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Valga vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-80
19-20 28-21 20-17 19-22
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game90.8
Valga 🏆
Latvia
vs
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game77.2
LatviaLBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · Valga v Jelgava
25 Nov 2015
VALG86
JELG80
11 Dec 2012
VALG91
JELG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jelgava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A16/10
Estonia Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#3
L
75-113
75
113
-38
A25/10
LBL
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A30/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
H03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A07/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
97-65
97
65
+32
A10/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A15/11
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H20/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
27-22
26-33
19-19
6-21
19-29
17-23
21-23
15-30
26-23
13-34
21-26
22-24
21-15
27-23
16-19
23-26
21-22
24-22
24-22
29-21
22-27
24-25
21-31
26-16
22-5
21-18
28-26
23-27
27-32
21-20
25-12
24-20
25-20
22-19
21-14
8-22
24-20
14-17
26-27
177.5Avg total
86.4Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.290.8163.0-18.550%
Season at home (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)74.0100.7174.7-26.733%
Last 10 (10)86.491.1177.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)90.683.8174.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.785.9157.6-14.224%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.785.5174.2+3.267%
vs Weaker (7)90.472.9163.3+17.671%
This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JelgavaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jekabpils
#5
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A11/04
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A29/09
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A07/10
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H10/10
LBL
BK Liepaja
#4
L
58-84
58
84
-26
H17/10
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H30/10
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A04/11
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A08/11
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
53-102
53
102
-49
A14/11
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H22/11
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-20
17-18
13-12
13-12
9-12
19-12
12-24
21-17
18-15
22-15
17-26
32-17
10-17
19-22
26-19
13-20
15-23
14-19
16-22
30-14
10-16
11-18
13-22
19-25
11-19
20-25
17-21
23-8
16-18
17-20
17-21
13-33
12-17
8-23
20-29
18-28
14-19
23-12
25-15
146.9Avg total
69.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.177.2145.3-9.144%
Season at home (4)72.275.8148.0-3.550%
Season away (5)64.878.4143.2-13.640%
Last 10 (10)69.277.7146.9-8.540%
Last 5 (5)67.480.6148.0-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.279.2147.4-11.027%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.777.1153.8-0.422%
vs Weaker (10)74.265.6139.8+8.680%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
ValgaJelgava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/10
Estonia Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A20/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A25/10
LBL
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A10/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A15/11
LBL
Tal Tech
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H20/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
87.0Avg total
42.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.082.3-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.640.880.4-1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)40.842.983.7-2.235%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.687.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.043.280.2-6.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.543.886.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker (7)46.337.483.7+8.957%-
This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jekabpils
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/04
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A29/09
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/10
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/10
LBL
BK Liepaja
#4
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H17/10
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H30/10
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A04/11
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A14/11
LBL
Jekabpils
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H22/11
LBL
70.3Avg total
33.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.570.1-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.935.870.8-0.942%-
Last 30 away (18)34.435.369.7-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)33.536.870.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.472.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.839.070.8-7.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.137.975.0-0.856%-
vs Weaker (10)35.429.564.9+5.970%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valga wins
1
Jelgava wins
DateGameScore
11/12/12Valga v Jelgava91-70
05/10/12Jelgava v Valga96-86
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/15HTartu Ulikool72-86
17/11/15ATal Tech92-73
15/11/15ABarons Kvartals96-91
10/11/15AAudentese97-65
07/11/15ATallinna Kalev96-104
03/11/15HParnu101-104 OT
30/10/15ARakvere Tarvas86-81
25/10/15AVEF Riga75-113
20/10/15ATartu Ulikool63-96
16/10/15ABC Kalev/Cramo86-98
Jelgavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/15HJekabpils80-74
14/11/15AVentspils53-102
08/11/15ALatvijas Universitate73-67
04/11/15AValmiera/ORDO67-90
30/10/15HVentspils64-70
17/10/15HBK Liepaja58-84
10/10/15HBarons Kvartals87-75
07/10/15AJekabpils78-73
29/09/15AJurmala53-60
11/04/15AJekabpils79-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game72.267.074.0
Allowed / game90.861.0100.7
Point differential-18.5+6.0-26.7
Avg total163.0128.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jelgava
LBL 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game68.172.264.8
Allowed / game77.275.878.4
Point differential-9.1-3.5-13.6
Avg total145.3148.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils109190%87.161.4+25.7
2 Valmiera/ORDO109190%80.269.2+11.0
3 VEF Riga54180%88.672.2+16.4
4 BK Liepaja108280%81.366.8+14.5
5 Valga42250%72.290.8-18.5
6 Jelgava94544%68.177.2-9.1
7 BK Ogre93633%70.688.6-18.0
8 Jekabpils103730%70.276.8-6.6
9 Barons Kvartals113827%78.583.5-5.1
10 Jurmala82625%69.470.9-1.5
11 Latvijas Universitate101910%73.988.1-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga1928201986
Jelgava2021172280
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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