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Xinjiang vs Qingdao Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 07 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game90.3
ChinaCBARound 10· Hongshan Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xinjiang v Qingdao
07 Dec 2026
XINJ v QING
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
XINJ82
QING80
24 Dec 2025
XINJ79
QING97
20 Jan 2025
XINJ103
QING83
16 Nov 2024
XINJ95
QING86
05 Feb 2024
XINJ117
QING98
31 Oct 2023
XINJ103
QING85
01 Jan 2023
XINJ108
QING99
04 Jan 2022
XINJ92
QING89
25 Mar 2021
XINJ129
QING106
06 Dec 2020
XINJ113
QING101
27 Jun 2020
XINJ102
QING82
25 Jun 2020
XINJ95
QING90
13 Mar 2019
XINJ142
QING118
07 Dec 2017
XINJ133
QING113
11 Dec 2016
XINJ125
QING112
03 Feb 2016
XINJ139
QING104
28 Jan 2015
XINJ131
QING110
24 Nov 2013
XINJ139
QING107
18 Dec 2012
XINJ121
QING114
07 Dec 2011
XINJ91
QING81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H15/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
86-111
86
111
-25
H17/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-33
13-25
22-21
22-25
20-26
18-22
23-28
25-35
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
180.0Avg total
89.3Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.387.2173.5-0.850%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (2)85.093.5178.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)89.390.7180.0-1.440%
Last 5 (5)87.288.6175.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.195.7178.8-12.69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.986.9174.8+0.943%
vs Weaker (5)89.279.8169.0+9.460%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H24/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
29-21
19-26
22-26
29-26
22-18
27-12
16-28
23-20
15-25
12-23
27-9
13-25
20-26
30-21
31-25
24-29
23-21
24-19
9-13
21-27
27-25
29-29
16-16
21-29
22-19
25-13
12-27
32-18
28-21
25-19
16-22
17-22
39-12
21-28
17-28
18-26
31-25
17-27
20-27
180.6Avg total
89.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.090.3179.3-1.333%
Season at home (4)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season away (2)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)89.890.8180.6-1.030%
Last 5 (5)90.892.0182.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.893.5178.2-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.991.8180.7-2.838%
vs Weaker (13)94.084.5178.5+9.577%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
XinjiangQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H15/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H17/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
96.2Avg total
47.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.648.292.8-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.347.993.2-2.633%-
Last 30 away (12)43.648.692.2-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)47.348.996.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.849.895.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.051.294.2-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.947.592.4-2.643%-
vs Weaker (5)47.443.490.8+4.040%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H24/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
CBA
93.1Avg total
47.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.445.293.6+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.343.894.1+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)46.346.993.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)47.445.793.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.244.896.0+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.248.896.0-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.546.893.4-0.346%-
vs Weaker (13)50.742.593.2+8.269%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.9
57.4%
53.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.7
72.1%
74.8%14.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
53.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
34.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
WLLLWWLWLL
Qingdao
LWWLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#14
-1.6
Net rating
-1.1
101.7
Offensive rating
99.7
103.3
Defensive rating
100.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
11.4%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.4%
3-point %
32.5%
67.4%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 99.7Defence103.3 · 100.8Shooting55.0% · 51.8%3-point %34.4% · 32.5%Ball care11.4% · 11.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Xinjiang wins
4
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Xinjiang v Qingdao82-80
24/04/26Qingdao v Xinjiang94-84
24/12/25Xinjiang v Qingdao79-97
24/03/25Qingdao v Xinjiang106-82
20/01/25Xinjiang v Qingdao103-83
16/11/24Xinjiang v Qingdao95-86
05/02/24Xinjiang v Qingdao117-98
29/01/24Qingdao v Xinjiang84-110
01/12/23Qingdao v Xinjiang104-88
31/10/23Xinjiang v Qingdao103-85
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75
17/04/26HShanghai86-111
15/04/26HShenzhen96-104
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HBeijing86-105
27/10/26HTianjin94-90
25/10/26HNanjing Tongxi101-80
23/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou80-88
21/10/26HLiaoning93-97
17/10/26AXinjiang80-82
02/05/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-97
29/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu86-90 OT
24/04/26HXinjiang94-84
19/04/26HBeijing90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game86.387.085.0
Allowed / game87.284.093.5
Point differential-0.8+3.0-8.5
Avg total173.5171.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game89.093.580.0
Allowed / game90.393.085.0
Point differential-1.3+0.5-5.0
Avg total179.3186.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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