Vigevano host Ruvo Di Puglia on 11 November 2026 in Serie A2, with the model favouring Vigevano at 71% to 29% and projecting a 84-78 win; the spread of -4.5 gives Vigevano a 57% chance to cover, while the over/160.5 line has a 53% probability of hitting. Vigevano's season record of 2-6, 76.5 points per game and 84.4 allowed per game places them 16th, and at home they are 1-2 with 74.7 points and 80.0 allowed; their last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 93-85 victory over Fortitudo Bologna away. Ruvo Di Puglia also sit 2-6, 76.1 points and 82.5 allowed, 15th in the league, and on the road 1-3 with 77.0 points and 89.8 allowed; their last five contain one win and four losses, including a 79-61 home win over Sassari. The projected total of 161.9 points suggests a moderately high-scoring affair, and the 5% overtime probability adds a slight edge of uncertainty. The game will likely hinge on Vigevano's ability to maintain their modest offensive output against Ruvo Di Puglia's defensive struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 76.5 | 84.4 | 160.9 | -7.9 | 25% |
| Season at home (3) | 74.7 | 80.0 | 154.7 | -5.3 | 33% |
| Season away (5) | 77.6 | 87.0 | 164.6 | -9.4 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.2 | 83.9 | 161.1 | -6.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 82.2 | 160.4 | -4.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 75.0 | 81.6 | 156.6 | -6.6 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 79.8 | 86.2 | 166.1 | -6.4 | 33% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 76.1 | 82.5 | 158.6 | -6.4 | 25% |
| Season at home (4) | 75.2 | 75.2 | 150.5 | +0.0 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 77.0 | 89.8 | 166.8 | -12.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.9 | 83.5 | 161.4 | -5.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.0 | 78.8 | 150.8 | -6.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 74.8 | 86.3 | 161.1 | -11.5 | 18% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 86.6 | 84.5 | 171.1 | +2.2 | 62% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.0 | 41.4 | 80.3 | -2.4 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.1 | 40.2 | 80.3 | -0.2 | 54% | 54% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.1 | 42.2 | 80.4 | -4.1 | 29% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.9 | 44.1 | 83.0 | -5.2 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 43.0 | 84.4 | -1.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 37.7 | 41.5 | 79.2 | -3.8 | 28% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 40.9 | 41.2 | 82.1 | -0.2 | 58% | 58% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.7 | 42.7 | 83.5 | -2.0 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.8 | 41.1 | 82.8 | +0.7 | 44% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.6 | 44.6 | 84.2 | -5.1 | 21% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.2 | 39.3 | 78.5 | -0.1 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.0 | 36.2 | 73.2 | +0.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 38.8 | 41.7 | 80.5 | -2.9 | 24% | 59% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 43.3 | 44.1 | 87.4 | -0.8 | 46% | 77% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigevano +4.5 | 81.4% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Vigevano over 77.5 | 74.0% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Vigevano over 76.5 | 77.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Lost |
| Vigevano over 78.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Lost |
| Over 151.5 | 73.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Over 152.5 | 71.1% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Lost |
| Vigevano +2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Vigevano +3.5 | 78.8% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Ruvo Di Puglia over 71.5 | 72.8% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Ruvo Di Puglia over 70.5 | 76.0% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Vigevano +1.5 | 73.1% | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.4% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Vigevano win | 70.8% | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +1.8pp | Won |
| Ruvo Di Puglia +12.5 | 71.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.3 | 17.0 | 51.2% | 34.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 10.7 | 34.5% | 32.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.1 | 13.2 | 71.0% | 13.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.1 | 15.9 | 51.2% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 9.7 | 34.5% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.3 | 15.5 | 71.0% | 15.5 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Rimini | 68-76 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Libertas Livorno | 81-87 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 93-85 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Forli | 79-74 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Pistoia | 70-89 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Cento | 88-98 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Sebastiani Rieti | 64-79 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Avellino Basket | 69-87 |
| 21/05/25 | A | Libertas Livorno | 77-85 |
| 18/05/25 | H | Libertas Livorno | 83-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Sebastiani Rieti | 63-68 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Forli | 71-86 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Sassari | 79-61 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Mestre | 71-93 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Pesaro | 76-86 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Urania Milano | 96-88 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Cividale | 83-86 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 70-92 |
| 27/05/26 | H | Roseto | 94-70 |
| 24/05/26 | A | Roseto | 76-105 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 25% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLLWL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Points / game | 76.5 | 74.7 | 77.6 |
| Allowed / game | 84.4 | 80.0 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | -7.9 | -5.3 | -9.4 |
| Avg total | 160.9 | 154.7 | 164.6 |
| Over 161.75 | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 25% |
| Home | LLWL | 25% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Points / game | 76.1 | 75.2 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.5 | 75.2 | 89.8 |
| Point differential | -6.4 | +0.0 | -12.8 |
| Avg total | 158.6 | 150.5 | 166.8 |
| Over 161.75 | 62% | 50% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 81.2 | 69.7 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Avellino Basket | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 82.2 | 74.7 | +7.6 |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 79.4 | 74.3 | +5.1 | |
| 4 | Sebastiani Rieti | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 74.1 | 73.4 | +0.8 |
| 5 | Rimini | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 80.4 | 71.8 | +8.7 |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 77.4 | 73.9 | +3.6 | |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 72.8 | 72.2 | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 77.4 | 69.6 | +7.9 | |
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 82.3 | 77.6 | +4.8 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 81.0 | 79.9 | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 77.2 | 76.4 | +0.8 | |
| 12 | Cividale | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 71.8 | 74.1 | -2.3 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 75.0 | 76.4 | -1.4 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 78.1 | 82.6 | -4.5 | |
| 15 | Ruvo Di Puglia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.1 | 82.5 | -6.4 |
| 16 | Vigevano | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.5 | 84.4 | -7.9 |
| 17 | JuVi Cremona | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 75.3 | 77.9 | -2.6 |
| 18 | Cento | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 72.8 | 82.2 | -9.4 |
| 19 | Montecatini | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 68.9 | 82.6 | -13.8 |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 75.7 | 83.1 | -7.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigevano | 22 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 75 |
| Ruvo Di Puglia | 18 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 61 |
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