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Valmiera/ORDO vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 68-75
18-22 17-25 17-11 16-17
Position#5
Record13-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeBaltic LeagueBaltic League - Semi-finals
Other2015
Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v Tartu Ulikool
23 Mar 2016
VALM68
TUL75
19 Feb 2013
VALM74
TUL73
18 Jan 2011
VALM54
TUL59
13 Nov 2009
VALM88
TUL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H17/02
LBL
Jurmala
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A20/02
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H24/02
Baltic League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
82-52
82
52
+30
A28/02
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A02/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H05/03
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H09/03
Baltic League
Jelgava
#9
W
95-56
95
56
+39
A13/03
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A15/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A19/03
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
23-14
23-17
23-28
16-16
26-23
17-19
23-11
23-22
22-8
24-21
18-17
25-9
15-20
20-11
22-12
31-14
20-9
15-22
15-26
18-22
29-13
32-17
21-16
22-23
17-20
23-18
18-17
22-16
23-15
30-7
20-18
17-24
16-18
20-13
11-13
23-23
27-16
15-20
25-26
152.9Avg total
84.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.671.5150.2+7.176%
Season at home (8)83.469.6153.0+13.8100%
Season away (9)74.473.2147.7+1.256%
Last 10 (10)84.368.6152.9+15.790%
Last 5 (5)85.871.0156.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.575.5151.0+0.050%
vs Similar (5)83.479.2162.6+4.280%
vs Weaker (23)84.072.7156.7+11.478%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#15
W
105-77
105
77
+28
H08/02
Baltic League
Atyrau
#15
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H10/02
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#4
W
105-84
105
84
+21
A13/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A16/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H25/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H01/03
Baltic League
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
H04/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A08/03
Baltic League
Rapla
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A12/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H15/03
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
29-21
25-22
27-22
22-28
26-12
30-10
21-24
20-24
19-21
28-14
38-25
23-13
13-19
24-20
23-16
18-20
19-15
10-21
24-27
24-18
25-14
25-16
19-18
23-23
21-20
23-31
22-15
23-22
19-22
19-12
19-20
13-18
25-30
6-16
18-19
24-17
18-16
13-20
13-11
165.4Avg total
87.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.071.4160.4+17.6100%
Season at home (4)91.270.2161.5+21.0100%
Season away (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.577.9165.4+9.680%
Last 5 (5)82.478.6161.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.182.8152.9-12.710%
vs Similar (3)92.382.3174.7+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.071.5157.5+14.588%
This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
Valmiera/ORDOTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#4
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H17/02
LBL
Jurmala
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/02
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H24/02
Baltic League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/02
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A02/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/03
Baltic League
Jelgava
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A13/03
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A15/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A19/03
LBL
76.5Avg total
42.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.876.2+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.836.876.5+3.062%-
Last 30 away (17)40.935.176.0+5.976%-
Last 10 (10)42.833.776.5+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.542.578.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (5)42.034.676.6+7.460%-
vs Weaker (23)40.535.576.0+5.078%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H08/02
Baltic League
Atyrau
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/02
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A16/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H01/03
Baltic League
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H04/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A08/03
Baltic League
Rapla
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H15/03
Baltic League
81.3Avg total
42.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.678.3+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.936.779.7+6.293%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.581.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.083.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.039.975.9-3.940%-
vs Similar (3)42.741.384.0+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.235.578.8+7.782%-
This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valmiera/ORDO wins
5
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/16AJekabpils90-85
15/03/16ATartu Ulikool64-68
13/03/16AJelgava95-56
09/03/16HPieno Zvaigzdes80-78
05/03/16HJekabpils100-68
02/03/16APieno Zvaigzdes81-71
28/02/16ALatvijas Universitate82-52
24/02/16HTallinna Kalev87-68
20/02/16AJurmala82-69
17/02/16HBK Liepaja82-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/16HValmiera/ORDO68-64
12/03/16ARapla62-83
08/03/16ABK Liepaja80-76
04/03/16HRakvere Tarvas109-104 OT
01/03/16HBK Liepaja93-66
25/02/16HBC Kalev/Cramo71-83
16/02/16AAudentese83-68
13/02/16ATallinna Kalev105-84
10/02/16HAtyrau99-74
08/02/16HAtyrau105-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO
Baltic League 2015
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%100%56%
Points / game78.683.474.4
Allowed / game71.569.673.2
Point differential+7.1+13.8+1.2
Avg total150.2153.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tartu Ulikool
Baltic League 2015
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.091.280.0
Allowed / game71.470.276.0
Point differential+17.6+21.0+4.0
Avg total160.4161.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool550100%89.071.4+17.6
2 Skycop1412286%83.677.1+6.6
3 Siauliai65183%86.374.0+12.3
4 Valmiera/ORDO1713476%78.671.5+7.1
5 Lietkabelis1813572%83.374.6+8.8
6 BK Liepaja1610662%78.076.2+1.8
7 Rapla148657%70.175.4-5.2
8 Jekabpils169756%77.276.4+0.9
9 Rakvere Tarvas146843%75.175.6-0.5
10 Tallinna Kalev146843%73.577.6-4.1
11 Jurmala145936%75.075.0+0.0
12 Nevezis1651131%74.676.4-1.8
13 Barons Kvartals1441029%77.681.7-4.1
14 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%88.084.5+3.5
15 Atyrau1431121%75.183.9-8.8
16 Tal Tech1221017%70.480.0-9.6
17 Parnu1421214%74.383.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valmiera/ORDO1817171668
Tartu Ulikool2225111775
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