PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Villarrobledo vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-66
16-13 25-19 24-18 20-16
Position#5
Record20-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#17
Record15-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game73.4
SpainSegunda FEBRound 19
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villarrobledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillarrobledoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vive Menorca
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H09/02
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#12
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A16/02
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A27/02
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H03/03
Segunda FEB
Estela
#17
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A09/03
Segunda FEB
Zamora
#11
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H16/03
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A24/03
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H30/03
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H06/04
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A13/04
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-19
17-12
18-25
26-14
14-16
18-23
16-27
24-19
21-16
21-19
19-22
21-13
18-18
18-17
15-19
15-16
21-14
26-13
13-15
16-10
25-17
14-11
20-13
16-23
19-26
23-12
23-11
17-24
13-18
26-10
18-29
23-23
22-13
32-19
21-20
18-15
15-17
30-17
16-23
149.4Avg total
78.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.872.4147.2+2.567%
Season at home (15)76.272.4148.6+3.873%
Season away (15)73.572.3145.8+1.160%
Last 10 (10)78.670.8149.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)81.470.2151.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.085.0156.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.770.2144.8+4.572%
vs Weaker (10)75.973.8149.7+2.170%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avila
#18
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A09/02
Segunda FEB
Tormes
#24
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H16/02
Segunda FEB
Azuqueca
#21
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H27/02
Segunda FEB
Alicante
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A02/03
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H09/03
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A16/03
Segunda FEB
Almansa
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H23/03
Segunda FEB
Real Murcia
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A30/03
Segunda FEB
Azuqueca
#21
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A06/04
Segunda FEB
Alicante
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H14/04
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
28-16
17-20
19-24
18-24
24-20
21-14
25-15
16-19
25-15
16-12
14-20
15-15
19-14
21-18
10-34
16-15
14-21
13-26
15-13
20-16
8-15
14-19
21-16
22-30
21-17
15-19
26-24
24-20
15-19
16-26
14-18
27-17
25-17
21-15
19-28
18-27
19-19
18-18
13-12
149.5Avg total
73.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.173.4147.6+0.750%
Season at home (15)73.372.4145.7+0.953%
Season away (15)75.074.5149.5+0.547%
Last 10 (10)73.076.5149.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)75.278.4153.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.582.5154.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)73.971.7145.6+2.258%
vs Weaker (2)82.576.0158.5+6.550%
This opponent (Villarrobledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
VillarrobledoEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VillarrobledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vive Menorca
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H09/02
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A16/02
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A27/02
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H03/03
Segunda FEB
Estela
#17
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A09/03
Segunda FEB
Zamora
#11
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H16/03
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/03
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H30/03
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/04
Segunda FEB
73.3Avg total
38.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.972.2-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.737.973.5-2.233%-
Last 30 away (15)35.035.970.9-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.173.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.274.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.046.577.5-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.335.570.8-0.244%-
vs Weaker (10)36.237.573.7-1.350%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avila
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/02
Segunda FEB
Tormes
#24
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/02
Segunda FEB
Azuqueca
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/02
Segunda FEB
Alicante
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A02/03
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H09/03
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A16/03
Segunda FEB
Almansa
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H23/03
Segunda FEB
Real Murcia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A30/03
Segunda FEB
Azuqueca
#21
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/04
Segunda FEB
Alicante
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
Segunda FEB
75.6Avg total
38.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.436.574.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.936.772.5-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.036.475.4+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.475.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.479.2+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.240.278.5-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)36.935.772.6+1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Villarrobledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Villarrobledo wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
09/03/19Estela v Villarrobledo58-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19ATaldea79-72
06/04/19HPeixegalego98-75
30/03/19HNavarra74-81
24/03/19AIraurgi SB81-72
16/03/19HZamora75-51
09/03/19AEstela75-58
03/03/19HTaldea72-67
27/02/19APeixegalego85-76
16/02/19AAlbacete74-80
09/02/19HVive Menorca73-76
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19HAlicante68-76
06/04/19AAzuqueca92-77
30/03/19AReal Murcia69-83
23/03/19HAlmansa84-90
16/03/19ABasquet Girona63-66
09/03/19HVillarrobledo58-75
02/03/19AAlicante65-81
27/02/19HAzuqueca71-66
16/02/19HTormes88-73
09/02/19AAvila72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villarrobledo
Segunda FEB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game74.876.273.5
Allowed / game72.472.472.3
Point differential+2.5+3.8+1.1
Avg total147.2148.6145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%13%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)88% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Estela
Segunda FEB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLLL53%
AwayLLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game74.173.375.0
Allowed / game73.472.474.5
Point differential+0.7+0.9+0.5
Avg total147.6145.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante3126584%76.466.0+10.4
2 Almansa30201067%76.372.6+3.7
3 Villarrobledo30201067%74.872.4+2.5
4 Real Murcia31201165%74.168.1+6.0
5 Navarra31201165%74.572.8+1.7
6 Zamora31171455%73.572.7+0.7
7 Iraurgi SB30161453%72.469.2+3.2
8 Vive Menorca30161453%71.769.7+2.0
9 Peixegalego30161453%73.473.3+0.1
10 Albacete30161453%70.673.9-3.2
11 Clavijo30151550%76.174.8+1.3
12 Estela30151550%74.173.4+0.7
13 Basquet Girona30151550%70.171.7-1.5
14 Taldea30151550%74.776.9-2.2
15 Moron30141647%69.668.9+0.6
16 Plasencia30131743%72.070.4+1.5
17 Azuqueca30131743%72.474.2-1.8
18 L'Hospitalet30131743%72.174.8-2.7
19 Avila30131743%70.273.4-3.2
20 Gijon30111937%74.274.3-0.1
21 Baskonia B30111937%73.476.9-3.5
22 Vic30111937%76.381.3-5.0
23 La Roda3092130%71.674.8-3.2
24 Tormes3072323%68.577.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Villarrobledo1625242085
Estela1319181666
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.