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Yale vs Howard Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 77-70
Projected total 146.2
Final 72-62
40-28 32-34
Position#298
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Yale 🏆
USA
Vs
74%
26%
■ YALE 74%■ HOWA 26%
Pythia win probability
Howard
USA
Position#223
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Yale v Howard
02 Nov 2026
YALE72
HOWA62
01 Jan 2025
YALE93
HOWA65
30 Nov 2022
YALE86
HOWA40
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Yale hosts Howard on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that the Pythia model predicts to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with both teams' defenses and a slow pace expected to keep points low. Yale's recent form shows a 3-2 run in their last five games, including a 88-76 win over Cornell and a 78-53 victory over Princeton, while Howard has gone 4-1 in their last five, highlighted by a 86-83 win over UMBC and a 70-63 win over N. Carolina Central. Their last encounter on 9 February 2026 ended 87-81 in Yale's favour. The model gives Yale a 74% chance to win and Howard a 26% chance, with Yale the favourite. It projects a 77-70 score for Yale, a total of 146.2 points, and a line of -6.5 for Yale, with a 53% probability that Yale covers. The over-152.5 line has a 35% chance of occurring, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. Yale's recent win over Cornell on 14 March 2026 remains a concrete highlight of their season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yale winWon
73.7%fair 1.36
Best odds1.42
Implied67.6%
Edge+6.1pp
Howard winLost
26.3%fair 3.80
Best odds3.25
Implied32.4%
Edge-6.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

YaleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H07/03
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
50-33
38-32
33-39
38-30
45-40
30-34
36-32
35-40
39-30
30-35
39-37
34-25
26-29
32-30
46-23
49-42
39-34
39-41
36-34
148.8Avg total
78.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.070.8148.8+7.280%
Last 5 (5)75.868.6144.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)89.886.2176.0+3.575%
vs Weaker (25)80.668.9149.5+11.780%
This opponent (Howard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HowardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H14/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A17/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H21/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A28/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H03/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H13/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H14/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H17/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-101
80
101
-21
A19/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
38-23
51-26
40-33
42-26
58-41
30-22
54-37
46-29
44-41
39-39
45-37
38-24
40-37
26-23
44-40
49-41
37-42
46-50
34-51
153.4Avg total
84.2Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.269.2153.4+15.090%
Last 5 (5)79.676.8156.4+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.097.0165.0-29.00%
vs Similar (3)78.078.7156.7-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.064.9143.9+14.178%
This opponent (Yale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
46.3%
@ 1.50-16.2pp
Under 147.5
53.7%
@ 2.55+16.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
34.6%
@ 1.90-15.4pp
Under 152.5
65.4%
@ 1.92+15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
SBO
1.82
Under
SBO
1.92
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
24.3%
@ 2.55-12.8pp
Under 157.5
75.7%
@ 1.47+12.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Yale total 74.5Actual: Yale under 74.5
Over 74.5
58.6%
@ 1.36-7.9pp
Under 74.5
41.4%
@ 2.70+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
Yale total 78.5 · main lineActual: Yale under 78.5
Over 78.5
42.8%
@ 1.85-8.2pp
Under 78.5
57.2%
@ 1.93+8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.85
Yale total 82.5Actual: Yale under 82.5
Over 82.5
28.1%
@ 2.42-9.2pp
Under 82.5
71.9%
@ 1.44+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.44
Howard total 68.5Actual: Howard under 68.5
Over 68.5
53.4%
@ 1.34-14.0pp
Under 68.5
46.6%
@ 2.77+14.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.77
Howard total 72.5 · main lineActual: Howard under 72.5
Over 72.5
38.1%
@ 1.90-12.6pp
Under 72.5
61.9%
@ 2.00+12.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Howard total 76.5Actual: Howard under 76.5
Over 76.5
24.7%
@ 2.35-13.8pp
Under 76.5
75.3%
@ 1.47+13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Yale -9.5Actual: Yale -9.5
YALE -9.5
41.8%
@ 2.40+3.1pp
HOWA +9.5
58.2%
@ 1.64-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
YALE
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.12
HOWA
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
Spread Yale -6.5 · main lineActual: Yale -6.5
YALE -6.5
52.9%
@ 1.98+3.5pp
HOWA +6.5
47.1%
@ 1.87-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
YALE
Betano
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.92
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
HOWA
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Spread Yale -3.5Actual: Yale -3.5
YALE -3.5
64.3%
@ 1.60+5.5pp
HOWA +3.5
35.7%
@ 2.30-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
YALE
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.55
HOWA
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.18

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.2+5.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.2+5.2
YaleHoward
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
YaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/03
NCAA
70.1Avg total
35.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71.5
Last 30 (30)38.733.472.1+5.370%47%
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.274.8+6.375%56%
Last 30 away (14)36.632.468.9+4.264%36%
Last 10 (10)35.634.570.1+1.150%30%
Last 5 (5)36.834.671.4+2.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)40.238.879.0+1.575%75%
vs Weaker (25)38.532.971.4+5.668%44%
This opponent (Howard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HowardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A17/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H21/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H13/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H14/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H17/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A19/03
NCAA
71.8Avg total
40.8Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 71.5
Last 30 (30)37.332.269.5+5.270%30%
Last 30 at home (17)39.731.170.8+8.688%29%
Last 30 away (13)34.233.667.8+0.646%31%
Last 10 (10)40.831.071.8+9.880%50%
Last 5 (5)39.635.475.0+4.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.051.083.0-19.00%50%
vs Similar (3)39.735.375.0+4.367%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.329.767.0+7.674%26%
This opponent (Yale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Yale win
YALE win
no forecast
@ 1.50
HOWA win
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Spread Yale -3 · main lineActual: Yale -3
YALE -3
no forecast
@ 1.85
HOWA +3
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 71.5 · main lineActual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Yale 1st half total 38 · main lineActual: Yale over 38
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Howard 1st half total 35 · main lineActual: Howard under 35
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 73Actual: Under 73
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Spread Yale -4.5Actual: Yale -4.5
YALE -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
HOWA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Yale -1.5Actual: Yale -1.5
YALE -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
HOWA +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.32
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Spread Yale -5.5Actual: Yale -5.5
YALE -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
HOWA +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Yale -6.5Actual: Yale -6.5
YALE -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
HOWA +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Yale -7.5Actual: Yale -7.5
YALE -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
HOWA +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
1st half Spread Yale +1.5Actual: Yale +1.5
YALE +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
HOWA -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.82
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Yale (regulation)
YALE
no forecast
@ 1.55
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
HOWA
no forecast
@ 2.65

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
YALE win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
HOWA win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: YALE leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Howard under 75.572.3%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+14.8ppWon
Under 15571.2%1.65
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.62		---+14.2ppWon
Howard under 76.575.3%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+13.8ppWon
Under 155.571.8%1.59
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58		---+13.8ppWon
Howard under 77.578.2%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+13.7ppWon
Under 156.573.8%1.54
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53		---+13.6ppWon
Under 15673.3%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+13.5ppWon
Howard under 78.580.9%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+13.3ppWon
Under 157.575.7%1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47		---+12.8ppWon
Under 15775.3%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+12.8ppWon
Under 15877.1%1.44
Bet365
1.44		----+12.6ppWon
Under 158.577.6%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40		---+12.5ppWon
Under 15978.9%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+11.9ppWon
Under 159.579.3%1.37
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36		---+11.9ppWon
Under 16080.6%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+11.2ppWon
Under 160.580.9%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.5ppWon
Yale under 82.571.9%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+9.2ppWon
Yale under 83.575.1%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+9.0ppWon
Yale under 84.578.2%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+8.9ppWon
Yale +2.579.0%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+7.3ppWon
Yale (regulation)71.2%1.41
Betano
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.38		--+6.5ppWon
Yale win73.7%1.38
Betano
1.42
WilliamHill
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.37		+6.1ppWon
Yale -1.571.3%1.41
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.38		---+5.8ppWon
Yale +1.575.9%1.30
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.27		---+4.8ppWon
Overtime: no95.6%1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02		---+4.7ppWon
Yale -270.1%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+4.4ppWon
Yale -173.0%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+3.6ppWon
Yale +175.3%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+3.0ppWon
Howard +14.574.3%1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.23		---+1.0ppWon
Howard +1473.6%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----1.2ppWon
Howard +13.571.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.26		----1.6ppWon
Howard +1370.5%1.28
Bet365
1.28		-----1.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Yale wins
0
Howard wins
DateGameScore
10/02/26Howard v Yale81-87 OT
01/01/25Yale v Howard93-65
03/01/24Howard v Yale78-86 OT
01/12/22Yale v Howard86-40
20/01/20Howard v Yale75-89
Yalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HPenn84-88 OT
14/03/26HCornell88-76
07/03/26HPrinceton78-53
28/02/26AColumbia60-54
27/02/26ACornell69-72
21/02/26HPenn74-70
14/02/26AHarvard76-75 OT
14/02/26ADartmouth83-70
10/02/26AHoward87-81 OT
07/02/26HBrown81-69
Howardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AMichigan80-101
17/03/26HUMBC Retrievers86-83
14/03/26HN. Carolina Central70-63
13/03/26HSouth Carolina St78-61
06/03/26ANorfolk State84-76
03/03/26HCoppin State90-70
28/02/26AMorgan State84-59
21/02/26HN. Carolina Central100-67
17/02/26ADelaware State91-59
14/02/26HMd.-East. Shore79-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Yale
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Howard
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
2 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Yale403272
Howard283462
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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