Western Michigan faces Campbell on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Western Michigan at 78% to win because of their higher points per game of 74.0 versus Campbell's 64.0 and a better points allowed per game of 56.5 compared with 83.0. Western Michigan is 1-1 this season, having scored 74.0 points per game and allowed 56.5, while Campbell is 0-1, scoring 64.0 and conceding 83.0. At home Western Michigan is 1-0, averaging 99.0 points and 52.0 allowed, and has won only one of its last five games, with a recent 99-52 win over Kalamazoo. Campbell's road record is 0-1, and they have won three of their last five, including an 85-70 victory over NC Wilmington. The teams have met once before, with Campbell winning 91-82 on 9 November 2025. Pythia projects a 80-71 score, a total of 150.5, giving Western Michigan a 62% chance to cover the home line of -5.5 and a 53% chance of the over on the 149.0 total, with a 4% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Western Michigan's higher offensive output.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Western Michigan winWon
77.7%fair 1.29
Best odds1.50
Implied64.4%
Edge+13.3pp
Campbell winLost
22.3%fair 4.48
Best odds2.75
Implied35.6%
Edge-13.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143.5Actual: Over 143.5
Over 143.5
66.1%
@ 1.38-2.7pp
Under 143.5
33.9%
@ 3.20+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.20
Betano
2.75
Over/Under 148.5 · main lineActual: Over 148.5
Over 148.5
54.3%
@ 1.91+4.3pp
Under 148.5
45.7%
@ 2.22-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
SBO
1.92
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Over 153.5
Over 153.5
42.2%
@ 2.10-3.1pp
Under 153.5
57.8%
@ 1.74+3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.70
Marathon Be
1.70
Bet365
1.66
📊 3. Team Totals
Western Michigan total 71.5Actual: Western Michigan over 71.5
Over 71.5
no forecast
@ 1.23
Under 71.5
no forecast
@ 3.75
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
Western Michigan total 76 · main lineActual: Western Michigan over 76
Over 76
64.5%
@ 1.85+14.5pp
Under 76
35.5%
@ 1.85-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Western Michigan total 80Actual: Western Michigan over 80
Over 80
48.2%
Under 80
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Campbell total 69Actual: Campbell over 69
Over 69
57.2%
Under 69
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Campbell total 73 · main lineActual: Campbell under 73
Over 73
41.1%
@ 1.85-9.1pp
Under 73
58.9%
@ 1.87+9.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Campbell total 77Actual: Campbell under 77
Over 77
26.7%
Under 77
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Western Michigan -7.5Actual: Western Michigan -7.5
WEST -7.5
54.3%
@ 2.42+14.8pp
CAMP +7.5
45.7%
@ 1.67-14.8pp
Best 5 market prices
WEST
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
2.07
CAMP
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.55
Spread Western Michigan -4.5 · main lineActual: Western Michigan -4.5
WEST -4.5
65.4%
@ 1.92+15.2pp
CAMP +4.5
34.6%
@ 2.01-15.2pp
Best 5 market prices
WEST
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.74
CAMP
Bet365
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Spread Western Michigan -1.5Actual: Western Michigan -1.5
WEST -1.5
75.5%
@ 1.52+14.5pp
CAMP +1.5
24.5%
@ 2.40-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
WEST
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
CAMP
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Western MichiganCampbell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Western Michigan win
WEST win
no forecast
@ 1.65
CAMP win
no forecast
@ 2.27
2nd half Spread Western Michigan -1.5 · main lineActual: Western Michigan -1.5
WEST -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
CAMP +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Western Michigan 2nd half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Western Michigan over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Campbell 2nd half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Campbell under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
2nd half Spread Western Michigan -2.5Actual: Western Michigan -2.5
WEST -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
CAMP +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
2nd half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Western Michigan (regulation)
WEST
no forecast
@ 1.70
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
CAMP
no forecast
@ 2.32
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Western Michigan (regulation)
75.4%
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
-
-
+15.0pp
Won
Western Michigan -1.5
75.5%
1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Won
Western Michigan -2
74.5%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Western Michigan -3
71.0%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
+14.0pp
Won
Western Michigan -1
77.2%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Won
Western Michigan win
77.7%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
+13.3pp
Won
Western Michigan -2.5
71.8%
1.62
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
+13.1pp
Won
Western Michigan +1
79.2%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Western Michigan +1.5
79.6%
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Won
Western Michigan +2.5
82.4%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Western Michigan +2
81.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Won
Western Michigan +3.5
84.3%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
Western Michigan +3
84.0%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Western Michigan +6.5
89.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Campbell under 76.5
71.0%
1.52
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Western Michigan +4.5
86.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Campbell under 78.5
77.1%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Western Michigan over 73.5
72.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Western Michigan +10.5
94.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Won
Western Michigan +9.5
93.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Western Michigan +15.5
97.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Western Michigan +14.5
97.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Campbell under 77.5
74.1%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.0%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+5.6pp
-
Western Michigan +20.5
98.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Western Michigan +19.5
98.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Western Michigan under 98.5
97.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Under 176.5
94.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Over 123.5
95.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Over 141
72.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Campbell over 54.5
94.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Over 140.5
72.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Over 128.5
91.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Campbell +24.5
91.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Under 159
70.6%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Under 171.5
89.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Under 159.5
71.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Campbell over 55.5
93.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Western Michigan under 95.5
94.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Over 126.5
92.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Over 138.5
76.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Western Michigan under 93.5
91.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Under 173.5
91.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Campbell over 56.5
92.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Under 161.5
75.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Over 133.5
84.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Under 166.5
83.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Campbell over 57.5
90.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Western Michigan under 88.5
81.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Over 141.5
70.5%
1.29
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Campbell +20.5
85.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Campbell over 58.5
88.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Over 131.5
87.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Western Michigan under 91.5
88.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Under 168.5
86.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Campbell over 59.5
86.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Campbell +19.5
83.1%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Campbell over 60.5
84.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Over 136.5
80.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Western Michigan under 89.5
84.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Western Michigan under 87.5
78.6%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-4.9pp
Won
Under 163.5
78.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.0pp
Won
Campbell over 61.5
82.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Campbell +15.5
73.1%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Lost
Campbell over 63.5
76.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Campbell over 62.5
79.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
Western Michigan under 86.5
75.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-7.5pp
Lost
Campbell +14.5
70.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Lost
Campbell over 64.5
73.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Western Michigan under 85.5
72.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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