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USC vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-85
38-42 36-43
Position#215
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game68.4
USC
USA
vs
Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#44
Record10-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · USC v Michigan
23 Jan 2027
USC v MICH
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
USC74
MICH85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H18/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H25/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
36-71
36
71
-35
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A30/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/12
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H16/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-42
23-29
42-35
40-33
37-38
43-31
21-32
15-39
30-39
43-44
30-23
30-45
51-25
34-36
47-21
42-42
40-39
50-30
41-27
41-24
141.7Avg total
74.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.468.4144.8+8.069%
Season at home (11)75.967.7143.6+8.273%
Season away (2)79.072.0151.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)74.367.4141.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)81.262.4143.6+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.269.9139.1-0.838%
vs Similar (14)75.772.8148.5+2.964%
vs Weaker (3)77.772.0149.7+5.767%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
50-31
40-30
32-19
34-33
41-30
41-30
37-23
26-32
41-32
40-37
45-46
49-45
38-44
43-38
43-49
54-29
35-29
59-31
53-33
152.2Avg total
84.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.066.6150.6+17.477%
Season at home (10)88.066.7154.7+21.380%
Season away (3)70.766.3137.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)84.567.7152.2+16.880%
Last 5 (5)91.876.2168.0+15.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.279.3144.5-14.112%
vs Similar (8)85.969.2155.1+16.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.062.4143.4+18.680%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +7.9+7.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +7.9+7.9
USCMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H25/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H16/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/12
NCAA
70.3Avg total
38.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.570.4+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.932.669.4+4.372%-
Last 30 away (12)34.237.571.8-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.232.170.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.827.068.8+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.931.264.2+1.769%-
vs Similar (14)37.737.975.6-0.150%-
vs Weaker (3)39.733.373.0+6.333%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/12
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/12
NCAA
77.1Avg total
43.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.973.2+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.635.578.1+7.178%-
Last 30 away (12)29.536.465.9-6.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.177.1+8.990%-
Last 5 (5)49.036.085.0+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.237.971.1-4.635%-
vs Similar (8)43.934.178.0+9.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.031.872.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
USC wins
0
Michigan wins
No previous meetings.
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HSouthern Univ.82-51
19/12/24HCS Northridge90-69
16/12/24HMontana State89-63
07/12/24AWashington85-61
05/12/24HOregon60-68
30/11/24ANew Mexico73-83
29/11/24HSt. Marys (CA)36-71
25/11/24HGrambling St.80-69
21/11/24HSan Jose State82-68
18/11/24HCalifornia66-71
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HWestern Kentucky112-64
22/12/24HIPFW89-58
19/12/24HOklahoma86-87
11/12/24HArkansas87-89
07/12/24HIowa85-83
04/12/24AWisconsin67-64
28/11/24HXavier78-53
25/11/24AVirginia Tech75-63
22/11/24HTarleton72-49
18/11/24HMiami (Ohio)94-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %69%73%50%
Points / game76.475.979.0
Allowed / game68.467.772.0
Point differential+8.0+8.2+7.0
Avg total144.8143.6151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW77%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %77%80%67%
Points / game84.088.070.7
Allowed / game66.666.766.3
Point differential+17.4+21.3+4.3
Avg total150.6154.7137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State1412286%87.967.9+20.0
2 Michigan State1412286%81.166.7+14.4
3 Nebraska1412286%76.964.6+12.3
4 Oregon1412286%79.468.7+10.6
5 Maryland1411379%85.962.1+23.9
6 UCLA1411379%76.059.2+16.8
7 Wisconsin1411379%83.971.9+12.0
8 Indiana1411379%79.170.2+8.9
9 Illinois1310377%88.266.5+21.7
10 Michigan1310377%84.066.6+17.4
11 Iowa1410471%89.477.1+12.2
12 Northwestern1410471%75.065.3+9.7
13 Purdue1410471%77.370.4+6.9
14 USC139469%76.468.4+8.0
15 Washington139469%74.069.1+4.9
16 Ohio State149564%81.369.8+11.5
17 Rutgers148657%79.375.0+4.3
18 Minnesota148657%67.465.1+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC383674
Michigan424385
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