Wolves vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2009

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 93-88

26-20 27-25 19-17 21-26

Position#2

Record9-8

FormWWLLL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game79.9

Wolves 🏆

Adelaide

Position#8

Record9-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game83.7

NBLRound 14

Other2009-10

Meetings · Wolves v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wolves

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

92-80

+12

H04/11

NBL

Cairns

78-89

-11

A06/11

NBL

Townsville

93-69

+24

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

76-83

-7

A14/11

NBL

Adelaide

59-82

-23

H25/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

93-91

A03/12

NBL

Perth

109-84

109

+25

H12/12

NBL

Cairns

70-71

-1

A18/12

NBL

Gold Coast

84-88

-4

A20/12

NBL

Melbourne United

88-90

-2

A26/12

NBL

23-19

29-19

21-21

19-21

21-22

14-27

20-14

23-26

20-15

25-20

25-18

23-16

24-24

14-15

14-19

24-25

16-25

15-24

18-16

10-17

23-23

21-28

24-18

25-22

32-23

28-19

24-17

25-25

19-15

22-15

15-23

14-18

23-20

17-26

19-23

25-19

19-15

23-26

23-31

23-18

166.9Avg total

84.2Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.4	79.9	163.2	+3.5	53%
Season at home (8)	84.6	75.8	160.4	+8.9	88%
Season away (9)	82.2	83.6	165.8	-1.3	22%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	82.7	166.9	+1.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	84.8	173.6	+4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	94.3	87.7	182.0	+6.7	67%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.8	80.9	164.7	+2.9	50%
vs Weaker (4)	74.0	71.5	145.5	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

80-77

H07/11

NBL

Wolves

83-76

H14/11

NBL

Wolves

82-59

+23

A25/11

NBL

Townsville

88-100

100

-12

A27/11

NBL

Melbourne United

84-87 OT

-3

H05/12

NBL

Gold Coast

72-80

-8

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-92

-7

H12/12

NBL

Gold Coast

91-81

+10

H16/12

NBL

Perth

82-70

+12

A19/12

NBL

Perth

73-94

-21

H23/12

NBL

23-26

22-22

17-22

18-7

24-24

15-14

19-14

25-24

25-16

24-15

16-18

17-10

15-18

22-28

26-27

25-27

15-16

15-17

24-19

23-25

15-13

25-21

15-22

17-24

21-22

24-17

29-20

11-33

29-18

24-17

19-27

19-19

20-23

19-19

19-16

24-12

25-20

18-19

11-20

19-35

163.6Avg total

82.0Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	83.3	83.7	167.0	-0.4	50%
Season at home (10)	82.3	83.4	165.7	-1.1	60%
Season away (8)	84.5	84.1	168.6	+0.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	81.6	163.6	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	83.4	164.0	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	83.6	91.2	174.9	-7.6	38%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.0	77.7	160.7	+5.3	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WolvesAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	65%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.3	22.3	48.7	+4.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.3	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	21.3	45.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	18.5	35.2	-1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.8	19.2	40.9	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (7)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	78%	-
vs Weaker	no games

WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

52-38

+14

H04/11

NBL

Cairns

35-49

-14

A06/11

NBL

Townsville

45-35

+10

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

38-39

-1

A14/11

NBL

Adelaide

31-49

-18

H25/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-51

-7

A03/12

NBL

Perth

60-42

+18

H12/12

NBL

Cairns

41-30

+11

A18/12

NBL

Gold Coast

40-46

-6

A20/12

NBL

Melbourne United

42-41

A26/12

NBL

84.8Avg total

42.8Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	41.8	36.4	78.1	+5.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (9)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	42.0	84.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.0	87.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	50.7	43.7	94.3	+7.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.1	39.7	79.8	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.8	35.5	72.2	+1.2	75%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

45-48

-3

H07/11

NBL

Wolves

39-38

H14/11

NBL

Wolves

49-31

+18

A25/11

NBL

Townsville

37-46

-9

A27/11

NBL

Melbourne United

30-33

-3

H05/12

NBL

Gold Coast

40-34

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-39

H12/12

NBL

Gold Coast

53-35

+18

H16/12

NBL

Perth

39-42

-3

A19/12

NBL

Perth

43-39

H23/12

NBL

80.5Avg total

42.0Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	43.2	39.7	82.9	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	43.7	37.9	81.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (7)	42.4	42.3	84.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	38.5	80.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.8	81.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.1	43.6	84.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.0	36.2	81.2	+8.8	78%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.4	19.6	40.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	19.5	40.8	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	35%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.9	19.3	40.1	+1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.6	42.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	42.2	40.5	82.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	42.9	39.4	82.2	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.7	82.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.7	44.0	87.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.7	41.2	84.9	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.7	41.7	80.4	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	36.1	43.3	79.4	-7.2	30%	-
Last 30 away (7)	42.4	39.4	81.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	42.1	81.4	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	45.6	82.2	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.6	45.8	87.4	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.1	38.1	74.2	-2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Wolves wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/09	Wolves v Adelaide	59-82
14/11/09	Adelaide v Wolves	83-76

Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/12/09	A	Melbourne United	88-90
20/12/09	A	Gold Coast	84-88
18/12/09	A	Cairns	70-71
12/12/09	H	Perth	109-84
03/12/09	A	New Zealand Breakers	93-91
25/11/09	H	Adelaide	59-82
14/11/09	A	Adelaide	76-83
07/11/09	A	Townsville	93-69
06/11/09	A	Cairns	78-89
04/11/09	H	Melbourne United	92-80

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/09	H	Perth	73-94
19/12/09	A	Perth	82-70
16/12/09	H	Gold Coast	91-81
12/12/09	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-92
09/12/09	A	Gold Coast	72-80
05/12/09	H	Melbourne United	84-87 OT
27/11/09	A	Townsville	88-100
25/11/09	A	Wolves	82-59
14/11/09	H	Wolves	83-76
07/11/09	H	Gold Coast	80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wolves

NBL 2009-10

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	53%
Home	WWWLW	88%
Away	LWLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	53%	88%	22%
Points / game	83.4	84.6	82.2
Allowed / game	79.9	75.8	83.6
Point differential	+3.5	+8.9	-1.3
Avg total	163.2	160.4	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	75%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WLLWL	60%
Away	LWLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	50%	60%	38%
Points / game	83.3	82.3	84.5
Allowed / game	83.7	83.4	84.1
Point differential	-0.4	-1.1	+0.4
Avg total	167.0	165.7	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	10%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	75% (4)	-
Overtime %	17%	20%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	17	10	7	59%	87.4	85.1	+2.3
2	Gold Coast	17	10	7	59%	84.4	82.4	+1.9
3	Townsville	18	10	8	56%	86.5	85.2	+1.3
4	Wolves	17	9	8	53%	83.4	79.9	+3.5
5	New Zealand Breakers	18	9	9	50%	84.6	83.8	+0.8
6	Adelaide	18	9	9	50%	83.3	83.7	-0.4
7	Cairns	20	9	11	45%	75.2	78.3	-3.1
8	Melbourne United	17	5	12	29%	81.6	87.4	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Wolves	26	27	19	21	93
Adelaide	20	25	17	26	88

← all games of the day

Wolves vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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