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UTSA Roadrunners vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 89-70
53-36 36-34
Position#209
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game71.3
UTSA Roadrunners 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois State
USA
Position#312
Record3-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTSA Roadrunners winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#15
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H15/03
CIT
Sam Houston St.
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H23/03
CIT
Wiley
#410
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H23/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#67
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#217
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H04/12
NCAA
Texas State
#77
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A07/12
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#416
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H15/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#159
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H18/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-33
0-0
45-36
0-0
37-28
0-0
32-48
0-0
39-31
0-0
51-37
0-0
32-41
0-0
40-38
0-0
41-25
0-0
48-42
0-0
37-34
0-0
40-37
0-0
40-27
0-0
58-28
0-0
34-41
0-0
44-47
152.8Avg total
81.1Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.071.3155.3+12.767%
Season at home (5)85.471.4156.8+14.060%
Season away (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (8)81.171.6152.8+9.562%
Last 5 (5)82.872.0154.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (3)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.363.3155.7+29.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H16/03
NIT
UCF Knights
#4
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H20/03
NIT
Cincinnati
#69
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A23/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#239
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Springfield Pride
#379
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H29/11
NCAA
TCU
#229
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#50
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-34
0-0
42-37
0-0
36-23
0-0
26-40
0-0
33-30
0-0
32-36
0-0
37-36
0-0
32-47
0-0
30-31
0-0
33-37
0-0
34-27
0-0
42-30
0-0
32-39
0-0
37-42
0-0
29-24
0-0
32-26
0-0
36-43
0-0
28-36
0-0
30-28
0-0
37-38
136.5Avg total
68.1Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.868.8135.5-2.038%
Season at home (4)66.860.2127.0+6.575%
Season away (4)66.877.2144.0-10.50%
Last 10 (10)68.168.4136.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)67.466.6134.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.677.2147.8-6.620%
vs Similar (5)60.863.0123.8-2.240%
vs Weaker (2)55.556.5112.0-1.00%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -2.8-2.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -2.8-2.8
UTSA RoadrunnersIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#15
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H15/03
CIT
Sam Houston St.
#6
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/03
CIT
Wiley
#410
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#67
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H01/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#217
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Texas State
#77
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#416
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#159
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H18/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)36.432.568.9+3.962%-
Last 30 at home (7)36.332.368.6+4.057%-
Last 30 away (1)37.034.071.0+3.0100%-
Last 10 (8)36.432.568.9+3.962%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.670.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.034.071.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)34.336.771.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.027.767.7+12.3100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#30
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/03
NIT
UCF Knights
#4
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H20/03
NIT
Cincinnati
#69
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#106
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#239
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Springfield Pride
#379
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H29/11
NCAA
TCU
#229
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H08/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#50
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H19/12
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)32.331.163.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (10)30.827.758.5+3.160%-
Last 30 away (7)34.436.070.4-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.565.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)32.232.264.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.835.670.4-0.860%-
vs Similar (5)27.830.458.2-2.620%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.050%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
UTSA Roadrunnerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19HOregon State78-88
15/12/19HTexas-Permian Basin98-55
07/12/19ATexas State77-71
04/12/19HTexas A&M-CC89-67
01/12/19HPrairie View A&M72-79
23/11/19HWiley90-68
23/03/18HSam Houston St.69-76
15/03/18HLamar76-69
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/19HIllinois (Chi.)67-66
15/12/19ANorthern Kentucky64-79
08/12/19HMorehead State61-50
04/12/19ATCU69-81
29/11/19HSpringfield Pride76-57
25/11/19HGrand Canyon63-68
23/11/19AWestern Kentucky69-83
22/11/19ACincinnati65-66
20/03/17HUCF Knights62-63
16/03/17HUC Irvine85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%60%100%
Points / game84.085.477.0
Allowed / game71.371.471.0
Point differential+12.7+14.0+6.0
Avg total155.3156.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game66.866.866.8
Allowed / game68.860.277.2
Point differential-2.0+6.5-10.5
Avg total135.5127.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis660100%72.362.2+10.2
2 Wichita State76186%75.664.1+11.4
3 Florida Atlantic65183%74.861.3+13.5
4 UTSA Roadrunners64267%84.071.3+12.7
5 Rice64267%78.372.7+5.7
6 Temple85362%73.462.6+10.8
7 Tulane85362%70.968.4+2.5
8 Charlotte74357%71.461.9+9.6
9 Tulsa74357%76.067.9+8.1
10 South Florida95456%65.661.2+4.3
11 UAB63350%61.261.3-0.2
12 East Carolina73443%76.675.3+1.3
13 North Texas62433%66.266.7-0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State660100%75.266.3+8.8
2 Northern Iowa54180%80.863.4+17.4
3 Drake97278%68.165.8+2.3
4 Bradley85362%70.062.8+7.2
5 Evansville85362%80.682.4-1.8
6 Murray State63350%69.061.2+7.8
7 Belmont84450%76.870.6+6.1
8 Southern Illinois63350%65.360.8+4.5
9 Valparaiso84450%76.573.6+2.9
10 Illinois (Chi.)94544%70.272.3-2.1
11 Illinois State83538%66.868.8-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTSA Roadrunners533689
Illinois State363470
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