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Vanderbilt vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 67-59
31-26 36-33
Position#127
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#295
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game58.4
Allowed / game61.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vanderbilt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#147
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H15/03
NIT
Dayton
#9
W
70-68 OT
70
68
+2
H20/03
NIT
Xavier
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A23/03
NIT
Memphis
#42
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H08/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H12/11
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H19/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-38
0-0
54-38
0-0
33-37
0-0
38-40
0-0
39-38
0-0
43-33
0-0
25-26
0-0
38-37
0-0
31-29
0-0
42-46
0-0
22-34
0-0
45-42
0-0
25-29
0-0
23-31
0-0
37-37
0-0
39-39
0-0
38-13
0-0
38-30
0-0
27-35
0-0
38-40
143.1Avg total
72.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.068.2137.2+0.840%
Season at home (4)64.063.5127.5+0.525%
Season away (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.370.8143.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)69.068.2137.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.673.8141.4-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.569.9140.4+0.546%
vs Weaker (4)78.564.0142.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#264
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
64-65 OT
64
65
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
64-68 OT
64
68
-4
A05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
H10/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#387
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A11/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
32-37
24-27
30-27
28-32
29-25
29-26
31-34
23-20
23-33
33-32
36-24
21-23
33-38
26-29
34-38
28-31
24-30
28-27
29-35
123.4Avg total
60.6Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)58.461.4119.8-3.020%
Season at home (2)64.561.5126.0+3.050%
Season away (3)54.361.3115.7-7.00%
Last 10 (10)60.662.8123.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)58.461.4119.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.363.0118.3-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.261.3120.5-2.127%
vs Weaker (11)69.356.0125.3+13.382%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -2.0-2.0
VanderbiltFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#147
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/03
NIT
Dayton
#9
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H20/03
NIT
Xavier
#1
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A23/03
NIT
Memphis
#42
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H12/11
NCAA
Temple
#210
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
38-13
38
13
+25
H19/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H24/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.664.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.330.262.5+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)31.535.767.2-4.223%-
Last 10 (10)30.531.662.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.659.4+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.935.666.5-4.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.731.162.8+0.646%-
vs Weaker (4)34.027.061.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#264
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H10/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
23-20
23
20
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#387
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A11/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A24/11
NCAA
55.7Avg total
27.9Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.126.556.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.127.758.8+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)29.325.454.8+3.969%-
Last 10 (10)27.927.855.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.228.455.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.027.752.7-2.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)27.426.954.3+0.547%-
vs Weaker (11)35.025.260.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vanderbilt wins
0
Fresno State wins
No previous meetings.
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22HSt. Marys (CA)65-75
19/11/22HMorehead State76-43
16/11/22ATemple89-87 OT
12/11/22HSouthern Miss48-60
08/11/22HMemphis67-76
23/03/22AXavier73-75
20/03/22HDayton70-68 OT
15/03/22HBelmont82-71
12/03/22AKentucky71-77
11/03/22AAlabama82-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22AWashington57-62
19/11/22ANorth Texas52-61
17/11/22HSan Francisco60-67
11/11/22AUC Santa Barbara54-61
08/11/22HFresno Pacific69-56
11/03/22ASan Diego State46-53
10/03/22HSan Jose State69-67 OT
05/03/22AWyoming64-68 OT
04/03/22ASan Diego State64-65 OT
01/03/22HNew Mexico71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vanderbilt
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%25%100%
Points / game69.064.089.0
Allowed / game68.263.587.0
Point differential+0.8+0.5+2.0
Avg total137.2127.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%100%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game58.464.554.3
Allowed / game61.461.561.3
Point differential-3.0+3.0-7.0
Avg total119.8126.0115.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas440100%80.052.5+27.5
2 Alabama440100%84.857.5+27.2
3 Missouri660100%91.370.3+21.0
4 Auburn660100%71.056.3+14.7
5 Ole Miss550100%73.463.8+9.6
6 Arkansas65183%77.763.3+14.3
7 LSU65183%72.559.5+13.0
8 Mississippi St.65183%64.351.7+12.7
9 Tennessee54180%73.256.4+16.8
10 Oklahoma54180%64.855.8+9.0
11 Kentucky64267%87.268.0+19.2
12 Georgia64267%70.067.8+2.2
13 Florida53260%80.471.2+9.2
14 Texas A&M53260%77.070.8+6.2
15 Vanderbilt52340%69.068.2+0.8
16 South Carolina52340%62.673.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State550100%88.273.6+14.6
2 New Mexico330100%84.372.7+11.7
3 UNLV660100%69.858.3+11.5
4 Nevada76186%75.362.0+13.3
5 San Jose State54180%75.865.4+10.4
6 Grand Canyon64267%66.755.5+11.2
7 Colorado State64267%71.263.2+8.0
8 San Diego State64267%78.072.7+5.3
9 Boise State53260%63.457.2+6.2
10 Wyoming63350%72.567.3+5.2
11 Air Force63350%66.762.8+3.8
12 Fresno State51420%58.461.4-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vanderbilt313667
Fresno State263359
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