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Willetton Tigers vs Lakeside Lightning Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 107-73
24-23 32-17 20-16 31-17
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game95.4
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Willetton Tigers v Lakeside Lightning
10 May 2025
WILL107
LAKE73
28 Mar 2024
WILL107
LAKE101
06 Apr 2023
WILL104
LAKE91
20 May 2022
WILL97
LAKE84
17 Apr 2021
WILL96
LAKE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Willetton Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Willetton TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A27/07
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
108-103
108
103
+5
H01/08
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A03/08
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H10/08
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A04/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A12/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
102-104
102
104
-2
H17/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H25/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H02/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
105-101
105
101
+4
A09/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
24-27
13-22
21-18
12-29
32-27
27-22
37-25
23-21
31-13
27-24
17-31
29-27
23-18
23-18
14-28
32-20
25-25
16-16
22-20
23-30
25-24
30-14
21-20
36-19
22-21
20-32
24-32
23-15
28-15
16-20
19-29
20-25
19-18
24-26
24-23
32-22
24-28
20-30
29-21
187.1Avg total
94.7Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.790.8186.5+4.867%
Season at home (3)91.791.7183.3+0.033%
Season away (3)99.790.0189.7+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)94.792.4187.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)95.892.8188.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.492.6181.0-4.240%
vs Similar (13)96.595.3191.8+1.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.888.2186.9+10.683%
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Slammers
#12
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A12/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H13/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A19/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
A04/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
79-117
79
117
-38
H05/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
H11/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
100-84
100
84
+16
A17/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H26/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A02/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H03/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
18-15
20-24
15-15
23-18
21-27
31-19
19-26
24-34
20-14
27-16
21-21
11-17
18-25
18-16
34-23
24-37
21-32
19-27
15-21
25-27
16-21
19-29
22-24
22-23
23-27
32-23
23-11
22-24
10-26
27-21
20-19
17-24
25-31
17-22
31-20
25-20
33-15
19-28
26-28
180.5Avg total
88.5Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.695.4184.0-6.929%
Season at home (4)85.899.8185.5-14.025%
Season away (3)92.389.7182.0+2.733%
Last 10 (10)88.592.0180.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)90.892.6183.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)88.298.3186.6-10.119%
vs Similar (4)82.593.0175.5-10.50%
vs Weaker (10)94.086.4180.4+7.670%
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Willetton TigersLakeside Lightning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Willetton TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/07
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H01/08
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A03/08
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/08
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H17/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H25/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H02/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A09/05
NBL1 West
95.6Avg total
50.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.446.996.3+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.746.292.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)52.147.599.7+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)50.345.395.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.443.493.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.245.695.8+4.660%-
vs Similar (13)48.550.599.0-2.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.143.493.5+6.775%-
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South West Slammers
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A12/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A19/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
45-69
45
69
-24
H05/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H11/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A17/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H26/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A02/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H03/05
NBL1 West
90.4Avg total
42.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.447.891.2-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.646.791.3-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.991.1-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)42.448.090.4-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.691.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.951.593.4-9.612%-
vs Similar (4)43.245.288.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker (10)45.743.088.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25AJoondalup Wolves105-101
02/05/25HPerry Lakes Hawks87-92
25/04/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns86-79
17/04/25HRockingham Flames102-104
12/04/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns99-88
04/04/25AMandurah Magic95-81
10/08/24HMandurah Magic89-91
03/08/24AGeraldton Buccaneers98-89
01/08/24HRockingham Flames108-103
27/07/24AJoondalup Wolves78-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HSouth West Slammers103-91
02/05/25AJoondalup Wolves90-97
26/04/25HGoldfields Giants79-90
17/04/25ASouth West Slammers100-84
11/04/25HMandurah Magic82-101
05/04/25HWarwick Senators79-117
04/04/25APerry Lakes Hawks87-88 OT
19/07/24AWarwick Senators92-85
13/07/24HJoondalup Wolves94-90
12/07/24ASouth West Slammers79-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Willetton Tigers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game95.791.799.7
Allowed / game90.891.790.0
Point differential+4.8+0.0+9.7
Avg total186.5183.3189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game88.685.892.3
Allowed / game95.499.889.7
Point differential-6.9-14.0+2.7
Avg total184.0185.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators770100%110.787.9+22.9
2 Rockingham Flames76186%107.097.0+10.0
3 Goldfields Giants54180%100.086.0+14.0
4 Geraldton Buccaneers64267%98.783.2+15.5
5 Willetton Tigers64267%95.790.8+4.8
6 Mandurah Magic64267%99.896.2+3.7
7 Joondalup Wolves74357%100.095.7+4.3
8 Perry Lakes Hawks73443%80.185.9-5.7
9 Perth Redbacks62433%80.893.0-12.2
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns72529%77.482.6-5.1
11 Lakeside Lightning72529%88.695.4-6.9
12 East Perth Eagles51420%91.6104.6-13.0
13 Beeliar Boodjar61517%82.0101.2-19.2
14 South West Slammers6060%84.5100.7-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Willetton Tigers24322031107
Lakeside Lightning2317161773
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