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Windsor vs Newfoundland Rogues Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 114-111
38-20 19-34 29-26 28-31
Position#3
Record16-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game107.3
Windsor 🏆
Canada
vs
Position#7
Record14-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game106.7
CanadaSuper League
Other2024
Meetings · Windsor v Newfoundland Rogues
21 Mar 2025
WIND114
NEWF111
21 Feb 2025
WIND110
NEWF99
04 Apr 2024
WIND108
NEWF102
06 Mar 2024
WIND120
NEWF130
02 Mar 2024
WIND121
NEWF113
07 Feb 2024
WIND109
NEWF100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Windsor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newfoundland Rogues winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WindsorCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pontiac Pharaohs
#8
L
84-113
84
113
-29
A09/02
Super League
Sudbury
#2
L
100-114
100
114
-14
H13/02
Super League
Pontiac Pharaohs
#8
W
112-110
112
110
+2
H16/02
Super League
Newfoundland Rogues
#7
W
110-99
110
99
+11
H22/02
Super League
London
#6
W
108-106
108
106
+2
A23/02
Super League
Toledo Glass City
#9
W
118-109
118
109
+9
A01/03
Super League
KW Titans
#4
L
99-113
99
113
-14
A02/03
Super League
London
#6
W
111-105
111
105
+6
H08/03
Super League
London
#6
L
96-131
96
131
-35
A12/03
Super League
Toledo Glass City
#9
W
109-105
109
105
+4
H14/03
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
33-29
18-34
18-22
27-26
25-30
28-23
20-35
30-24
24-25
33-32
25-29
27-17
39-25
19-31
25-26
23-28
31-20
27-33
27-25
34-14
26-30
26-29
32-36
23-16
22-27
23-39
31-31
23-27
31-21
28-23
29-34
16-27
28-35
23-36
29-33
33-20
25-28
25-33
26-24
215.2Avg total
104.7Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)104.8107.3212.1-2.567%
Season at home (12)104.6104.5209.1+0.175%
Season away (12)105.0110.1215.1-5.158%
Last 10 (10)104.7110.5215.2-5.860%
Last 5 (5)106.6112.6219.2-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)104.1110.9214.9-6.850%
vs Similar (10)111.1112.4223.5-1.370%
vs Weaker (6)111.0103.8214.8+7.2100%
This opponent (Newfoundland Rogues) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newfoundland RoguesCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Windsor
#3
L
99-110
99
110
-11
A22/02
Super League
KW Titans
#4
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A23/02
Super League
Rochester Kingz
#15
W
149-78
149
78
+71
H27/02
Super League
Rochester Kingz
#15
W
136-83
136
83
+53
H28/02
Super League
Rochester Kingz
#15
W
125-100
125
100
+25
H01/03
Super League
Tri City Tide
#13
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H07/03
Super League
Tri City Tide
#13
W
119-92
119
92
+27
H08/03
Super League
Tri City Tide
#13
W
128-82
128
82
+46
H09/03
Super League
Sudbury
#2
L
125-131
125
131
-6
A15/03
Super League
London
#6
L
108-125
108
125
-17
A17/03
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
25-39
31-19
26-25
24-20
21-23
28-25
20-25
39-16
39-15
34-27
37-20
41-17
29-17
32-21
34-28
37-23
22-29
40-29
26-19
22-24
33-20
28-22
23-29
32-19
24-14
25-33
38-26
18-13
39-25
31-22
40-22
34-31
29-30
30-39
32-31
24-26
28-31
22-26
34-42
219.8Avg total
119.7Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)114.2106.7220.8+7.548%
Season at home (20)114.7100.3215.0+14.365%
Season away (9)113.1120.7233.8-7.611%
Last 10 (10)119.7100.1219.8+19.660%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.0222.2+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0128.0243.0-13.00%
vs Similar (11)107.2115.3222.5-8.19%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)118.4101.4219.8+17.172%
This opponent (Windsor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
WindsorNewfoundland Rogues
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WindsorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pontiac Pharaohs
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A09/02
Super League
Sudbury
#2
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H13/02
Super League
Pontiac Pharaohs
#8
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H16/02
Super League
Newfoundland Rogues
#7
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H22/02
Super League
London
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A23/02
Super League
Toledo Glass City
#9
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A01/03
Super League
KW Titans
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/03
Super League
London
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H08/03
Super League
London
#6
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A12/03
Super League
Toledo Glass City
#9
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H14/03
Super League
103.2Avg total
53.5Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.352.1105.3+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.150.8104.9+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)52.453.5105.9-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)53.549.7103.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)52.249.0101.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)51.353.0104.3-1.757%-
vs Similar (10)54.853.9108.7+0.960%-
vs Weaker (6)55.346.8102.2+8.567%-
This opponent (Newfoundland Rogues) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newfoundland RoguesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Windsor
#3
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A22/02
Super League
KW Titans
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A23/02
Super League
Rochester Kingz
#15
W
78-31
78
31
+47
H27/02
Super League
Rochester Kingz
#15
W
70-34
70
34
+36
H28/02
Super League
Rochester Kingz
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H01/03
Super League
Tri City Tide
#13
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H07/03
Super League
Tri City Tide
#13
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H08/03
Super League
Tri City Tide
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H09/03
Super League
Sudbury
#2
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A15/03
Super League
London
#6
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A17/03
Super League
103.6Avg total
57.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.951.1106.0+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (21)55.047.7102.7+7.367%-
Last 30 away (9)54.858.9113.7-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)57.745.9103.6+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)56.646.6103.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.052.099.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (11)52.754.8107.5-2.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)56.748.7105.4+8.072%-
This opponent (Windsor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Windsor wins
1
Newfoundland Rogues wins
Windsorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HToledo Glass City109-105
12/03/25ALondon96-131
08/03/25HLondon111-105
02/03/25AKW Titans99-113
01/03/25AToledo Glass City118-109
23/02/25ALondon108-106
22/02/25HNewfoundland Rogues110-99
16/02/25HPontiac Pharaohs112-110
13/02/25HSudbury100-114
09/02/25APontiac Pharaohs84-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25ALondon108-125
15/03/25ASudbury125-131
09/03/25HTri City Tide128-82
08/03/25HTri City Tide119-92
07/03/25HTri City Tide106-95
01/03/25HRochester Kingz125-100
28/02/25HRochester Kingz136-83
27/02/25HRochester Kingz149-78
23/02/25AKW Titans102-105 OT
22/02/25AWindsor99-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Windsor
Super League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%75%58%
Points / game104.8104.6105.0
Allowed / game107.3104.5110.1
Point differential-2.5+0.1-5.1
Avg total212.1209.1215.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newfoundland Rogues
Super League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games29209
Win %48%65%11%
Points / game114.2114.7113.1
Allowed / game106.7100.3120.7
Point differential+7.5+14.3-7.6
Avg total220.8215.0233.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sudbury2618869%117.4111.5+6.0
2 KW Titans2517868%113.9107.8+6.1
3 Windsor2416867%104.8107.3-2.5
4 Jamestown Jackals2214864%113.8110.1+3.6
5 London31181358%119.7114.6+5.2
6 Newfoundland Rogues29141548%114.2106.7+7.5
7 Pontiac Pharaohs2181338%113.3114.2-0.9
8 Toledo Glass City201195%99.3111.7-12.3
9 Kokomo Bobkats1010%113.0117.0-4.0
10 Lebanon Leprechauns1010%108.0121.0-13.0
11 Rhode Island Kraken3030%99.3127.3-28.0
12 Tri City Tide3030%89.7117.7-28.0
13 Tri-State Admirals2020%109.5148.0-38.5
14 Rochester Kingz4040%90.5135.0-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Windsor38192928114
Newfoundland Rogues20342631111
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