Villanova W host Notre Dame W in the NCAA Women. Pythia makes Notre Dame W the favourite at 64% and projects 67-71, about 139 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Villanova W winLost
35.9%fair 2.79
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame W winWon
64.1%fair 1.56
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Villanova W total 66.5Actual: Villanova W over 66.5
Over 66.5
52.7%
Under 66.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villanova W total 70.5Actual: Villanova W over 70.5
Over 70.5
37.4%
Under 70.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villanova W total 74.5Actual: Villanova W over 74.5
Over 74.5
24.1%
Under 74.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notre Dame W total 56.5Actual: Notre Dame W over 56.5
Over 56.5
92.7%
Under 56.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notre Dame W total 60.5Actual: Notre Dame W over 60.5
Over 60.5
85.7%
Under 60.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notre Dame W total 64.5Actual: Notre Dame W over 64.5
Over 64.5
75.0%
Under 64.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Villanova W -3Actual: Notre Dame W +3
VILL -3
27.5%
NOTR +3
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
VILL
No market prices yet.
NOTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Villanova W 0Actual: Notre Dame W 0
VILL 0
35.9%
NOTR 0
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
VILL
No market prices yet.
NOTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Villanova W +3Actual: Notre Dame W -3
VILL +3
44.5%
NOTR -3
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
VILL
No market prices yet.
NOTR
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Villanova WNotre Dame W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Villanova WLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown W
#232
W
19-12
19
12
+7
H07/02
NCAA Women
Xavier W
#277
W
15-8
15
8
+7
A11/02
NCAA Women
Creighton Bluejays W
#192
D
14-14
14
14
+0
A15/02
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H19/02
NCAA Women
Marquette W
#140
W
16-5
16
5
+11
H22/02
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
21-16
21
16
+5
A27/02
NCAA Women
Providence Friars W
#231
W
23-16
23
16
+7
H08/03
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
18-7
18
7
+11
H08/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
11-23
11
23
-12
A09/03
NCAA Women
Texas Tech W
#44
W
14-13
14
13
+1
A21/03
NCAA Women
30.6Avg total
17.3Scored
13.3Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
17.3
14.5
31.7
+2.8
70%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
18.3
13.0
31.3
+5.3
80%
-
Last 30 away (15)
16.2
15.9
32.1
+0.3
60%
-
Last 10 (10)
17.3
13.3
30.6
+4.0
80%
-
Last 5 (5)
17.4
15.0
32.4
+2.4
80%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
17.2
21.2
38.5
-4.0
50%
-
vs Similar (4)
17.5
16.2
33.8
+1.2
75%
-
vs Weaker (22)
17.2
12.9
30.1
+4.3
73%
-
Notre Dame WLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs W
#315
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A22/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
19-16
19
16
+3
H27/02
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
L
7-12
7
12
-5
A01/03
NCAA Women
Miami Hurricanes W
#179
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H05/03
NCAA Women
NC State W
#101
W
23-18
23
18
+5
A06/03
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
L
11-17
11
17
-6
A07/03
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
W
17-12
17
12
+5
H21/03
NCAA Women
Ohio State W
#55
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A23/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
15-11
15
11
+4
A27/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
11-20
11
20
-9
A29/03
NCAA Women
34.2Avg total
17.5Scored
16.7Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
18.7
15.6
34.4
+3.1
67%
-
Last 30 at home (13)
19.8
14.3
34.2
+5.5
85%
-
Last 30 away (17)
17.9
16.6
34.5
+1.2
53%
-
Last 10 (10)
17.5
16.7
34.2
+0.8
60%
-
Last 5 (5)
14.8
16.4
31.2
-1.6
40%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)
12.3
14.5
26.8
-2.2
50%
-
vs Similar (12)
18.1
16.2
34.3
+1.8
67%
-
vs Weaker (12)
22.6
15.6
38.2
+7.0
75%
-
1st quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st quarter markets priced for this game yet.
Villanova WLast 10 – 2nd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown W
#232
L
11-12
11
12
-1
H07/02
NCAA Women
Xavier W
#277
W
19-6
19
6
+13
A11/02
NCAA Women
Creighton Bluejays W
#192
L
15-18
15
18
-3
A15/02
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
D
18-18
18
18
+0
H19/02
NCAA Women
Marquette W
#140
D
13-13
13
13
+0
H22/02
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
21-6
21
6
+15
A27/02
NCAA Women
Providence Friars W
#231
L
15-19
15
19
-4
H08/03
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
D
18-18
18
18
+0
H08/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
12-26
12
26
-14
A09/03
NCAA Women
Texas Tech W
#44
L
12-13
12
13
-1
A21/03
NCAA Women
30.3Avg total
15.4Scored
14.9Allowed
2nd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
17.8
14.2
32.0
+3.6
57%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
18.3
13.9
32.1
+4.4
53%
-
Last 30 away (15)
17.3
14.6
31.9
+2.7
60%
-
Last 10 (10)
15.4
14.9
30.3
+0.5
20%
-
Last 5 (5)
15.6
16.4
32.0
-0.8
20%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
17.2
20.2
37.5
-3.0
25%
-
vs Similar (4)
16.2
14.2
30.5
+2.0
75%
-
vs Weaker (22)
18.2
13.1
31.3
+5.0
59%
-
Notre Dame WLast 10 – 2nd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs W
#315
W
15-14
15
14
+1
A22/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
18-16
18
16
+2
H27/02
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
W
29-12
29
12
+17
A01/03
NCAA Women
Miami Hurricanes W
#179
W
14-4
14
4
+10
H05/03
NCAA Women
NC State W
#101
W
17-14
17
14
+3
A06/03
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A07/03
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
W
19-12
19
12
+7
H21/03
NCAA Women
Ohio State W
#55
W
23-13
23
13
+10
A23/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
16-15
16
15
+1
A27/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
W
14-12
14
12
+2
A29/03
NCAA Women
31.8Avg total
18.5Scored
13.3Allowed
2nd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
18.0
14.5
32.5
+3.5
67%
-
Last 30 at home (13)
19.5
13.2
32.7
+6.2
85%
-
Last 30 away (17)
16.9
15.5
32.4
+1.5
53%
-
Last 10 (10)
18.5
13.3
31.8
+5.2
90%
-
Last 5 (5)
18.4
14.6
33.0
+3.8
80%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)
18.3
14.7
33.0
+3.7
67%
-
vs Similar (12)
18.0
16.2
34.2
+1.8
58%
-
vs Weaker (12)
17.9
12.8
30.7
+5.2
75%
-
2nd quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd quarter markets priced for this game yet.
Villanova WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown W
#232
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H07/02
NCAA Women
Xavier W
#277
W
34-14
34
14
+20
A11/02
NCAA Women
Creighton Bluejays W
#192
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H19/02
NCAA Women
Marquette W
#140
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H22/02
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
42-22
42
22
+20
A27/02
NCAA Women
Providence Friars W
#231
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/03
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H08/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A09/03
NCAA Women
Texas Tech W
#44
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A21/03
NCAA Women
60.9Avg total
32.7Scored
28.2Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
35.1
28.7
63.8
+6.4
73%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
36.6
26.9
63.5
+9.7
93%
-
Last 30 away (15)
33.5
30.5
64.1
+3.0
53%
-
Last 10 (10)
32.7
28.2
60.9
+4.5
70%
-
Last 5 (5)
33.0
31.4
64.4
+1.6
60%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
34.5
41.5
76.0
-7.0
50%
-
vs Similar (4)
33.8
30.5
64.2
+3.2
75%
-
vs Weaker (22)
35.4
26.0
61.5
+9.4
77%
-
Notre Dame WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs W
#315
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A22/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A01/03
NCAA Women
Miami Hurricanes W
#179
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H05/03
NCAA Women
NC State W
#101
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A06/03
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A07/03
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/03
NCAA Women
Ohio State W
#55
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A23/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A27/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A29/03
NCAA Women
66.0Avg total
36.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
36.8
30.1
66.9
+6.6
70%
-
Last 30 at home (13)
39.3
27.5
66.8
+11.8
77%
-
Last 30 away (17)
34.8
32.1
66.9
+2.7
65%
-
Last 10 (10)
36.0
30.0
66.0
+6.0
80%
-
Last 5 (5)
33.2
31.0
64.2
+2.2
60%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)
30.7
29.2
59.8
+1.5
50%
-
vs Similar (12)
36.1
32.4
68.5
+3.7
67%
-
vs Weaker (12)
40.5
28.3
68.8
+12.2
83%
-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.
Villanova WLast 10 – 3rd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown W
#232
D
15-15
15
15
+0
H07/02
NCAA Women
Xavier W
#277
W
37-15
37
15
+22
A11/02
NCAA Women
Creighton Bluejays W
#192
W
25-17
25
17
+8
A15/02
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
12-26
12
26
-14
H19/02
NCAA Women
Marquette W
#140
W
14-13
14
13
+1
H22/02
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
22-18
22
18
+4
A27/02
NCAA Women
Providence Friars W
#231
W
20-12
20
12
+8
H08/03
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
15-12
15
12
+3
H08/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
19-22
19
22
-3
A09/03
NCAA Women
Texas Tech W
#44
W
15-14
15
14
+1
A21/03
NCAA Women
35.8Avg total
19.4Scored
16.4Allowed
3rd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
19.3
17.1
36.4
+2.2
63%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
18.6
17.2
35.8
+1.4
60%
-
Last 30 away (15)
20.0
17.1
37.1
+2.9
67%
-
Last 10 (10)
19.4
16.4
35.8
+3.0
70%
-
Last 5 (5)
18.2
15.6
33.8
+2.6
80%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
17.0
23.8
40.8
-6.8
25%
-
vs Similar (4)
20.2
17.8
38.0
+2.5
75%
-
vs Weaker (22)
19.5
15.8
35.4
+3.7
68%
-
Notre Dame WLast 10 – 3rd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs W
#315
W
30-15
30
15
+15
A22/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
L
12-16
12
16
-4
H27/02
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
L
14-21
14
21
-7
A01/03
NCAA Women
Miami Hurricanes W
#179
W
21-17
21
17
+4
H05/03
NCAA Women
NC State W
#101
W
22-9
22
9
+13
A06/03
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
W
18-8
18
8
+10
A07/03
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
H21/03
NCAA Women
Ohio State W
#55
L
15-19
15
19
-4
A23/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
19-18
19
18
+1
A27/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
11-15
11
15
-4
A29/03
NCAA Women
34.5Avg total
18.8Scored
15.7Allowed
3rd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
19.8
17.1
36.8
+2.7
67%
-
Last 30 at home (13)
21.4
16.3
37.7
+5.1
77%
-
Last 30 away (17)
18.5
17.6
36.2
+0.9
59%
-
Last 10 (10)
18.8
15.7
34.5
+3.1
60%
-
Last 5 (5)
17.8
15.8
33.6
+2.0
60%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)
17.5
20.8
38.3
-3.3
33%
-
vs Similar (12)
16.8
16.2
33.0
+0.7
50%
-
vs Weaker (12)
23.8
16.1
39.9
+7.8
100%
-
3rd quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 3rd quarter markets priced for this game yet.
Villanova WLast 10 – 4th quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown W
#232
W
22-16
22
16
+6
H07/02
NCAA Women
Xavier W
#277
L
7-9
7
9
-2
A11/02
NCAA Women
Creighton Bluejays W
#192
W
20-15
20
15
+5
A15/02
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
17-20
17
20
-3
H19/02
NCAA Women
Marquette W
#140
W
21-8
21
8
+13
H22/02
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
18-12
18
12
+6
A27/02
NCAA Women
Providence Friars W
#231
L
15-18
15
18
-3
H08/03
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
D
11-11
11
11
+0
H08/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
9-19
9
19
-10
A09/03
NCAA Women
Texas Tech W
#44
L
11-17
11
17
-6
A21/03
NCAA Women
29.6Avg total
15.1Scored
14.5Allowed
4th quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
17.1
16.4
33.5
+0.7
57%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
17.5
15.7
33.2
+1.7
60%
-
Last 30 away (15)
16.7
17.1
33.9
-0.4
53%
-
Last 10 (10)
15.1
14.5
29.6
+0.6
40%
-
Last 5 (5)
12.8
15.4
28.2
-2.6
20%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
11.2
17.5
28.8
-6.2
25%
-
vs Similar (4)
16.0
20.0
36.0
-4.0
50%
-
vs Weaker (22)
18.4
15.6
34.0
+2.8
64%
-
Notre Dame WLast 10 – 4th quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs W
#315
D
14-14
14
14
+0
A22/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H27/02
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
L
15-17
15
17
-2
A01/03
NCAA Women
Miami Hurricanes W
#179
L
11-14
11
14
-3
H05/03
NCAA Women
NC State W
#101
L
19-22
19
22
-3
A06/03
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
L
14-19
14
19
-5
A07/03
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
D
17-17
17
17
+0
H21/03
NCAA Women
Ohio State W
#55
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A23/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
L
17-20
17
20
-3
A27/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A29/03
NCAA Women
35.0Avg total
17.1Scored
17.9Allowed
4th quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
19.0
18.1
37.1
+1.0
43%
-
Last 30 at home (13)
19.7
16.0
35.7
+3.7
62%
-
Last 30 away (17)
18.5
19.6
38.2
-1.1
29%
-
Last 10 (10)
17.1
17.9
35.0
-0.8
20%
-
Last 5 (5)
17.8
19.6
37.4
-1.8
20%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)
14.5
20.0
34.5
-5.5
0%
-
vs Similar (12)
19.3
19.1
38.4
+0.2
42%
-
vs Weaker (12)
21.0
16.1
37.1
+4.9
67%
-
4th quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 4th quarter markets priced for this game yet.
Villanova WLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown W
#232
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/02
NCAA Women
Xavier W
#277
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A11/02
NCAA Women
Creighton Bluejays W
#192
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A15/02
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H19/02
NCAA Women
Marquette W
#140
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H22/02
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A27/02
NCAA Women
Providence Friars W
#231
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H08/03
NCAA Women
Seton Hall W
#145
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H08/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A09/03
NCAA Women
Texas Tech W
#44
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A21/03
NCAA Women
65.4Avg total
34.5Scored
30.9Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
36.4
33.6
70.0
+2.8
67%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
36.1
32.9
69.0
+3.1
73%
-
Last 30 away (15)
36.7
34.2
70.9
+2.5
60%
-
Last 10 (10)
34.5
30.9
65.4
+3.6
70%
-
Last 5 (5)
31.0
31.0
62.0
+0.0
60%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
28.2
41.2
69.5
-13.0
25%
-
vs Similar (4)
36.2
37.8
74.0
-1.5
50%
-
vs Weaker (22)
37.9
31.4
69.3
+6.5
77%
-
Notre Dame WLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs W
#315
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A22/02
NCAA Women
Syracuse W
#65
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H27/02
NCAA Women
Louisville W
#51
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A01/03
NCAA Women
Miami Hurricanes W
#179
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/03
NCAA Women
NC State W
#101
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/03
NCAA Women
Duke W
#53
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/03
NCAA Women
Fairfield W
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/03
NCAA Women
Ohio State W
#55
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/03
NCAA Women
Vanderbilt W
#17
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A27/03
NCAA Women
UConn W
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/03
NCAA Women
69.5Avg total
35.9Scored
33.6Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
38.8
35.1
73.9
+3.7
57%
-
Last 30 at home (13)
41.1
32.3
73.4
+8.8
77%
-
Last 30 away (17)
37.1
37.3
74.4
-0.2
41%
-
Last 10 (10)
35.9
33.6
69.5
+2.3
70%
-
Last 5 (5)
35.6
35.4
71.0
+0.2
60%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)
32.0
40.8
72.8
-8.8
17%
-
vs Similar (12)
36.2
35.2
71.4
+0.9
50%
-
vs Weaker (12)
44.8
32.2
77.0
+12.7
83%
-
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
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No special markets priced for this game yet.
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No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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