Vechta vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 107-78

29-11 29-21 35-27 14-19

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game71.2

Vechta 🏆

Dresden

Position#9

Record4-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game85.2

Pro ARound 6

Other2022-23

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vechta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dresden winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vechta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#15

69-67

A27/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#12

81-79

A30/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#17

97-63

+34

H02/04

Pro A

Itzehoe

#16

84-67

+17

A09/04

Pro A

Jena

83-88

-5

H11/04

Pro A

Artland

88-61

+27

A01/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

72-67

H09/10

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

91-74

+17

A15/10

Pro A

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

86-69

+17

H22/10

Pro A

Bochum

91-85

A29/10

Pro A

18-15

21-17

13-17

17-18

16-19

25-17

20-19

20-24

22-25

24-8

24-11

27-19

23-24

18-12

16-22

27-9

29-24

20-24

16-25

18-15

17-22

32-18

14-8

25-13

25-12

20-22

11-22

16-11

21-20

27-14

19-28

24-12

14-26

16-19

22-12

34-12

28-29

21-27

19-9

23-20

156.2Avg total

84.2Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	85.6	71.2	156.8	+14.4	100%
Season at home (2)	79.0	68.0	147.0	+11.0	100%
Season away (3)	90.0	73.3	163.3	+16.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	72.0	156.2	+12.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	71.2	156.8	+14.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	83.1	84.9	168.0	-1.8	50%
vs Similar (10)	83.4	85.5	168.9	-2.1	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	88.8	72.8	161.6	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dresden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wedel

95-74

+21

H01/05

Pro B

Wolmirstedt

90-80

+10

H07/05

Pro B

Wolmirstedt

71-61

+10

A13/05

Pro B

Dusseldorf

75-79

-4

A20/05

Pro B

Dusseldorf

86-71

+15

H22/05

Pro B

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

75-74

A01/10

Pro A

Bochum

85-94

-9

H08/10

Pro A

Artland

84-82

A15/10

Pro A

Giessen

90-87

H22/10

Pro A

Trier

#13

95-89

A30/10

Pro A

15-16

35-16

15-20

30-22

15-23

27-21

25-18

23-18

13-23

21-22

19-4

18-12

17-22

21-11

17-26

20-20

24-22

18-13

14-20

30-16

15-6

17-23

25-19

18-26

22-13

27-29

17-22

19-30

18-18

32-15

12-23

22-26

23-18

18-16

21-24

28-29

18-15

23-28

26-26

28-20

163.7Avg total

84.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	85.8	85.2	171.0	+0.6	80%
Season at home (2)	87.5	90.5	178.0	-3.0	50%
Season away (3)	84.7	81.7	166.3	+3.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	79.1	163.7	+5.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	85.2	171.0	+0.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	82.4	80.3	162.8	+2.1	78%
vs Weaker (21)	82.8	75.1	158.0	+7.7	81%

This opponent (Vechta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VechtaDresden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	21.9	44.9	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	17.7	41.1	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.3	35.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	14.0	33.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.7	42.4	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	18.8	41.3	+3.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.4	43.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.0	19.1	40.2	+1.9	57%	-

VechtaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#15

39-32

A27/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#12

41-36

A30/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#17

46-33

+13

H02/04

Pro A

Itzehoe

#16

41-36

A09/04

Pro A

Jena

49-48

H11/04

Pro A

Artland

49-40

A01/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

45-34

+11

H09/10

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

48-34

+14

A15/10

Pro A

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

30-45

-15

H22/10

Pro A

Bochum

49-56

-7

A29/10

Pro A

83.1Avg total

43.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	41.6	84.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	42.3	85.1	+0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	40.9	83.6	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	39.4	83.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.5	41.3	83.8	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.6	43.0	83.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.0	40.4	85.4	+4.6	70%	-

This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wedel

50-32

+18

H01/05

Pro B

Wolmirstedt

42-44

-2

H07/05

Pro B

Wolmirstedt

34-45

-11

A13/05

Pro B

Dusseldorf

38-33

A20/05

Pro B

Dusseldorf

42-35

H22/05

Pro B

Panthers Schwenningen

#18

32-29

A01/10

Pro A

Bochum

49-42

H08/10

Pro A

Artland

50-33

+17

A15/10

Pro A

Giessen

41-34

H22/10

Pro A

Trier

#13

41-43

-2

A30/10

Pro A

78.9Avg total

41.9Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.7	79.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	36.3	82.2	+9.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	39.1	76.5	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	37.0	78.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.2	78.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	40.9	39.2	80.1	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+4.9	71%	-

This opponent (Vechta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.3	34.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.1	41.0	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	17.5	41.6	+6.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	18.7	40.4	+3.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	15.3	38.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	13.6	38.0	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	80%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.9	15.7	40.6	+9.2	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.6	40.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	26.2	49.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	37.9	79.8	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	37.5	81.5	+6.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	32.6	73.1	+7.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	29.4	70.8	+12.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.3	42.0	82.3	-1.7	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.5	39.3	80.8	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.8	32.4	76.2	+11.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	39.0	80.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	38.8	81.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	42.1	84.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	49.0	92.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (9)	41.6	41.1	82.7	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.9	38.1	79.0	+2.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vechtatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vechta: 81.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	17.6	51.5%	-	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.9	37.3%	-	32.7
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.5	72.2%	-	13.5

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	18.2	60.7%	-	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.6	38.2%	-	34.8
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.2	73.3%	-	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	18.0	52.7%	-	36.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	34.9%	-	27.8
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.8	76.6%	-	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.6	56.8%	-	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	10.3	37.3%	-	30.8
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.7	76.3%	-	16.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vechta wins

Dresden wins

No previous meetings.

Vechtalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/22	A	Bochum	91-85
22/10/22	H	Panthers Schwenningen	86-69
15/10/22	A	Phoenix Hagen	91-74
09/10/22	H	Bremerhaven	72-67
01/10/22	A	Artland	88-61
11/04/22	H	Jena	83-88
09/04/22	A	Itzehoe	84-67
02/04/22	H	Ehingen	97-63
30/03/22	A	Kirchheim	81-79
27/03/22	A	Artland	69-67

Dresdenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/22	A	Trier	95-89
22/10/22	H	Giessen	90-87
15/10/22	A	Artland	84-82
08/10/22	H	Bochum	85-94
01/10/22	A	Panthers Schwenningen	75-74
22/05/22	H	Dusseldorf	86-71
20/05/22	A	Dusseldorf	75-79
13/05/22	A	Wolmirstedt	71-61
07/05/22	H	Wolmirstedt	90-80
01/05/22	H	Wedel	95-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vechta

Pro A 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.6	79.0	90.0
Allowed / game	71.2	68.0	73.3
Point differential	+14.4	+11.0	+16.7
Avg total	156.8	147.0	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dresden

Pro A 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	80%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	50%	100%
Points / game	85.8	87.5	84.7
Allowed / game	85.2	90.5	81.7
Point differential	+0.6	-3.0	+3.0
Avg total	171.0	178.0	166.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tubingen	5	5	0	100%	91.2	71.6	+19.6
2	Vechta	5	5	0	100%	85.6	71.2	+14.4
3	Jena	5	4	1	80%	81.4	70.6	+10.8
4	Dresden	5	4	1	80%	85.8	85.2	+0.6
5	Munster	6	4	2	67%	83.8	77.2	+6.7
6	Phoenix Hagen	5	3	2	60%	90.2	83.8	+6.4
7	Paderborn	5	3	2	60%	81.8	78.4	+3.4
8	Giessen	5	3	2	60%	79.0	84.2	-5.2
9	Dusseldorf	6	3	3	50%	84.7	82.7	+2.0
10	Nurnberger	6	3	3	50%	78.0	80.5	-2.5
11	Bremerhaven	5	2	3	40%	76.0	77.2	-1.2
12	Artland	5	2	3	40%	78.6	81.4	-2.8
13	PS Karlsruhe	5	2	3	40%	82.4	85.4	-3.0
14	Kirchheim	5	2	3	40%	74.4	80.2	-5.8
15	Bochum	5	1	4	20%	86.4	88.8	-2.4
16	Leverkusen	6	1	5	17%	77.0	91.8	-14.8
17	Trier	5	0	5	0%	85.6	95.8	-10.2
18	Panthers Schwenningen	5	0	5	0%	72.2	86.4	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vechta	29	29	35	14	107
Dresden	11	21	27	19	78

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Vechta vs Dresden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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