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Yambol vs Botev Academic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 80-87
Projected total 167.3
Final 93-96
19-25 20-25 32-15 22-31
Position#13
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game91.0
Vs
27%
73%
■ YAMB 27%■ BOTE 73%
Pythia win probability
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWLWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game80.0
BulgariaNBLRound 5· Diana
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Yambol will host Botev Academic on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, a clash that pits a winless Yambol side on a 0-4 run against a Botev Academic squad that has gone 3-1 this season; the former has averaged 67.0 points per game while conceding 91.0, whereas the latter has posted 89.8 points for and 80.0 against, occupying fifth place in the league. Yambol's two home outings have yielded 0-2, 68.5 points scored and 90.0 allowed, and they have lost all five of their most recent games, including defeats to Shumen, Balkan and Cherno More, while Botev Academic's single road game was a 1-0 win, 85.0 points for and 73.0 against, and they have won three of their last four, with victories over Levski, Botev 2012 and a narrow loss to Minyor. The teams have met once before, with Botev Academic emerging victorious in that encounter. According to Pythia, Botev Academic is the favourite with a 73% chance of winning versus Yambol's 27%; the model projects a score of 80-87 and a total of 167.3 points, and it estimates a 4% probability that the game will go into overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yambol winLost
27.5%fair 3.64
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botev Academic winWon
72.5%fair 1.38
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

YambolBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYambol
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H27/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
no box
A06/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A10/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A13/04
NBL
Levski
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A19/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
A22/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
64-96
64
96
-32
15avg 44
H11/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
61-87
61
87
-26
52avg 44
A18/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
65avg 44
H23/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
A04/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-39
23-17
16-26
22-23
26-30
29-26
26-22
23-13
17-19
19-16
13-23
19-33
19-29
19-14
18-9
16-22
19-22
19-20
23-19
18-27
18-23
14-23
17-20
22-18
22-21
11-21
15-29
16-25
12-19
19-28
19-20
11-20
20-22
15-19
16-24
22-19
12-25
20-26
19-28
19-18
164.5Avg total
74.8Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.091.0158.0-24.00%
Season at home (2)68.590.0158.5-21.50%
Season away (2)65.592.0157.5-26.50%
Last 10 (10)74.889.7164.5-14.910%
Last 5 (5)67.889.6157.4-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.888.1159.9-16.37%
vs Similar (11)79.079.3158.3-0.345%
vs Weaker (3)95.093.0188.0+2.067%
This opponent (Botev Academic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev AcademicBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademic
Date
Competition
Beroe
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
49avg 76
H11/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 76
H17/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
78avg 76
A24/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
91-65
91
65
+26
96avg 76
H30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
24-22
21-9
23-25
24-29
22-23
27-26
20-18
18-21
22-13
22-16
23-23
22-12
26-19
20-14
23-20
169.8Avg total
89.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.880.0169.8+9.875%
Season at home (3)91.382.3173.7+9.067%
Season away (1)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (4)89.880.0169.8+9.875%
Last 5 (4)89.880.0169.8+9.875%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.096.0189.0-3.00%
vs Similar (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.069.0157.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Yambol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
52.4%
Under 166
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Over 171
Over 171
40.1%
Under 171
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176Actual: Over 176
Over 176
28.9%
Under 176
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Yambol total 84Actual: Yambol over 84
Over 84
34.8%
Under 84
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yambol total 88Actual: Yambol over 88
Over 88
21.8%
Under 88
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yambol total 92Actual: Yambol over 92
Over 92
12.4%
Under 92
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Academic total 79Actual: Botev Academic over 79
Over 79
79.4%
Under 79
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Academic total 83Actual: Botev Academic over 83
Over 83
66.0%
Under 83
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Academic total 87Actual: Botev Academic over 87
Over 87
50.1%
Under 87
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Yambol -3Actual: Botev Academic +3
YAMB -3
20.2%
BOTE +3
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
YAMB
No market prices yet.
BOTE
No market prices yet.
Spread Yambol 0Actual: Botev Academic 0
YAMB 0
27.5%
BOTE 0
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
YAMB
No market prices yet.
BOTE
No market prices yet.
Spread Yambol +3Push
YAMB +3
35.0%
BOTE -3
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
YAMB
No market prices yet.
BOTE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
YambolBotev Academic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
YambolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/04
NBL
Levski
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A22/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A18/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H23/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A04/11
NBL
83.7Avg total
37.8Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.583.0-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.946.083.9-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)37.845.983.7-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)32.645.478.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.745.982.5-9.27%-
vs Similar (11)41.138.279.3+2.964%-
vs Weaker (3)50.750.7101.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Botev Academic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev AcademicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H11/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H17/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/10
NBL
87.2Avg total
45.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)45.042.287.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (3)46.745.091.7+1.733%-
Last 30 away (1)40.034.074.0+6.0100%-
Last 10 (4)45.042.287.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (4)45.042.287.2+2.850%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.032.576.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Yambol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Yamboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Yambol: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.2
57.5%
55.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.1
24.9%
29.8%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.912.3
72.8%
71.2%12.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botev Academictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botev Academic: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.027.0
61.4%
55.5%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.04.0
20.0%
29.8%12.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.7%
71.2%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Yambol
LLLLLLLLWL
Botev Academic
WWLW
#13
League position
#5
-19.8
Net rating
+4.3
88.0
Offensive rating
91.3
107.8
Defensive rating
87.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
22.6%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
24.9%
3-point %
20.0%
66.0%
Assist %
72.6%
10%
Form (last 10/4)
75%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 91.3Defence107.8 · 87.0Shooting49.0% · 51.6%3-point %24.9% · 20.0%Ball care22.6% · 14.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/4)10% · 75%
■ Yambol   ■ Botev Academic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Yambol wins
0
Botev Academic wins
No previous meetings.
Yambollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26AShumen70-97
23/10/26HBalkan73-84
18/10/26ACherno More61-87
11/10/26HRilski Sportist64-96
22/04/24AShumen71-84
19/04/24ALevski79-88
13/04/24AAcademic Plovdiv72-74
10/04/24AMinyor68-91
06/04/24ABeroe104-91
27/03/24HShumen86-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HLevski91-65
24/10/26ABotev 201285-73
17/10/26HMinyor93-96
11/10/26HBeroe90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Yambol
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.068.565.5
Allowed / game91.090.092.0
Point differential-24.0-21.5-26.5
Avg total158.0158.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botev Academic
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game89.891.385.0
Allowed / game80.082.373.0
Point differential+9.8+9.0+12.0
Avg total169.8173.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
2 Minyor440100%109.895.0+14.8
3 Cherno More43175%87.269.8+17.5
4 Rilski Sportist43175%92.076.2+15.8
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Lok. Plovdiv43175%89.080.2+8.8
7 Spartak Pleven43175%85.276.8+8.5
8 Shumen43175%93.890.5+3.2
9 Beroe41325%96.089.0+7.0
10 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
11 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
12 Botev 20124040%76.293.2-17.0
13 Yambol4040%67.091.0-24.0
14 Polytechnica4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Yambol1920322293
Botev Academic2525153196
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