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Utah State vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 88-67
37-31 51-36
Position#28
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#282
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
67-106
67
106
-39
A24/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
101-46
101
46
+55
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#677
W
117-53
117
53
+64
H14/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-49
34-57
52-14
49-32
52-39
51-35
65-25
52-28
49-35
46-48
33-37
44-32
25-30
47-37
23-25
38-32
32-29
38-38
42-28
50-34
153.9Avg total
85.5Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.664.2151.8+23.3100%
Season at home (6)96.364.2160.5+32.2100%
Season away (3)70.064.3134.3+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.568.4153.9+17.190%
Last 5 (5)74.464.4138.8+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.0106.0173.0-39.00%
vs Similar (13)75.376.8152.1-1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.566.9151.5+17.6100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H24/03
NIT
Florida
#6
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H13/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-32
0-0
35-38
0-0
40-39
0-0
43-59
0-0
32-33
0-0
39-53
0-0
50-34
0-0
35-35
0-0
37-24
0-0
37-31
0-0
38-33
0-0
36-35
0-0
33-51
0-0
55-44
0-0
32-34
0-0
41-38
0-0
35-29
0-0
39-43
0-0
38-35
0-0
34-39
151.8Avg total
75.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.176.6153.7+0.656%
Season at home (4)80.272.8153.0+7.575%
Season away (5)74.679.6154.2-5.040%
Last 10 (10)75.975.9151.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)76.276.2152.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.089.0170.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)73.371.1144.4+2.278%
vs Weaker (17)75.868.1143.9+7.882%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
Utah StateSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A24/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#677
W
65-25
65
25
+40
H14/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H08/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
40.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.672.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.631.572.1+9.178%-
Last 30 away (12)34.539.373.8-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)40.631.171.7+9.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.029.860.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.049.082.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.537.872.4-3.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.831.571.3+8.373%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H24/03
NIT
Florida
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H13/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H22/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A07/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
36.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.470.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.134.572.6+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)34.734.268.9+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.470.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.471.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.041.778.7-4.767%-
vs Similar (9)33.634.367.9-0.833%-
vs Weaker (17)37.033.170.1+3.965%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utah State wins
0
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
19/12/19South Florida v Utah State74-76 OT
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HUtah Tech92-62
05/12/24HWyoming70-67
29/11/24ANorth Texas61-57
28/11/24ASt. Bonaventure72-67
23/11/24AIowa77-69
19/11/24HMontana95-83
14/11/24HWestminster UT117-53
09/11/24HCharlotte103-74
07/11/24HAlcorn State101-46
24/03/24APurdue67-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ALoyola Chicago72-74
04/12/24HStetson74-72
24/11/24AWright State73-72
22/11/24HMiddle Tenn. St.88-95
21/11/24APortland74-68
16/11/24HWest Georgia74-55
13/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff85-69
09/11/24ACharleston71-86
05/11/24AFlorida83-98
24/03/24HVCU Rams65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.696.370.0
Allowed / game64.264.264.3
Point differential+23.3+32.2+5.7
Avg total151.8160.5134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game77.180.274.6
Allowed / game76.672.879.6
Point differential+0.6+7.5-5.0
Avg total153.7153.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State990100%87.664.2+23.3
2 San Diego State97278%75.764.7+11.0
3 Grand Canyon86275%81.872.6+9.1
4 Nevada107370%75.065.6+9.4
5 New Mexico107370%84.476.4+8.0
6 Boise State96367%80.868.3+12.4
7 Colorado State95456%74.270.2+4.0
8 Wyoming95456%74.473.9+0.6
9 UNLV84450%72.972.6+0.2
10 San Jose State115645%75.270.8+4.4
11 Air Force103730%65.367.5-2.2
12 Fresno State103730%72.380.4-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State108280%78.274.1+4.1
2 Memphis108280%81.177.1+4.0
3 Rice107370%70.366.3+4.0
4 North Texas96367%66.958.4+8.4
5 East Carolina117464%77.369.9+7.4
6 Florida Atlantic127558%86.176.8+9.2
7 Temple95456%80.977.0+3.9
8 Charlotte95456%72.170.8+1.3
9 South Florida95456%77.176.6+0.6
10 UAB105550%84.275.6+8.6
11 Tulane115645%73.867.3+6.5
12 UTSA Roadrunners94544%75.478.6-3.1
13 Tulsa114736%74.277.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State375188
South Florida313667
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