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Vermont W vs UMBC Retrievers W Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Meetings · Vermont W v UMBC Retrievers W
21 Jan 2027
VERM v UMBC
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
VERM68
UMBC65
19 Feb 2026
VERM44
UMBC46
06 Mar 2025
VERM70
UMBC39
01 Mar 2025
VERM79
UMBC59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vermont WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats W
#292
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A07/02
NCAA Women
Binghamton W
#136
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H12/02
NCAA Women
Bryant University W
#137
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/02
NCAA Women
UMBC Retrievers W
#183
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H19/02
NCAA Women
NJIT W
#146
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H21/02
NCAA Women
UMass Lowell W
#323
W
68-37
68
37
+31
A26/02
NCAA Women
Albany Great Danes W
#225
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H05/03
NCAA Women
UMBC Retrievers W
#183
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
H09/03
NCAA Women
Maine Black Bears W
#148
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H13/03
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A21/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-2
16-11
17-12
10-10
14-8
13-15
14-10
20-19
18-13
8-13
13-11
13-8
12-11
11-9
12-16
9-10
13-16
17-8
19-7
18-6
16-7
18-6
23-16
11-8
20-8
9-14
12-9
14-9
20-13
12-10
9-16
9-11
14-11
15-10
19-10
13-12
17-16
11-16
10-23
14-17
106.0Avg total
58.8Scored
47.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)58.847.2106.0+11.680%
Last 5 (5)60.851.4112.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)52.063.0115.0-11.025%
vs Weaker (26)63.950.8114.7+13.285%
UMBC Retrievers WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears W
#148
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H12/02
NCAA Women
New Hampshire Wildcats W
#292
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H14/02
NCAA Women
Vermont W
#40
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/02
NCAA Women
Albany Great Danes W
#225
L
63-69 OT
63
69
-6
A21/02
NCAA Women
Bryant University W
#137
W
65-59 OT
65
59
+6
A26/02
NCAA Women
UMass Lowell W
#323
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H28/02
NCAA Women
NJIT W
#146
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H05/03
NCAA Women
Vermont W
#40
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
A09/03
NCAA Women
Ohio Bobcats W
#167
W
62-58 OT
62
58
+4
A19/03
NCAA Women
Marshall Thundering W
#52
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A23/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-11
12-14
15-17
20-14
10-10
17-14
15-5
19-15
11-12
9-11
16-12
10-9
7-10
11-6
13-13
13-15
14-14
8-14
10-14
14-4
18-4
16-21
15-9
17-9
15-21
12-17
19-12
20-15
13-20
10-12
16-9
11-9
8-12
8-17
20-11
14-10
12-12
11-14
14-20
16-20
117.4Avg total
60.2Scored
57.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)60.257.2117.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)62.460.0122.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.058.4114.4-2.457%
vs Similar (13)60.663.6124.2-3.038%
vs Weaker (9)62.952.8115.7+10.167%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Vermont WUMBC Retrievers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vermont WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats W
#292
W
33-13
33
13
+20
A07/02
NCAA Women
Binghamton W
#136
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H12/02
NCAA Women
Bryant University W
#137
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A14/02
NCAA Women
UMBC Retrievers W
#183
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H19/02
NCAA Women
NJIT W
#146
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H21/02
NCAA Women
UMass Lowell W
#323
W
34-13
34
13
+21
A26/02
NCAA Women
Albany Great Danes W
#225
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H05/03
NCAA Women
UMBC Retrievers W
#183
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H09/03
NCAA Women
Maine Black Bears W
#148
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H13/03
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A21/03
NCAA Women
50.8Avg total
29.1Scored
21.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.723.653.4+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.723.151.9+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)30.724.154.9+6.660%-
Last 10 (10)29.121.750.8+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)30.422.252.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)24.827.252.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (26)30.523.153.6+7.473%-
UMBC Retrievers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears W
#148
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H12/02
NCAA Women
New Hampshire Wildcats W
#292
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H14/02
NCAA Women
Vermont W
#40
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A19/02
NCAA Women
Albany Great Danes W
#225
W
18-16
18
16
+2
A21/02
NCAA Women
Bryant University W
#137
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A26/02
NCAA Women
UMass Lowell W
#323
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H28/02
NCAA Women
NJIT W
#146
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H05/03
NCAA Women
Vermont W
#40
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A09/03
NCAA Women
Ohio Bobcats W
#167
L
16-29
16
29
-13
A19/03
NCAA Women
Marshall Thundering W
#52
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A23/03
NCAA Women
49.6Avg total
23.0Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.027.255.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.526.657.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)25.827.853.6-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)23.026.649.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)24.630.054.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)23.427.450.9-4.029%-
vs Similar (13)26.529.155.6-2.538%-
vs Weaker (9)30.626.156.7+4.478%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vermont W wins
1
UMBC Retrievers W wins
Vermont Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ALouisville W52-72
13/03/26HMaine Black Bears W61-43
09/03/26HUMBC Retrievers W68-65 OT
05/03/26HAlbany Great Danes W55-40
26/02/26AUMass Lowell W68-37
21/02/26HNJIT W67-37
19/02/26HUMBC Retrievers W44-46
14/02/26ABryant University W52-45
12/02/26HBinghamton W61-52
07/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats W60-35
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26AMarshall Thundering W53-66
19/03/26AOhio Bobcats W62-58 OT
09/03/26AVermont W65-68 OT
05/03/26HNJIT W66-65
28/02/26HUMass Lowell W66-43
26/02/26ABryant University W65-59 OT
21/02/26AAlbany Great Danes W63-69 OT
19/02/26AVermont W46-44
14/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats W61-44
12/02/26HMaine Black Bears W55-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
UMBC Retrievers W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
2 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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