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Valparaiso vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-69
0-0 39-29 0-0 42-40
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANIT
Other2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H17/03
CIT
Miami (FL)
#14
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A14/03
NIT
Columbia
#5
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H19/03
CIT
Texas Southern
#26
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H16/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-41
0-0
45-44
0-0
23-24
0-0
27-42
0-0
30-29
0-0
26-29
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-38
137.2Avg total
66.8Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.073.0157.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)84.073.0157.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)66.870.5137.2-3.825%
Last 5 (4)66.870.5137.2-3.825%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H19/03
NIT
Florida Gulf Coast
#19
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/03
NIT
Georgetown
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H24/03
NIT
Louisiana Tech
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H26/03
NIT
Minnesota
#1
L
64-67 OT
64
67
-3
A02/04
NIT
Davidson
#25
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H15/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-24
0-0
38-47
0-0
24-19
0-0
34-34
0-0
48-35
0-0
53-55
0-0
37-33
0-0
41-42
0-0
20-30
0-0
40-30
0-0
30-26
0-0
54-48
146.8Avg total
75.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (6)75.271.7146.8+3.567%
Last 5 (5)77.071.8148.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)81.077.3158.3+3.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
ValparaisoFlorida State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H17/03
CIT
Miami (FL)
#14
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A14/03
NIT
Columbia
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
CIT
Texas Southern
#26
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/03
NIT
63.8Avg total
31.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)31.532.263.8-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (3)34.335.069.3-0.767%-
Last 30 away (1)23.024.047.0-1.00%-
Last 10 (4)31.532.263.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (4)31.532.263.8-0.850%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#12
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H19/03
NIT
Florida Gulf Coast
#19
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H18/03
NIT
Georgetown
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/03
NIT
Louisiana Tech
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/03
NIT
Minnesota
#1
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A02/04
NIT
Davidson
#25
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H15/03
NIT
59.0Avg total
31.2Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)31.227.859.0+3.383%-
Last 30 at home (5)33.427.460.8+6.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)20.030.050.0-10.00%-
Last 10 (6)31.227.859.0+3.383%-
Last 5 (5)31.828.660.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)35.032.767.7+2.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Florida State wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/16HTexas Southern84-73
19/03/14HColumbia56-58
14/03/12AMiami (FL)50-66
17/03/11HIona77-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/16HDavidson84-74
02/04/14AMinnesota64-67 OT
26/03/14HLouisiana Tech78-75
24/03/14HGeorgetown101-90
18/03/14HFlorida Gulf Coast58-53
19/03/13HLouisiana Tech66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NIT 2016
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Florida State
NIT 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida110100%97.068.0+29.0
2 San Diego State110100%79.055.0+24.0
3 South Carolina110100%88.066.0+22.0
4 Georgia Tech110100%81.062.0+19.0
5 Brigham Young110100%97.079.0+18.0
6 Creighton110100%72.054.0+18.0
7 Valparaiso110100%84.073.0+11.0
8 Florida State110100%84.074.0+10.0
9 Monmouth110100%90.080.0+10.0
10 Georgia110100%93.084.0+9.0
11 Ohio State110100%72.063.0+9.0
12 Virginia Tech110100%86.081.0+5.0
13 Washington110100%107.0102.0+5.0
14 Wagner110100%79.075.0+4.0
15 George Washington110100%82.080.0+2.0
16 St. Marys (CA)110100%58.056.0+2.0
17 Hofstra1010%80.082.0-2.0
18 New Mexico State1010%56.058.0-2.0
19 St. Bonaventure1010%75.079.0-4.0
20 Long Beach State1010%102.0107.0-5.0
21 Princeton1010%81.086.0-5.0
22 Akron1010%63.072.0-9.0
23 Belmont1010%84.093.0-9.0
24 Bucknell1010%80.090.0-10.0
25 Davidson1010%74.084.0-10.0
26 Texas Southern1010%73.084.0-11.0
27 Alabama1010%54.072.0-18.0
28 UAB1010%79.097.0-18.0
29 Houston1010%62.081.0-19.0
30 High Point1010%66.088.0-22.0
31 IPFW1010%55.079.0-24.0
32 North Florida1010%68.097.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valparaiso03904281
Florida State02904069
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