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Utah State W vs Westminster UT W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 71-66
Projected total 136.9
Final 61-45
16-11 17-15 14-13 14-6
Position#252
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Utah State W 🏆
USA
Vs
65%
35%
■ UTAH 65%■ WEST 35%
Pythia win probability
Westminster UT W
USA
Position#431
Record-
FormLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Utah State W faces Westminster UT W in the NCAA Women's competition on 2 November 2026, with the model favouring Utah State W and predicting a 65% chance of a home win versus 35% for Westminster UT W; the projected score is 71-66 and the total points are 136.9, giving a 5% chance of overtime. Utah State W has lost its last five games, including a 58-75 defeat to Grand Canyon W away on 7 March 2026, a 69-72 loss to Nevada W at home on 3 March 2026, and a 59-75 loss to Boise State W away on 28 February 2026, while Westminster UT W has also lost its last four, falling 70-81 to Utah Tech W away on 29 November 2025, 47-84 to Weber State W away on 8 November 2025 and 47-99 to Idaho State W away on 4 November 2025. The model projects Utah State W to score 71 points and Westminster UT W 66, with a modest 5% overtime probability.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State W winWon
65.4%fair 1.53
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Westminster UT W winLost
34.6%fair 2.89
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah State WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico W
#85
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A31/01
NCAA Women
Air Force W
#226
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A05/02
NCAA Women
UNLV Lady Rebels W
#104
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H07/02
NCAA Women
Fresno State Bulldogs W
#229
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H15/02
NCAA Women
San Jose State W
#366
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A19/02
NCAA Women
Grand Canyon W
#254
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A21/02
NCAA Women
New Mexico W
#85
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H26/02
NCAA Women
Boise State W
#61
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A28/02
NCAA Women
Nevada W
#301
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
H04/03
NCAA Women
Grand Canyon W
#254
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A08/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-19
11-17
9-4
6-18
14-12
6-20
15-23
15-18
14-15
21-15
14-22
11-19
12-12
9-21
18-19
20-21
10-13
12-22
15-9
19-14
12-12
11-13
8-15
12-23
10-10
13-22
17-21
14-16
12-13
15-15
17-23
15-24
12-16
21-15
16-24
16-10
19-15
14-16
16-23
9-21
122.8Avg total
54.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)54.168.7122.8-14.60%
Last 5 (5)56.670.8127.4-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)55.770.5126.2-14.99%
vs Similar (4)60.268.0128.2-7.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.857.2133.0+18.575%
This opponent (Westminster UT W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Westminster UT WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State W
#217
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A22/11
NCAA Women
Idaho State W
#121
L
47-99
47
99
-52
A05/11
NCAA Women
Weber State W
#290
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A08/11
NCAA Women
Utah Tech W
#308
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A29/11
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-33
14-12
4-13
17-6
14-27
15-22
8-29
10-21
10-18
8-24
16-18
13-24
17-22
15-15
16-26
22-18
133.8Avg total
51.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)51.882.0133.8-30.20%
Last 5 (4)51.882.0133.8-30.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)54.788.0142.7-33.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
74.8%
Under 126
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
63.9%
Under 131
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
51.7%
Under 136
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Utah State W total 66.5Actual: Utah State W under 66.5
Over 66.5
66.0%
Under 66.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utah State W total 70.5Actual: Utah State W under 70.5
Over 70.5
50.8%
Under 70.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utah State W total 74.5Actual: Utah State W under 74.5
Over 74.5
35.3%
Under 74.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Westminster UT W total 56.5Actual: Westminster UT W under 56.5
Over 56.5
82.7%
Under 56.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Westminster UT W total 60.5Actual: Westminster UT W under 60.5
Over 60.5
70.9%
Under 60.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Westminster UT W total 64.5Actual: Westminster UT W under 64.5
Over 64.5
56.3%
Under 64.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Utah State W -3Actual: Utah State W -3
UTAH -3
56.9%
WEST +3
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
No market prices yet.
WEST
No market prices yet.
Spread Utah State W 0Actual: Utah State W 0
UTAH 0
65.4%
WEST 0
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
No market prices yet.
WEST
No market prices yet.
Spread Utah State W +3Actual: Utah State W +3
UTAH +3
73.6%
WEST -3
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
UTAH
No market prices yet.
WEST
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -12.8-12.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -10.5-10.5Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -12.8-12.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -10.5-10.5Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Utah State WWestminster UT W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah State WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico W
#85
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A31/01
NCAA Women
Air Force W
#226
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A05/02
NCAA Women
UNLV Lady Rebels W
#104
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/02
NCAA Women
Fresno State Bulldogs W
#229
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H15/02
NCAA Women
San Jose State W
#366
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A19/02
NCAA Women
Grand Canyon W
#254
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A21/02
NCAA Women
New Mexico W
#85
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H26/02
NCAA Women
Boise State W
#61
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A28/02
NCAA Women
Nevada W
#301
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/03
NCAA Women
Grand Canyon W
#254
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A08/03
NCAA Women
56.8Avg total
25.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.832.159.8-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.132.163.2-0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)24.832.156.9-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)25.531.356.8-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)27.829.457.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)26.732.559.2-5.823%-
vs Similar (4)27.534.061.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)34.027.861.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Westminster UT W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Westminster UT WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State W
#217
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A22/11
NCAA Women
Idaho State W
#121
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A05/11
NCAA Women
Weber State W
#290
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A08/11
NCAA Women
Utah Tech W
#308
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A29/11
NCAA Women
68.5Avg total
25.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)25.243.268.5-18.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (4)25.243.268.5-18.00%-
Last 10 (4)25.243.268.5-18.00%-
Last 5 (4)25.243.268.5-18.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.342.769.0-16.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State W wins
0
Westminster UT W wins
No previous meetings.
Utah State Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AGrand Canyon W58-75
04/03/26HNevada W69-72 OT
28/02/26ABoise State W59-75
26/02/26HNew Mexico W54-69
21/02/26AGrand Canyon W43-63
19/02/26ASan Jose State W56-58
15/02/26HFresno State Bulldogs W59-73
07/02/26HUNLV Lady Rebels W60-71
05/02/26AAir Force W50-73
31/01/26ANew Mexico W33-58
Westminster UT Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AUtah Tech W70-81
08/11/25AWeber State W47-84
05/11/25AIdaho State W47-99
22/11/24AIdaho State W43-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Westminster UT W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
9 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
10 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
11 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
12 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
13 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
14 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
15 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
16 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
17 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
18 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
20 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
21 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
22 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
23 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
24 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
25 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
26 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
27 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
28 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
29 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
30 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
31 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
32 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
33 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
34 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
35 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
36 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
37 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
38 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
39 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
40 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
41 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
42 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
44 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
45 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
46 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
47 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
48 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
49 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
50 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
51 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
52 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
53 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
54 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
55 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
56 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
57 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
58 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
59 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
60 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
61 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
62 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
63 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
64 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
65 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
66 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
67 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
68 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
70 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
71 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
72 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
73 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
74 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
75 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
76 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
77 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
78 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
79 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
80 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
81 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
82 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
83 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
84 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
85 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
86 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
87 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
88 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
89 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
90 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
91 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
93 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
94 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
95 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
96 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
97 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
98 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
99 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
100 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
101 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
102 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 102 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah State W1617141461
Westminster UT W111513645
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