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Valur vs Hamar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 100-64
27-24 29-7 21-11 23-22
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game81.0
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Hamar
Iceland
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game111.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A24/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
91-65
91
65
+26
no box
H27/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
103-94
103
94
+9
no box
A30/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
no box
H02/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 96
A06/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
23-28
13-18
19-18
20-12
21-18
22-13
28-22
22-27
37-15
24-27
20-25
22-21
32-23
24-16
24-35
15-20
15-29
15-14
37-20
30-23
25-24
23-15
22-25
21-21
28-21
17-28
13-20
23-38
20-10
21-12
18-9
27-14
16-24
20-26
18-18
15-25
29-20
33-23
19-13
173.7Avg total
89.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.983.8173.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)87.681.8169.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)87.784.1171.8+3.659%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.876.8163.6+9.985%
This opponent (Hamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamarIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamar
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
A31/10
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
103-111
103
111
-8
98avg 98
H05/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
17-17
18-18
17-19
30-28
29-24
27-37
17-22
179.5Avg total
84.5Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.0111.0214.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)103.0111.0214.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 5 (2)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)103.0111.0214.0-8.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
ValurHamar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A24/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A30/04
Premier league
Thorl
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H02/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H06/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Premier league
91.0Avg total
46.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.883.9+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)44.540.384.8+4.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.191.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.090.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)44.043.187.1+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.538.280.8+4.369%-
This opponent (Hamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H05/10
Premier league
92.0Avg total
45.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)45.047.092.0-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (1)59.052.0111.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)31.042.073.0-11.00%-
Last 10 (2)45.047.092.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (2)45.047.092.0-2.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.052.0111.0+7.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.015.0
44.1%
34.2%45.0
🏀 Free throws19.011.0
57.9%
74.4%11.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamar: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 5% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.028.0
60.9%
51.2%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.014.0
33.3%
34.2%42.0
🏀 Free throws6.05.0
83.3%
74.4%5.0
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWLWLWWWL
Hamar
LL
#1
League position
#12
+15.3
Net rating
-6.4
110.8
Offensive rating
109.3
95.5
Defensive rating
115.7
57.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
20.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.07
44.1%
3-point %
33.3%
64.7%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/2)
0%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 109.3Defence95.5 · 115.7Shooting57.6% · 55.7%3-point %44.1% · 33.3%Ball care20.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds28.6% · 19.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.07Form (last 10/2)60% · 0%
■ Valur   ■ Hamar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valur wins
0
Hamar wins
No previous meetings.
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23AThorl96-81
18/05/23HTindastoll81-82
15/05/23ATindastoll82-69
12/05/23HTindastoll79-90
09/05/23ATindastoll100-87
06/05/23HTindastoll82-83
02/05/23HThorl102-95
30/04/23AThorl103-94
27/04/23HThorl91-65
24/04/23AThorl83-92
Hamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23HKeflavik103-111
31/10/22AKR Basket66-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hamar
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game111.0111.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total214.0214.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar110100%127.083.0+44.0
2 Hottur110100%104.087.0+17.0
3 Valur110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Keflavik110100%111.0103.0+8.0
5 Tindastoll110100%70.065.0+5.0
6 Njardvik110100%91.088.0+3.0
7 Stjarnan1010%88.091.0-3.0
8 Alftanes1010%65.070.0-5.0
9 Hamar1010%103.0111.0-8.0
10 Thorl1010%81.096.0-15.0
11 Grindavik1010%87.0104.0-17.0
12 Breidablik1010%83.0127.0-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur27292123100
Hamar247112264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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