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Villanova vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 68-60
37-28 31-32
Position#138
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game66.6
vs
Position#159
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game56.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
L
65-71 OT
65
71
-6
A15/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H21/03
NIT
Lafayette
#290
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Columbia
#260
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H07/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
91-54
91
54
+37
H09/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H20/11
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
72-48
72
48
+24
H28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-28
0-0
29-30
0-0
30-31
0-0
31-39
0-0
30-29
0-0
45-34
0-0
37-39
0-0
43-51
0-0
41-25
0-0
50-29
0-0
37-36
0-0
39-47
0-0
26-31
0-0
34-39
0-0
43-26
0-0
50-23
0-0
40-28
0-0
35-48
0-0
36-20
0-0
36-28
142.2Avg total
74.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.866.6144.4+11.150%
Season at home (6)78.562.3140.8+16.267%
Season away (2)75.579.5155.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)74.867.4142.2+7.440%
Last 5 (5)75.265.2140.4+10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.272.2137.5-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.371.4141.8-1.133%
vs Weaker (13)74.759.2133.9+15.577%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#18
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H21/03
NIT
Bradley
#14
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H23/03
NIT
Indiana State
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
109-54
109
54
+55
H05/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H09/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A20/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-24
0-0
30-44
0-0
38-35
0-0
29-32
0-0
36-28
0-0
38-29
0-0
36-32
0-0
45-53
0-0
55-32
0-0
54-22
0-0
37-19
0-0
46-37
0-0
42-22
0-0
44-27
0-0
32-28
0-0
44-32
0-0
45-29
0-0
36-29
0-0
46-33
0-0
31-26
141.4Avg total
79.6Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.356.0141.3+29.3100%
Season at home (4)88.854.5143.2+34.2100%
Season away (2)78.559.0137.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.661.8141.4+17.880%
Last 5 (5)80.656.4137.0+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.865.5128.2-2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.368.0139.3+3.347%
vs Weaker (10)81.664.8146.4+16.880%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +6.6+6.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +6.6+6.6
VillanovaCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A15/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H21/03
NIT
Lafayette
#290
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/11
NCAA
Columbia
#260
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H07/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A24/11
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H28/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
34.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.662.8+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.929.162.9+4.861%-
Last 30 away (12)32.130.462.5+1.758%-
Last 10 (10)34.929.364.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.264.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.532.060.5-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.531.864.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker (13)35.526.862.2+8.785%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#18
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H21/03
NIT
Bradley
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/03
NIT
Indiana State
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
39.3Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.764.6+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.231.767.9+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)31.429.560.9+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.328.267.5+11.1100%-
Last 5 (5)40.426.266.6+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.830.054.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.131.465.5+2.747%-
vs Weaker (10)37.129.466.5+7.780%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Villanova wins
0
Cincinnati wins
No previous meetings.
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HRider72-48
24/11/24AMaryland75-76
20/11/24HPenn93-49
15/11/24HVirginia60-70
12/11/24ASaint Josephs Hawks76-83
09/11/24HNJIT91-54
07/11/24HColumbia80-90
05/11/24HLafayette75-63
21/03/24HVCU Rams61-70
15/03/24AMarquette65-71 OT
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HAlabama State77-59
23/11/24AGeorgia Tech81-58
20/11/24ANorthern Kentucky76-60
16/11/24HNicholls State86-49
09/11/24HMorehead State83-56
05/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-54
27/03/24AIndiana State81-85
23/03/24HBradley74-57
21/03/24HSan Francisco73-72 OT
15/03/24ABaylor56-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.878.575.5
Allowed / game66.662.379.5
Point differential+11.1+16.2-4.0
Avg total144.4140.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.388.878.5
Allowed / game56.054.559.0
Point differential+29.3+34.2+19.5
Avg total141.3143.2137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 DePaul770100%88.064.3+23.7
2 Marquette880100%84.563.6+20.9
3 Xavier98189%75.865.4+10.3
4 Georgetown87188%78.863.1+15.6
5 Butler76186%77.164.7+12.4
6 St. John's (N.Y.)86275%82.166.6+15.5
7 Uconn85362%86.263.2+23.0
8 Creighton85362%77.669.1+8.5
9 Providence85362%70.063.1+6.9
10 Villanova84450%77.866.6+11.1
11 Seton Hall84450%57.256.6+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cincinnati660100%85.356.0+29.3
2 Kansas770100%82.765.9+16.9
3 Arizona State87188%78.873.4+5.4
4 Utah Utes76186%90.463.7+26.7
5 Texas Tech76186%88.465.0+23.4
6 Brigham Young76186%87.465.1+22.3
7 Iowa State65183%86.865.0+21.8
8 Kansas State86275%81.667.0+14.6
9 Colorado86275%76.571.5+5.0
10 UCF Knights86275%81.177.8+3.4
11 Baylor75271%85.073.0+12.0
12 West Virginia75271%78.470.0+8.4
13 Oklahoma State64267%81.779.2+2.5
14 Houston74357%78.959.3+19.6
15 TCU74357%72.464.3+8.1
16 Arizona73443%85.073.7+11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova373168
Cincinnati283260
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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