26
20-23
16-16
21-18
25-19
16-20
26-21
15-26
26-10
22-11
12-20
19-25
15-24
18-12
25-28
16-17
25-23
28-12
13-22
25-23
20-21
16-19
12-9
10-21
21-25
18-23
163.3Avg total
83.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.480.3169.6+9.173%
Season at home (5)93.672.8166.4+20.8100%
Season away (6)85.886.5172.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)83.080.3163.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.478.4154.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.882.8157.5-8.025%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.983.1168.0+1.862%
vs Weaker (14)90.979.4170.3+11.686%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A20/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H09/12
ABA League
Brescia
#19
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H12/12
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A15/12
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
A04/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
27-21
15-25
18-20
15-22
23-19
20-10
19-20
22-16
23-17
34-20
18-17
31-14
34-8
17-21
21-24
20-15
22-10
22-22
14-21
24-26
25-16
30-26
21-15
24-18
14-13
22-17
16-6
23-11
23-29
17-23
23-9
25-16
15-16
18-21
25-18
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
158.9Avg total
87.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.576.3158.8+6.364%
Season at home (6)86.873.0159.8+13.883%
Season away (5)77.480.2157.6-2.840%
Last 10 (10)87.671.3158.9+16.390%
Last 5 (5)88.269.2157.4+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.082.0161.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (23)86.169.7155.8+16.496%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
UnicajaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#22
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H21/11
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A08/12
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A12/12
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H16/12
ACB
Torino
#24
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H19/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H23/12
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H06/01
ACB
81.4Avg total
39.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.681.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.179.6+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.283.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.781.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.642.477.0-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.442.478.8-6.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.541.180.6-1.638%-
vs Weaker (14)44.739.484.1+5.464%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A20/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H09/12
ABA League
Brescia
#19
W
65-22
65
22
+43
H12/12
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A15/12
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A19/12
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/12
ABA League
Limoges
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
80.5Avg total
46.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.035.380.4+9.787%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.435.983.3+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)42.734.777.4+7.980%-
Last 10 (10)46.234.380.5+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.280.2+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.740.080.7+0.783%-
vs Weaker (23)46.433.880.2+12.691%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.2
54.2%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.716.2
82.2%
74.9%16.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.6
59.7%
51.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.7
42.1%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.6
71.2%
74.9%13.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
LLWLWWLLWW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#9
+4.6
Net rating
+22.4
115.0
Offensive rating
119.7
110.4
Defensive rating
97.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
61.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
42.1%
68.1%
Assist %
66.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 119.7Defence110.4 · 97.2Shooting53.9% · 61.2%3-point %35.7% · 42.1%Ball care16.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Unicaja   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Unicaja wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
02/03/18Crvena zvezda v Unicaja80-76
10/11/17Unicaja v Crvena zvezda79-65
18/03/16Unicaja v Crvena zvezda72-78
22/01/16Crvena zvezda v Unicaja87-73
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HTenerife61-78
02/01/19AValencia74-85
29/12/18AGipuzkoa94-80
23/12/18HBaskonia64-81
19/12/18HTorino89-68
16/12/18HBarcelona78-73
12/12/18AUnics Kazan84-87
08/12/18AJoventut Badalona86-93
24/11/18HMurcia89-82
21/11/18HMornar Bar111-76
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66
02/01/19HLimoges83-71
30/12/18HBuducnost86-72
22/12/18ACibona76-54
19/12/18AGalatasaray100-83
15/12/18AMega Bemax78-68
12/12/18HBrescia103-67
09/12/18HZadar97-70
24/11/18APartizan77-71
20/11/18AMoraBanc Andorra80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game89.493.685.8
Allowed / game80.372.886.5
Point differential+9.1+20.8-0.7
Avg total169.6166.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game82.586.877.4
Allowed / game76.373.080.2
Point differential+6.3+13.8-2.8
Avg total158.8159.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1110191%84.075.4+8.6
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1210283%84.975.2+9.8
3 Valencia119282%84.675.7+8.9
4 Unicaja118373%89.480.3+9.1
5 Alba Berlin118373%89.183.5+5.6
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne118373%78.073.1+4.9
7 Crvena zvezda117464%82.576.3+6.3
8 MoraBanc Andorra117464%87.084.1+2.9
9 Monaco117464%79.176.4+2.7
10 Ulm116555%83.582.2+1.4
11 Rytas116555%78.578.2+0.4
12 Frankfurt126650%76.077.8-1.8
13 Cedevita115645%84.983.5+1.5
14 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
15 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
16 Zenit Petersburg114736%84.083.1+0.9
17 Partizan114736%75.577.4-1.9
18 Limoges114736%80.884.5-3.6
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja2625141479
Crvena zvezda1324181974
← all games of the day
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