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Valencia W vs Lublin W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-45
19-8 17-12 14-15 14-10
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game96.0
Valencia W 🏆
vs
Lublin W
Position#17
Record0-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game50.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 2· Font de Sant Lluis
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Estudiantes W
#8
W
77-35
77
35
+42
no box
H23/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
72-57
72
57
+15
no box
A27/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
93-49
93
49
+44
no box
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
no box
H04/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
81-69
81
69
+12
no box
A07/05
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#15
W
76-47
76
47
+29
no box
H22/09
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
A30/09
Supercopa Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H01/10
Supercopa Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
66-96
66
96
-30
63avg 68
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Gran Canaria W
#14
W
77-54
77
54
+23
73avg 68
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-8
20-13
17-3
17-11
19-10
20-14
20-18
13-15
26-7
24-12
17-16
26-14
23-13
20-11
19-22
8-20
16-26
19-18
22-15
24-10
17-15
15-11
20-14
24-7
15-20
21-18
22-9
16-10
24-12
18-10
22-24
14-27
19-25
14-28
18-21
15-22
19-15
23-13
17-12
18-14
136.7Avg total
76.4Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.096.0162.0-30.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.096.0162.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)76.460.3136.7+16.190%
Last 5 (5)74.265.4139.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.087.7149.7-25.70%
vs Similar (7)70.671.0141.6-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.156.6132.7+19.6100%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lublin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gorzow W
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
no box
A26/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#1
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#1
W
65-51
65
51
+14
no box
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A05/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H12/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 58
H30/09
Super Cup Women
Schio W
#4
L
50-70
50
70
-20
37avg 58
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
8-18
15-25
17-14
15-21
19-16
22-14
20-9
23-11
20-17
14-14
8-9
12-22
23-16
23-17
19-15
17-18
20-31
12-13
13-18
25-13
13-25
17-11
18-28
18-13
16-20
29-18
14-19
22-24
23-17
19-22
19-19
17-25
21-13
16-20
27-19
12-19
17-18
14-18
7-15
142.2Avg total
70.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)50.070.0120.0-20.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)50.070.0120.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)70.272.0142.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)72.875.2148.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.074.1143.1-5.147%
vs Similar (7)73.369.3142.6+4.086%
vs Weaker (6)83.067.7150.7+15.367%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
Valencia WLublin W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes W
#8
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H23/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A27/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H04/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#15
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H22/09
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/09
Supercopa Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/10
Supercopa Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Gran Canaria W
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
69.4Avg total
39.5Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.568.4+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.728.967.6+9.973%-
Last 30 away (15)35.134.169.2+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.529.969.4+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.343.372.7-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)35.638.373.9-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.126.365.3+12.889%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorzow W
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A26/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#1
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A05/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/09
Super Cup Women
Schio W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/10
Euroleague Women
74.2Avg total
35.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.974.7+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.735.072.7+2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)38.038.176.1-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.374.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.474.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.338.273.5-2.940%-
vs Similar (7)38.034.172.1+3.957%-
vs Weaker (6)44.837.582.3+7.367%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
46.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.0
33.3%
32.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws8.07.0
87.5%
75.3%7.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.511.0
32.8%
46.7%22.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.5
29.8%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
75.3%17.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
WLWWWWWWWW
Lublin W
LWWWLLWWWL
#8
League position
#17
-41.2
Net rating
-12.3
82.4
Offensive rating
88.0
123.6
Defensive rating
100.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
38.3%
69.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
27.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
29.8%
80.0%
Assist %
94.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.4 · 88.0Defence123.6 · 100.3Shooting47.5% · 38.3%3-point %33.3% · 29.8%Ball care27.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds21.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.13 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Valencia W   ■ Lublin W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia W wins
0
Lublin W wins
No previous meetings.
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23AGran Canaria W77-54
04/10/23AFenerbahce W66-96
01/10/23HPerfumerias Avenida W78-73
30/09/23AZaragoza W74-57
22/09/23HCelta W76-47
07/05/23APerfumerias Avenida W81-69
04/05/23HPerfumerias Avenida W70-66
30/04/23HZaragoza W93-49
27/04/23AZaragoza W72-57
23/04/23HEstudiantes W77-35
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23ASchio W50-70
30/09/23HPolkowice W81-77
15/04/23APolkowice W83-82
12/04/23HPolkowice W77-70
11/04/23HPolkowice W73-77
06/04/23APolkowice W62-80
05/04/23APolkowice W77-70
30/03/23HGorzow W65-51
29/03/23HGorzow W76-60
26/03/23AGorzow W58-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-30.0--30.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Lublin W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game50.0-50.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential-20.0--20.0
Avg total120.0-120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W220100%101.061.5+39.5
2 Schio W220100%70.054.0+16.0
3 Virtus Bologna W220100%87.571.5+16.0
4 Perfumerias Avenida W110100%82.077.0+5.0
5 ESB Villeneuve W110100%93.092.0+1.0
6 DVTK W43175%67.060.2+6.8
7 Polkowice W43175%70.069.8+0.2
8 Zaragoza W21150%74.061.5+12.5
9 USK Prague W21150%76.569.0+7.5
10 CBK Mersin W21150%78.078.5-0.5
11 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
12 Sepsi SIC W42250%59.267.8-8.5
13 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
14 UNI Gyor W2020%83.089.0-6.0
15 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
16 Landes W2020%69.082.0-13.0
17 Lublin W1010%50.070.0-20.0
18 Lyon W2020%57.086.5-29.5
19 Valencia W1010%66.096.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia W1917141464
Lublin W812151045
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