Zalgiris Kaunas vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Apr 2011

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 85-76

20-23 20-10 19-24 26-19

Position#1

Record3-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game96.7

Allowed / game63.7

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Tallinna Kalev

Position#14

Record6-16

FormWWWLW

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game82.2

Baltic LeagueBaltic League - Semi-finals

Other2010

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tallinna Kalev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

72-80

-8

A02/02

Euroleague

BC Kalev/Cramo

#11

91-66

+25

A09/02

VTB United League

Fenerbahce

85-84 OT

H16/02

Euroleague

Valencia

#18

74-80

-6

H24/02

Euroleague

Olympiacos

64-78

-14

A03/03

Euroleague

Gdynia

84-79

H09/03

VTB United League

Nevezis

#10

104-70

104

+34

H14/03

Baltic League

Azovmash Mariupol

75-86

-11

H17/03

VTB United League

Nevezis

#10

78-66

+12

A19/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

108-55

108

+53

H09/04

Baltic League

19-22

22-19

13-17

18-22

20-16

19-18

20-18

32-14

15-11

15-20

19-18

20-20

17-18

20-17

17-23

20-22

20-19

14-22

15-17

15-20

19-10

19-24

25-25

21-20

24-19

24-18

27-18

29-15

22-26

25-23

22-18

6-19

15-23

18-17

22-11

23-15

30-14

31-11

26-12

21-18

157.9Avg total

83.5Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	96.7	63.7	160.3	+33.0	100%
Season at home (2)	106.0	62.5	168.5	+43.5	100%
Season away (1)	78.0	66.0	144.0	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	74.4	157.9	+9.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	71.2	161.0	+18.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	76.2	79.8	155.9	-3.6	31%
vs Similar (4)	67.0	70.8	137.8	-3.8	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	83.5	70.9	154.5	+12.6	85%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tartu Ulikool

72-71

A08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

73-79

-6

H13/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

93-85

H18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

102-65

102

+37

H20/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

TTU Kalev II

90-62

+28

A25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

89-66

+23

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

100-82

100

+18

H29/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

89-53

+36

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

87-99 OT

-12

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

89-80

H07/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

19-21

26-16

18-15

9-19

19-17

18-25

14-15

22-22

27-17

19-16

25-27

22-25

24-18

28-11

28-16

22-20

18-11

23-19

25-11

24-21

26-14

21-24

17-11

25-17

32-27

27-23

24-16

17-16

13-18

27-6

26-20

23-9

22-22

19-26

22-14

18-19

24-15

19-22

29-17

17-26

162.6Avg total

88.4Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	72.2	82.2	154.4	-10.0	27%
Season at home (11)	76.3	81.8	158.1	-5.5	45%
Season away (11)	68.2	82.5	150.7	-14.4	9%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	74.2	162.6	+14.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	76.0	166.8	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	70.2	80.8	151.0	-10.7	23%
vs Similar (2)	80.5	73.5	154.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker (15)	94.5	77.9	172.4	+16.5	87%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Zalgiris KaunasTallinna Kalev

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.1	39.1	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	46%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	19.5	37.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.1	17.4	40.5	+5.7	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.5	38.9	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.1	39.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	54%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.3	19.5	42.7	+3.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.7	40.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.3	42.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.8	20.1	43.9	+3.7	53%	-

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

41-41

A02/02

Euroleague

BC Kalev/Cramo

#11

39-34

A09/02

VTB United League

Fenerbahce

30-31

-1

H16/02

Euroleague

Valencia

#18

37-35

H24/02

Euroleague

Olympiacos

34-41

-7

A03/03

Euroleague

Gdynia

38-34

H09/03

VTB United League

Nevezis

#10

48-37

+11

H14/03

Baltic League

Azovmash Mariupol

47-49

-2

H17/03

VTB United League

Nevezis

#10

33-40

-7

A19/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

61-25

+36

H09/04

Baltic League

77.5Avg total

40.8Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.7	76.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	35.4	76.1	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	39.9	76.8	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.7	77.5	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	37.0	82.4	+8.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.4	39.5	74.9	-4.2	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.0	36.8	71.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.4	36.1	79.5	+7.3	69%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tartu Ulikool

45-37

A08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-42

-5

H13/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

46-33

+13

H18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

52-29

+23

H20/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

TTU Kalev II

41-30

+11

A25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

47-38

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

59-50

H29/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

40-24

+16

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

41-48

-7

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

43-37

H07/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

81.9Avg total

45.1Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.3	80.9	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	36.2	79.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	36.8	81.9	+8.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	39.4	85.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.7	40.5	76.2	-4.8	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	30.0	69.0	+9.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	47.1	39.5	86.6	+7.5	87%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.1	35.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.8	41.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+2.9	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.9	38.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	16.2	39.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.6	39.2	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.7	20.8	36.5	-5.1	15%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.5	23.5	52.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.0	18.1	42.1	+5.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	46%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	18.0	32.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.4	17.5	36.8	+1.9	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.3	38.5	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.4	73.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	36.1	74.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	34.8	71.6	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.2	77.3	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	34.2	78.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	54%	-
vs Similar (4)	32.0	34.0	66.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.2	34.3	73.5	+4.8	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.6	79.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	41.1	82.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	36.2	76.6	+4.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.6	78.3	+7.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	33.0	76.6	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	33.5	39.5	73.0	-6.1	15%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.5	43.5	85.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	47.0	37.2	84.2	+9.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Tallinna Kalev wins

No previous meetings.

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/04/11	H	Ventspils	108-55
19/03/11	A	Nevezis	78-66
17/03/11	H	Azovmash Mariupol	75-86
14/03/11	H	Nevezis	104-70
09/03/11	H	Gdynia	84-79
03/03/11	A	Olympiacos	64-78
24/02/11	H	Valencia	74-80
16/02/11	H	Fenerbahce	85-84 OT
09/02/11	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	91-66
02/02/11	A	Fenerbahce	72-80

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/11	H	Rapla	89-80
05/04/11	A	Rapla	87-99 OT
02/04/11	H	Rapla	89-53
29/03/11	H	Rapla	100-82
26/03/11	H	Valga	89-66
25/03/11	A	TTU Kalev II	90-62
20/03/11	H	Parnu	102-65
18/03/11	H	Rakvere Tarvas	93-85
13/03/11	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	73-79
08/03/11	A	Tartu Ulikool	72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas

Baltic League 2010

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	96.7	106.0	78.0
Allowed / game	63.7	62.5	66.0
Point differential	+33.0	+43.5	+12.0
Avg total	160.3	168.5	144.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tallinna Kalev

Baltic League 2010

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	27%
Home	LWLLW	45%
Away	LLLLW	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	27%	45%	9%
Points / game	72.2	76.3	68.2
Allowed / game	82.2	81.8	82.5
Point differential	-10.0	-5.5	-14.4
Avg total	154.4	158.1	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	9%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	3	3	0	100%	96.7	63.7	+33.0
2	VEF Riga	25	20	5	80%	81.2	70.8	+10.3
3	Ventspils	25	19	6	76%	78.1	72.3	+5.8
4	Rytas	3	2	1	67%	81.0	80.0	+1.0
5	Skycop	24	14	10	58%	81.0	75.4	+5.7
6	Tartu Ulikool	24	14	10	58%	77.0	73.5	+3.6
7	BC Kalev/Cramo	22	12	10	55%	79.1	75.5	+3.6
8	Siauliai	24	13	11	54%	81.0	80.7	+0.3
9	Nevezis	24	13	11	54%	74.6	75.4	-0.8
10	Rytas 2	22	9	13	41%	72.4	73.1	-0.7
11	Norrkoping	22	9	13	41%	81.6	86.9	-5.3
12	BK Liepaja	22	7	15	32%	75.1	82.5	-7.4
13	Tallinna Kalev	22	6	16	27%	72.2	82.2	-10.0
14	Valmiera/ORDO	22	1	21	5%	66.0	78.8	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zalgiris Kaunas	20	20	19	26	85
Tallinna Kalev	23	10	24	19	76

← all games of the day

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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