Zeleznicar vs Sloboda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 71-76

12-21 18-18 21-20 20-17

Position#13

Record4-14

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game83.7

Zeleznicar

Sloboda 🏆

Position#10

Record6-12

FormLLWLW

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game80.4

First LeagueRound 19

Other2011-12

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zeleznicar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sloboda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zeleznicar Serbia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mega Bemax

78-85

-7

A04/12

First League

Sloga

95-100

100

-5

H10/12

First League

Borac Mozzart

64-80

-16

A14/12

First League

KK Metalac

#11

78-57

+21

H17/12

First League

Smederevo

104-105 OT

104

105

-1

H24/12

First League

OKK Beograd

58-78

-20

A27/12

First League

Naftagas

#14

81-68

+13

A13/01

First League

OKK Beograd

72-74

-2

H21/01

First League

Napredak

#12

66-75

-9

A28/01

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

76-87

-11

H01/02

First League

22-27

16-15

18-21

22-22

23-22

26-25

23-24

23-29

19-19

16-19

15-17

14-25

15-19

26-16

15-11

22-11

16-26

30-23

22-17

13-15

12-23

26-18

12-23

8-14

26-16

23-18

20-22

12-12

28-10

13-17

16-26

15-21

25-19

14-12

7-23

20-21

14-24

14-16

25-23

23-24

158.1Avg total

77.2Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.2	83.7	162.9	-4.6	22%
Season at home (9)	84.4	85.3	169.8	-0.9	22%
Season away (9)	73.9	82.1	156.0	-8.2	22%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	80.9	158.1	-3.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	76.4	147.0	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.9	88.6	165.5	-11.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	85.6	78.2	163.8	+7.4	60%
vs Weaker (2)	75.5	70.5	146.0	+5.0	50%

This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sloboda

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Smederevo

85-91

-6

A25/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

70-71

-1

H03/12

First League

Naftagas

#14

85-76

A10/12

First League

Radnicki

70-68

H14/12

First League

OKK Beograd

70-86

-16

A17/12

First League

Mega Bemax

80-86

-6

H24/12

First League

Napredak

#12

68-72

-4

A14/01

First League

Sloga

80-70

+10

H21/01

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

71-100

100

-29

A28/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

74-66

H01/02

First League

21-30

21-29

19-8

24-24

19-19

13-19

21-17

17-16

22-21

17-12

24-22

22-21

14-15

17-21

15-7

24-25

9-26

20-22

21-22

20-16

14-24

16-19

19-25

31-18

24-8

11-22

13-18

20-24

19-20

25-15

18-18

18-17

17-32

14-25

19-26

21-17

19-12

15-17

21-14

19-23

153.9Avg total

75.3Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	74.1	80.4	154.5	-6.4	33%
Season at home (9)	76.4	77.2	153.7	-0.8	44%
Season away (9)	71.7	83.7	155.3	-12.0	22%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	78.6	153.9	-3.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	78.8	153.4	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	71.7	82.8	154.4	-11.1	12%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.2	79.4	156.7	-2.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	83.0	74.0	157.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Zeleznicar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZeleznicarSloboda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.5	22.4	40.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.4	21.5	38.8	-4.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	65%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	24%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.6	19.5	38.2	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.5	21.4	37.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.6	35.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.8	23.4	40.2	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	12.0	29.0	+5.0	100%	-

ZeleznicarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mega Bemax

38-42

-4

A04/12

First League

Sloga

49-47

H10/12

First League

Borac Mozzart

35-38

-3

A14/12

First League

KK Metalac

#11

41-35

H17/12

First League

Smederevo

46-49

-3

H24/12

First League

OKK Beograd

38-41

-3

A27/12

First League

Naftagas

#14

49-34

+15

A13/01

First League

OKK Beograd

41-27

+14

H21/01

First League

Napredak

#12

39-31

A28/01

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

28-40

-12

H01/02

First League

78.8Avg total

40.4Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	39.2	39.5	78.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	37.9	40.0	77.9	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	34.6	73.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.7	40.3	77.0	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	38.0	77.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Smederevo

42-59

-17

A25/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

32-38

-6

H03/12

First League

Naftagas

#14

39-33

A10/12

First League

Radnicki

31-36

-5

H14/12

First League

OKK Beograd

29-48

-19

A17/12

First League

Mega Bemax

30-43

-13

H24/12

First League

Napredak

#12

35-30

A14/01

First League

Sloga

44-35

H21/01

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

31-57

-26

A28/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

34-29

H01/02

First League

75.5Avg total

34.7Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	36.3	41.8	78.0	-5.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.5	39.9	77.4	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (10)	35.0	43.8	78.8	-8.8	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	40.8	75.5	-6.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	38.8	73.6	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.2	44.8	79.0	-10.6	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Zeleznicar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.2	22.2	39.5	-5.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.4	39.4	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	23.1	41.2	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.7	22%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.4	34.0	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	14.5	33.5	+4.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	37.5	41.0	78.5	-3.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.3	41.2	80.6	-1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	35.5	40.8	76.2	-5.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	40.1	74.6	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	41.8	73.4	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.8	43.4	79.2	-7.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	32.5	68.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	38.6	39.6	78.1	-1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.6	38.1	77.7	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	37.4	41.2	78.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	37.8	78.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.4	42.1	79.6	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	43.0	89.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zeleznicar wins

Sloboda wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/11	Sloboda v Zeleznicar	82-96

Zeleznicarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/12	H	Vojvodina Novi Sad	76-87
28/01/12	A	Napredak	66-75
21/01/12	H	OKK Beograd	72-74
13/01/12	A	Naftagas	81-68
27/12/11	A	OKK Beograd	58-78
24/12/11	H	Smederevo	104-105 OT
17/12/11	H	KK Metalac	78-57
14/12/11	A	Borac Mozzart	64-80
10/12/11	H	Sloga	95-100
04/12/11	A	Mega Bemax	78-85

Slobodalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/12	H	Borac Mozzart	74-66
28/01/12	A	Vojvodina Novi Sad	71-100
21/01/12	H	Sloga	80-70
14/01/12	A	Napredak	68-72
24/12/11	H	Mega Bemax	80-86
17/12/11	A	OKK Beograd	70-86
14/12/11	H	Radnicki	70-68
10/12/11	A	Naftagas	85-76
03/12/11	H	Tamis Petrohemija	70-71
25/11/11	A	Smederevo	85-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zeleznicar

First League 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	22%
Home	LWLLL	22%
Away	LLLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	22%	22%	22%
Points / game	79.2	84.4	73.9
Allowed / game	83.7	85.3	82.1
Point differential	-4.6	-0.9	-8.2
Avg total	162.9	169.8	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	22%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (5)	-
Overtime %	11%	22%	0%

Sloboda

First League 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	33%
Home	LWLWW	44%
Away	LWLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	44%	22%
Points / game	74.1	76.4	71.7
Allowed / game	80.4	77.2	83.7
Point differential	-6.4	-0.8	-12.0
Avg total	154.5	153.7	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vojvodina Novi Sad	19	16	3	84%	86.9	75.8	+11.1
2	Mega Bemax	19	14	5	74%	84.5	79.1	+5.4
3	Radnicki	19	14	5	74%	83.0	79.2	+3.8
4	Tamis Petrohemija	18	11	7	61%	73.8	71.6	+2.3
5	Radnicki Basket	19	11	8	58%	80.1	76.2	+3.9
6	Smederevo	19	11	8	58%	85.1	84.6	+0.4
7	Borac Mozzart	18	10	8	56%	75.1	71.3	+3.8
8	OKK Beograd	19	10	9	53%	77.2	74.1	+3.1
9	Sloga	19	10	9	53%	82.9	83.3	-0.4
10	KK Metalac	18	6	12	33%	74.3	80.3	-5.9
11	Sloboda	18	6	12	33%	74.1	80.4	-6.4
12	Napredak	18	5	13	28%	75.9	82.1	-6.1
13	Zeleznicar	18	4	14	22%	79.2	83.7	-4.6
14	Naftagas	19	2	17	11%	74.5	85.9	-11.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zeleznicar	12	18	21	20	71
Sloboda	21	18	20	17	76

← all games of the day

Zeleznicar vs Sloboda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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