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Zaragoza W vs Leganes W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:15
Projected 84-60
Projected total 143.3
Final 76-51
19-21 22-10 18-8 17-12
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game60.0
Vs
98%
■ ZARA 98%■ LEGA 2%
Pythia win probability
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game68.8
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 6· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Women2026-27
Meetings · Zaragoza W v Leganes W
01 Nov 2026
ZARA76
LEGA51
08 Apr 2026
ZARA73
LEGA50
11 Dec 2022
ZARA87
LEGA93
26 Sep 2021
ZARA64
LEGA60
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Zaragoza W host Leganes W in the Liga Femenina W. Pythia makes Zaragoza W the favourite at 98% and projects 84-60, about 143 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Zaragoza W are 5-0 this season (87.4 scored, 60.0 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Leganes W are 2-3 this season (63.4 scored, 68.8 allowed a game), form WLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zaragoza W winWon
97.7%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leganes W winLost
2.3%fair 44.13
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zaragoza WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
67avg 75
H14/05
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 75
A17/05
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
W
68-41
68
41
+27
62avg 75
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
108-72
108
72
+36
118avg 75
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
81avg 75
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#12
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
68avg 75
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
W
95-64
95
64
+31
103avg 75
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Athinaikos W
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
91avg 75
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 75
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#8
W
77-55
77
55
+22
74avg 75
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
7-22
19-16
24-22
22-18
14-15
17-18
14-17
22-8
16-11
11-9
19-13
21-15
28-16
34-26
25-15
13-12
23-11
25-18
22-11
25-14
13-20
19-20
11-14
24-18
27-21
19-13
25-12
25-12
21-23
20-23
23-20
20-13
23-19
21-24
19-15
25-22
20-9
18-6
14-18
147.6Avg total
81.9Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.460.0147.4+27.4100%
Season at home (2)81.552.5134.0+29.0100%
Season away (3)91.365.0156.3+26.3100%
Last 10 (10)81.965.7147.6+16.280%
Last 5 (5)84.068.6152.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.063.0119.0-7.00%
vs Similar (8)73.566.9140.4+6.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.763.7146.4+19.090%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
67-66
67
66
+1
51avg 59
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
87-61
87
61
+26
92avg 59
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
50avg 59
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
70avg 59
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
44avg 59
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
no box
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 59
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
49-70
49
70
-21
39avg 59
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 59
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
57avg 59
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-11
18-22
14-17
33-7
12-21
24-12
18-21
6-28
15-26
21-12
27-14
27-15
22-28
20-19
13-20
18-30
13-23
12-22
20-14
16-16
19-20
17-11
14-16
12-25
21-18
18-17
9-10
9-12
15-21
13-18
12-19
17-26
13-17
28-23
21-17
16-14
14-16
17-14
16-14
140.7Avg total
68.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.468.8132.2-5.440%
Season at home (3)59.363.7123.0-4.367%
Season away (2)69.576.5146.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)68.572.2140.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)63.468.8132.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.277.0141.2-12.818%
vs Similar (14)69.966.6136.4+3.364%
vs Weaker (5)77.058.4135.4+18.680%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136Actual: Under 136
Over 136
67.8%
Under 136
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 141Actual: Under 141
Over 141
55.7%
Under 141
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146Actual: Under 146
Over 146
43.0%
Under 146
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Zaragoza W total 68Actual: Zaragoza W over 68
Over 68
94.8%
Under 68
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza W total 72Actual: Zaragoza W over 72
Over 72
88.9%
Under 72
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza W total 76Push
Over 76
79.1%
Under 76
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes W total 65Actual: Leganes W under 65
Over 65
28.4%
Under 65
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes W total 69Actual: Leganes W under 69
Over 69
16.3%
Under 69
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leganes W total 73Actual: Leganes W under 73
Over 73
8.4%
Under 73
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zaragoza W -3Actual: Zaragoza W -3
ZARA -3
96.7%
LEGA +3
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
ZARA
No market prices yet.
LEGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Zaragoza W 0Actual: Zaragoza W 0
ZARA 0
97.7%
LEGA 0
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
ZARA
No market prices yet.
LEGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Zaragoza W +3Actual: Zaragoza W +3
ZARA +3
98.6%
LEGA -3
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
ZARA
No market prices yet.
LEGA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Zaragoza WLeganes W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/05
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/05
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#14
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Athinaikos W
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/10
Euroleague Women
73.2Avg total
41.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.831.971.7+7.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.430.672.1+10.879%-
Last 30 away (16)38.433.071.4+5.475%-
Last 10 (10)41.232.073.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.278.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.037.057.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (8)38.433.672.0+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.331.072.3+10.381%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
72.3Avg total
33.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.171.2-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.935.672.6+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)32.936.669.6-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)33.339.072.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.437.067.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.141.675.7-7.518%-
vs Similar (14)34.633.668.3+1.071%-
vs Weaker (5)38.430.869.2+7.680%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.1
52.5%
46.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
30.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.4
75.0%
74.7%14.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.5
44.2%
46.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.0
24.6%
30.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.9
68.8%
74.7%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zaragoza W
WWWWWWWWLL
Leganes W
WLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#11
+21.4
Net rating
-8.8
108.3
Offensive rating
93.5
86.9
Defensive rating
102.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
41.5%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
4.9%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
24.6%
71.6%
Assist %
57.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 93.5Defence86.9 · 102.3Shooting52.0% · 41.5%3-point %34.2% · 24.6%Ball care4.9% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zaragoza W   ■ Leganes W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zaragoza W wins
1
Leganes W wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Zaragoza W v Leganes W73-50
12/10/25Leganes W v Zaragoza W47-68
15/04/23Leganes W v Zaragoza W73-84
11/12/22Zaragoza W v Leganes W87-93 OT
09/01/22Leganes W v Zaragoza W75-80
26/09/21Zaragoza W v Leganes W64-60
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HKibirkstis Vilnius W77-55
25/10/26APerfumerias Avenida W83-71
21/10/26AAthinaikos W89-78
17/10/26HEnsino W95-64
14/10/26HLandes W76-75 OT
11/10/26ACelta W83-52
07/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W108-72
04/10/26HEstepona W68-41
17/05/26AValencia W67-68
14/05/26HValencia W73-81
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAraski W63-58
17/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W79-83
11/10/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W49-70
08/10/26ACadi La Seu W60-70
03/10/26HJairis W66-63
03/05/26AUni Girona W63-89
30/04/26HUni Girona W82-82
25/04/26AFerrol W69-80
18/04/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W87-61
11/04/26HJoventut Badalona W67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zaragoza W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.481.591.3
Allowed / game60.052.565.0
Point differential+27.4+29.0+26.3
Avg total147.4134.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game63.459.369.5
Allowed / game68.863.776.5
Point differential-5.4-4.3-7.0
Avg total132.2123.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W550100%87.460.0+27.4
2 Mallorca Palma W65183%79.766.8+12.8
3 Jairis W65183%73.562.5+11.0
4 Valencia W54180%82.864.8+18.0
5 Estepona W64267%69.363.5+5.8
6 IDK Gipuzkoa W64267%69.563.7+5.8
7 Cadi La Seu W64267%65.765.2+0.5
8 Ferrol W64267%74.077.7-3.7
9 Gernika Bizkaia W63350%78.282.7-4.5
10 Leganes W52340%63.468.8-5.4
11 Perfumerias Avenida W62433%71.775.8-4.2
12 Estudiantes W62433%66.776.3-9.7
13 Uni Girona W61517%64.269.7-5.5
14 Ensino W61517%60.075.7-15.7
15 Celta W5050%66.881.0-14.2
16 Araski W6060%61.575.8-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zaragoza W1922181776
Leganes W211081251
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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