UTRGV hosts Prairie View A&M on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names UTRGV the clear favourite, assigning it a 95% chance of winning largely because the Red Raiders have a 1-0 record, average 81.0 points scored and 51.0 points allowed, and sit 68th in the league, while Prairie View A&M is 2-0 with 94.5 points per game and 77.5 allowed, positioned 116th; the model projects an 84-65 score and a 149.8 total, giving UTRGV a 83% probability of covering the home line of -8.5 and a 51% chance the game will go over the 149.5 total, with only a 1% chance of overtime. UTRGV's lone game was a 81-51 win at home, and its last five games show four wins and one loss, including a 86-68 victory over Nicholls State at home; Prairie View A&M's two games were both wins, 103-90 over CBS Ambassadors and 86-65 over Paul Quinn, and its last five games also contain four wins and one loss, with a 55-114 loss to Florida away. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. The projected 84-65 result reflects UTRGV's defensive edge and the model's confidence in their dominance.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
UTRGV winWon
94.9%fair 1.05
Best odds1.26
Implied76.9%
Edge+18.0pp
Prairie View A&M winLost
5.1%fair 19.51
Best odds4.27
Implied23.1%
Edge-18.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
60.3%
@ 1.52-0.7pp
Under 145.5
39.7%
@ 2.40+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 150.5 · main lineActual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
48.0%
@ 2.00-1.4pp
Under 150.5
52.0%
@ 1.89+1.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
36.0%
@ 2.72+0.7pp
Under 155.5
64.0%
@ 1.45-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
📊 3. Team Totals
UTRGV total 75Actual: UTRGV under 75
Over 75
83.9%
Under 75
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UTRGV total 79 · main lineActual: UTRGV under 79
Over 79
71.8%
@ 1.86+21.8pp
Under 79
28.2%
@ 1.86-21.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
UTRGV total 83Actual: UTRGV under 83
Over 83
56.1%
Under 83
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prairie View A&M total 66Actual: Prairie View A&M under 66
Over 66
46.8%
Under 66
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prairie View A&M total 70 · main lineActual: Prairie View A&M under 70
Over 70
31.0%
@ 1.85-19.2pp
Under 70
69.0%
@ 1.87+19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Prairie View A&M total 74Actual: Prairie View A&M under 74
Over 74
18.4%
Under 74
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread UTRGV -11.5Actual: Prairie View A&M +11.5
UTRG -11.5
75.0%
@ 2.50+35.6pp
PRAI +11.5
25.0%
@ 1.57-35.6pp
Best 5 market prices
UTRG
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.22
PRAI
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.50
Spread UTRGV -8.5 · main lineActual: Prairie View A&M +8.5
UTRG -8.5
82.6%
@ 1.94+33.0pp
PRAI +8.5
17.4%
@ 2.00-33.0pp
Best 5 market prices
UTRG
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
PRAI
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Spread UTRGV -5.5Actual: Prairie View A&M +5.5
UTRG -5.5
88.6%
@ 1.58+28.7pp
PRAI +5.5
11.4%
@ 2.37-28.7pp
Best 5 market prices
UTRG
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.50
PRAI
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.22
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
UTRGVPrairie View A&M
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
UTRGV -12
74.3%
2.62
Bet365
2.62
-
-
-
-
+38.8pp
Lost
UTRGV -13
71.3%
2.85
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
-
+38.8pp
Lost
UTRGV -10
79.8%
2.21
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
2.20
-
-
-
+36.8pp
Lost
UTRGV -10.5
77.7%
2.18
Pinnacle
2.33
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
-
+36.7pp
Lost
UTRGV -12.5
72.2%
2.55
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.40
-
-
-
+35.8pp
Lost
UTRGV -11.5
75.0%
2.36
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.22
-
-
-
+35.6pp
Lost
UTRGV -9.5
80.3%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.13
Bet365
2.10
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
-
+35.3pp
Lost
UTRGV -9
82.2%
1.96
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.89
+35.1pp
Lost
UTRGV -11
77.1%
2.33
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.27
-
-
-
+35.0pp
Lost
UTRGV -8.5
82.6%
1.85
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.87
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
+33.0pp
Lost
UTRGV -8
84.4%
1.81
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
SBO
1.78
+32.4pp
Lost
UTRGV -6
88.4%
1.62
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
-
+31.3pp
Lost
UTRGV -7.5
84.8%
1.75
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
Betano
1.72
+30.4pp
Lost
UTRGV -7
86.5%
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.78
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
-
-
+30.1pp
Lost
UTRGV -5
90.1%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+29.6pp
Push
UTRGV -5.5
88.6%
1.54
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+28.7pp
Lost
UTRGV -6.5
86.8%
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.60
+28.6pp
Lost
UTRGV -4
91.6%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+27.4pp
Won
UTRGV -4.5
90.2%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+26.9pp
Won
UTRGV -3
92.7%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+25.7pp
Won
UTRGV -3.5
91.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+25.6pp
Won
UTRGV -2.5
92.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+23.6pp
Won
UTRGV -2
94.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+23.6pp
Won
UTRGV -1.5
94.1%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
UTRGV (regulation)
94.0%
1.28
1xBet
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.27
Betano
1.26
-
-
+23.1pp
Won
Prairie View A&M under 71
72.5%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+22.6pp
Won
UTRGV over 79
71.8%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
-
-
+21.8pp
Lost
UTRGV -1
94.8%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
Prairie View A&M under 71.5
73.4%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
UTRGV over 78.5
72.7%
1.82
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.80
+21.7pp
Lost
Prairie View A&M under 70.5
70.1%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
Betano
1.85
+21.1pp
Won
Prairie View A&M under 72.5
76.6%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
UTRGV over 77.5
76.0%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+18.6pp
Lost
UTRGV over 76.5
79.0%
1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
UTRGV win
94.9%
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.23
WilliamHill
1.22
+18.0pp
Won
UTRGV over 75.5
81.8%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Lost
UTRGV over 73.5
86.6%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Lost
Prairie View A&M under 74.5
82.1%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Prairie View A&M under 73.5
79.5%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
UTRGV over 74.5
84.4%
1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Lost
UTRGV +1.5
95.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Prairie View A&M under 75.5
84.6%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Won
Prairie View A&M under 77.5
88.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
UTRGV +6.5
98.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
UTRGV +11.5
99.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Overtime: no
98.7%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+7.6pp
-
Under 174.5
93.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Over 124.5
94.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Over 129.5
89.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Under 169.5
88.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
UTRGV under 98.5
92.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Under 164.5
82.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Over 134.5
82.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Lost
Over 139.5
73.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Lost
Under 159.5
72.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
UTRGV under 96.5
88.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 53.5
88.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
UTRGV under 94.5
84.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 55.5
83.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
UTRGV under 92.5
79.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 57.5
78.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-10.8pp
Won
UTRGV under 90.5
73.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-12.5pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 59.5
71.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-14.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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