Utah Utes will host Long Beach State on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that Pythia predicts will favour the Utes, who have a 63% chance of winning and a projected score of 76-72, giving a total of 147.4 points; the Utes are the model favourite. The Utes have gone 0-5 in their last five games, losing to Cincinnati 66-73 away on 10 March, to Baylor 75-101 away on 7 March, and to Colorado 78-92 at home on 3 March, while Long Beach State has gone 2-3 in its last five, beating Hawaii 84-75 away on 7 March, losing to UC Davis 70-76 at home on 5 March, and beating CSU Bakersfield 88-87 away on 28 February. The spread line is -19.5 for Utah with only a 9% chance of covering, and the total line is 147.0 with a 50% probability of the over. The game carries a 5% chance of overtime. The Utes' projected 76 points will be enough to edge Long Beach State by four points, a margin that matches the spread's expectation.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 64.6 | 74.9 | 139.5 | -10.3 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.6 | 82.8 | 150.4 | -15.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 72.0 | 79.2 | 151.2 | -7.3 | 26% |
| vs Similar (7) | 78.3 | 77.9 | 156.1 | +0.4 | 29% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.0 | 81.0 | 157.0 | -5.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.0 | 83.6 | 165.6 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 71.8 | 78.0 | 149.8 | -6.2 | 11% |
| vs Similar (7) | 78.1 | 80.9 | 159.0 | -2.7 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 90.0 | 72.0 | 162.0 | +18.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.7 | 38.9 | 74.6 | -3.3 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.5 | 39.4 | 76.9 | -1.9 | 44% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 33.6 | 38.4 | 71.9 | -4.8 | 21% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.0 | 37.9 | 66.9 | -8.9 | 10% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.6 | 41.6 | 68.2 | -15.0 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 34.7 | 39.0 | 73.7 | -4.3 | 30% | 65% |
| vs Similar (7) | 38.7 | 38.7 | 77.4 | +0.0 | 43% | 71% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.9 | 36.7 | 71.6 | -1.8 | 40% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 36.2 | 35.2 | 71.4 | +1.1 | 50% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 33.4 | 38.4 | 71.8 | -5.1 | 29% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.6 | 38.2 | 73.8 | -2.6 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 40.4 | 80.4 | -0.4 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 32.0 | 37.1 | 69.1 | -5.1 | 28% | 44% |
| vs Similar (7) | 37.6 | 36.4 | 74.0 | +1.1 | 43% | 71% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 41.6 | 35.6 | 77.2 | +6.0 | 80% | 80% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State +12 | 77.2% | 3.70 | 3.70 | - | - | - | - | +51.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +13 | 79.8% | 3.25 | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | +51.2pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +11.5 | 75.1% | 3.75 | 3.75 | - | - | - | - | +50.4pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +14 | 82.2% | 2.90 | 2.90 | - | - | - | - | +50.3pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +12.5 | 77.8% | 3.28 | 3.35 | 3.20 | - | - | - | +49.6pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +13.5 | 80.3% | 3.00 | 3.05 | 2.95 | - | - | - | +49.4pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +15 | 84.3% | 2.65 | 2.65 | - | - | - | - | +49.3pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +14.5 | 82.6% | 2.72 | 2.72 | 2.72 | - | - | - | +48.7pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +15.5 | 84.7% | 2.52 | 2.55 | 2.50 | - | - | - | +48.0pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +16 | 86.3% | 2.40 | 2.40 | - | - | - | - | +47.5pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +16.5 | 86.6% | 2.31 | 2.32 | 2.30 | - | - | - | +46.6pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +17 | 88.1% | 2.22 | 2.22 | - | - | - | - | +46.5pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +17.5 | 88.3% | 2.19 | 2.29 | 2.15 | 2.12 | - | - | +46.4pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +18 | 89.6% | 2.12 | 2.19 | 2.05 | - | - | - | +45.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +18.5 | 89.8% | 2.04 | 2.10 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 2.00 | - | +44.2pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +19 | 91.0% | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.92 | - | - | +43.1pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +19.5 | 91.1% | 1.88 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.85 | +40.8pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +20 | 92.3% | 1.80 | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.79 | - | - | +39.3pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +20.5 | 92.4% | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.73 | - | +37.2pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +21 | 93.3% | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | - | +36.2pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +22 | 94.3% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +35.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +22.5 | 94.3% | 1.56 | 1.57 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +35.2pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +21.5 | 93.4% | 1.64 | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.62 | - | - | +34.4pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +23 | 95.1% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +33.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +23.5 | 95.2% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +32.7pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 81.5 | 71.9% | 2.33 | 2.38 | 2.35 | 2.27 | - | - | +32.3pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +24 | 95.8% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +30.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State +24.5 | 95.9% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +30.8pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 84 | 80.4% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +30.4pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 64.5 | 75.9% | 1.90 | 2.04 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +29.7pp | Lost |
| Long Beach State over 63.5 | 78.8% | 1.85 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.80 | +29.2pp | Lost |
| Long Beach State over 62.5 | 81.6% | 1.68 | 1.79 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +28.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 64 | 78.2% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +28.5pp | Lost |
| Long Beach State +25 | 96.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +28.4pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 83 | 77.4% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +27.7pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 65.5 | 72.7% | 2.01 | 2.05 | 1.98 | - | - | - | +26.8pp | Lost |
| Utah Utes under 83.5 | 78.1% | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +25.9pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 82.5 | 75.1% | 1.92 | 1.93 | 1.91 | - | - | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 84.5 | 80.9% | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.70 | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 87.5 | 87.8% | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | +25.3pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 86.5 | 85.8% | 1.52 | 1.55 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +25.3pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 85.5 | 83.4% | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 60.5 | 86.3% | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +22.7pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 89.5 | 91.3% | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | +21.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 61.5 | 84.1% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | +21.6pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 88.5 | 89.7% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 90.5 | 92.8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 58.5 | 90.2% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +18.9pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 59.5 | 88.4% | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +18.8pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 57.5 | 91.8% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Utah Utes under 91.5 | 94.0% | 1.20 | 1.23 | 1.17 | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 56.5 | 93.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +15.4pp | Won |
| Long Beach State over 55.5 | 94.4% | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 93.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Under 156 | 70.8% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Over 122.5 | 93.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Over 121.5 | 94.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Under 172.5 | 93.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 89.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Under 171.5 | 92.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 75.3% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Over 123.5 | 92.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Over 126.5 | 89.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Over 127.5 | 88.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 83.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Under 167.5 | 88.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Under 166.5 | 87.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Over 137.5 | 72.2% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Lost |
| Over 128.5 | 87.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Over 132.5 | 81.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Lost |
| Over 131.5 | 83.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Lost |
| Under 156.5 | 71.4% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| Over 136.5 | 74.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Lost |
| Under 161.5 | 80.5% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
| Under 162.5 | 82.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -4.0pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 73.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -4.4pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 79.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -5.7pp | Lost |
| Over 138.5 | 70.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -6.1pp | Lost |
| Utah Utes over 64.5 | 86.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -6.6pp | Won |
| Utah Utes over 65.5 | 83.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -8.9pp | Won |
| Utah Utes over 66.5 | 81.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -9.8pp | Lost |
| Long Beach State under 81.5 | 82.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -11.1pp | Won |
| Utah Utes over 67.5 | 78.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -12.5pp | Lost |
| Utah Utes over 68.5 | 75.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -14.0pp | Lost |
| Long Beach State under 79.5 | 77.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -14.2pp | Won |
| Utah Utes over 69.5 | 72.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -17.1pp | Lost |
| Long Beach State under 77.5 | 71.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -18.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 | A | Cincinnati | 66-73 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Baylor | 75-101 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Colorado | 78-92 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Arizona State | 60-73 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Iowa State | 59-75 |
| 22/02/26 | H | UCF Knights | 71-73 |
| 19/02/26 | A | West Virginia | 61-56 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Cincinnati | 65-69 |
| 11/02/26 | H | Houston | 52-66 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Kansas | 59-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | A | Hawaii | 84-75 |
| 06/03/26 | H | UC Davis | 70-76 OT |
| 01/03/26 | A | CSU Bakersfield | 88-87 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Cal Poly | 92-102 |
| 22/02/26 | H | CS Northridge | 76-78 |
| 20/02/26 | H | UC Irvine | 58-69 |
| 14/02/26 | A | UC Davis | 54-71 |
| 13/02/26 | H | CS Fullerton | 82-86 |
| 06/02/26 | A | UC San Diego | 74-77 |
| 31/01/26 | H | Hawaii | 82-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 147 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 147 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Virginia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 46.0 | +45.0 |
| 2 | TCU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 98.0 | 59.0 | +39.0 |
| 3 | Texas Tech | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 42.0 | +34.0 |
| 4 | Kansas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 65.0 | +30.0 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 53.0 | +26.0 |
| 6 | UCF Knights | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 95.0 | +1.0 |
| 7 | Iowa State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 80.0 | -4.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Utes | 28 | 38 | 66 |
| Long Beach State | 40 | 23 | 63 |
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