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Zlin vs SK Zabovresky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 86-70
Projected total 156.2
Final 93-65
20-15 32-19 22-11 19-20
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game68.2
Zlin 🏆
Czech Republic
Vs
93%
■ ZLIN 93%■ SK Z 7%
Pythia win probability
Position#11
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game76.8
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 9· Mestska SH Zelene
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Zlin host SK Zabovresky in the 1. Liga on 13 November 2026, and the Pythia model rates Zlin as the clear favourite, assigning them a 93% chance of victory largely because of their 6-2 record and a points-per-game advantage of 87.1 to 73.1, while their opponents sit at 4-4 with 73.1 points scored and 76.8 allowed. Zlin have won 6 of 8 games this season, averaging 87.1 points and conceding 68.2, and have been 2-1 at home, scoring 83.7 and allowing 72.3; their last five games included four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 122-71 away win over MS Academy, a 97-74 home win over Svitavy, and a 95-65 away win over Basketbal Olomouc. SK Zabovresky have gone 4-4 overall, with 73.1 points scored and 76.8 allowed, and are 2-1 on the road, averaging 80.3 points and 70.7 allowed; their recent five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a 69-84 home loss to Novy Jicin, a 71-76 away loss to Vysoka, and a 72-67 home win over Opava. The head-to-head record shows no prior meetings, and the last encounter is not recorded. Pythia projects a 86-70 score for Zlin, a total of 156.2 points, and a 37% probability that Zlin will cover the home line of -20.5, while the over on the 154.0 total has a 55% chance; overtime is unlikely at 2%.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlin winWon
92.5%fair 1.08
Best odds1.08
Implied89.1%
Edge+3.4pp
SK Zabovresky winLost
7.5%fair 13.37
Best odds11.00
Implied10.9%
Edge-3.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlin
Date
Competition
Hradec Kralove
#12
L
56-81
56
81
-25
48avg 77
H27/04
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#12
L
62-94
62
94
-32
56avg 77
A29/04
NBL
Opava 2
#14
W
67-55
67
55
+12
56avg 77
A18/09
1. Liga
Vysoka
#10
W
71-59
71
59
+12
61avg 77
H25/09
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 77
A04/10
1. Liga
Brno U23
#7
W
92-62
92
62
+30
87avg 77
A11/10
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#13
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
80avg 77
H16/10
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
95-65
95
65
+30
95avg 77
A23/10
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
W
97-74
97
74
+23
93avg 77
H01/11
1. Liga
MS Academy
#19
W
122-71
122
71
+51
no box
A06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-31
14-18
9-16
21-23
19-29
9-23
13-19
18-21
15-12
17-12
17-10
22-16
19-10
14-15
16-18
15-18
18-18
25-18
12-22
32-13
15-25
27-9
18-15
23-16
21-19
19-20
12-20
21-18
29-17
26-15
19-15
29-17
22-18
22-19
24-20
30-19
30-27
28-15
34-10
153.6Avg total
81.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.168.2155.4+18.975%
Season at home (3)83.772.3156.0+11.367%
Season away (5)89.265.8155.0+23.480%
Last 10 (10)81.572.1153.6+9.460%
Last 5 (5)97.871.2169.0+26.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.087.5146.5-28.50%
vs Similar (3)75.778.0153.7-2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.571.7158.2+14.872%
This opponent (SK Zabovresky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SK ZabovreskyCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZabovresky
Date
Competition
Brno
#23
W
95-87
95
87
+8
no box
A20/05
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
79-103
79
103
-24
no box
A24/05
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#13
W
70-60
70
60
+10
58avg 68
H18/09
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 68
A25/09
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
74-96
74
96
-22
68avg 68
H02/10
1. Liga
MS Academy
#19
W
80-72
80
72
+8
80avg 68
A09/10
1. Liga
Brno U23
#7
L
59-95
59
95
-36
44avg 68
H16/10
1. Liga
Opava 2
#14
W
72-67
72
67
+5
65avg 68
H23/10
1. Liga
Vysoka
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
68avg 68
A01/11
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
28-25
22-19
31-26
22-29
19-21
23-21
15-32
17-20
18-19
15-13
20-8
29-19
26-16
21-12
14-17
23-28
22-14
12-26
17-28
19-15
25-23
21-13
15-21
14-31
15-15
13-28
17-21
19-22
15-13
19-22
19-10
19-21
21-16
17-23
14-16
19-30
15-18
17-21
18-15
156.3Avg total
75.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.176.8149.9-3.650%
Season at home (5)68.880.4149.2-11.640%
Season away (3)80.370.7151.0+9.767%
Last 10 (10)75.980.4156.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)70.278.8149.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.287.8156.0-19.50%
vs Similar (2)71.063.5134.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (8)88.078.1166.1+9.988%
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Over 149.5
Over 149.5
65.7%
Under 149.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154.5 · main lineActual: Over 154.5
Over 154.5
53.8%
@ 1.88+4.2pp
Under 154.5
46.2%
@ 1.85-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5
Over 159.5
41.5%
Under 159.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Zlin total 83.5Actual: Zlin over 83.5
Over 83.5
61.7%
@ 1.39-1.2pp
Under 83.5
38.3%
@ 2.36+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
Zlin total 87.5 · main lineActual: Zlin over 87.5
Over 87.5
45.7%
@ 1.88-3.4pp
Under 87.5
54.3%
@ 1.80+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.74
Under
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Zlin total 91.5Actual: Zlin over 91.5
Over 91.5
30.4%
@ 2.44-5.6pp
Under 91.5
69.6%
@ 1.37+5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Under
1xBet
1.37
SK Zabovresky total 63.5Actual: SK Zabovresky over 63.5
Over 63.5
73.0%
@ 1.42+11.6pp
Under 63.5
27.0%
@ 2.26-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.26
SK Zabovresky total 66.5 · main lineActual: SK Zabovresky under 66.5
Over 66.5
62.2%
@ 1.78+11.4pp
Under 66.5
37.8%
@ 1.85-11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.75
SK Zabovresky total 70.5Actual: SK Zabovresky under 70.5
Over 70.5
46.5%
@ 2.38+9.8pp
Under 70.5
53.5%
@ 1.38-9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zlin -23.5Actual: Zlin -23.5
ZLIN -23.5
27.2%
@ 2.25-12.2pp
SK Z +23.5
72.8%
@ 1.46+12.2pp
Best 5 market prices
ZLIN
1xBet
2.25
SK Z
1xBet
1.46
Spread Zlin -20.5 · main lineActual: Zlin -20.5
ZLIN -20.5
36.6%
@ 1.91-12.7pp
SK Z +20.5
63.4%
@ 1.83+12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
ZLIN
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.80
SK Z
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Spread Zlin -17.5Actual: Zlin -17.5
ZLIN -17.5
47.0%
@ 1.47-13.3pp
SK Z +17.5
53.0%
@ 2.23+13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
ZLIN
1xBet
1.47
SK Z
1xBet
2.23

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
ZlinSK Zabovresky
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hradec Kralove
#12
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H27/04
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A29/04
NBL
Opava 2
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A18/09
1. Liga
Vysoka
#10
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/09
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/10
1. Liga
Brno U23
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A11/10
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/10
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/10
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H01/11
1. Liga
MS Academy
#19
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A06/11
1. Liga
81.5Avg total
43.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)43.537.581.0+5.970%67%
Last 30 at home (17)44.235.679.8+8.682%71%
Last 30 away (13)42.540.182.6+2.554%62%
Last 10 (10)43.238.381.5+4.960%70%
Last 5 (5)50.437.888.2+12.6100%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%100%
vs Similar (3)41.738.079.7+3.767%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.236.580.8+7.776%64%
This opponent (SK Zabovresky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SK ZabovreskyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno
#23
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/05
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A24/05
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H18/09
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A25/09
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H02/10
1. Liga
MS Academy
#19
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/10
1. Liga
Brno U23
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H16/10
1. Liga
Opava 2
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H23/10
1. Liga
Vysoka
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/11
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
1. Liga
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (14)42.639.281.8+3.457%64%
Last 30 at home (8)40.539.279.8+1.250%50%
Last 30 away (6)45.339.284.5+6.267%83%
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.340%60%
Last 5 (5)36.240.877.0-4.640%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.043.280.2-6.250%50%
vs Similar (2)34.537.071.5-2.50%0%
vs Weaker (8)47.437.885.1+9.675%88%
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Zlin win
ZLIN win
no forecast
@ 1.09
SK Z win
no forecast
@ 7.00
1st half Spread Zlin -11.5 · main lineActual: Zlin -11.5
ZLIN -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
SK Z +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Zlin (regulation)
ZLIN
no forecast
@ 1.10
Draw
no forecast
@ 24.00
SK Z
no forecast
@ 8.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ZLIN win + total 154.5
🔒 Pro
SK Z win + total 154.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ZLIN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
SK Zabovresky +23.572.8%1.46
1xBet
1.46
----+12.2ppLost
SK Zabovresky over 63.573.0%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+11.6ppWon
SK Zabovresky +24.575.6%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+11.4ppLost
Zlin win92.5%1.04
WilliamHill
1.08
SBO
1.05
Betano
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
Pinnacle
1.01
+3.4ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.9
56.0%
51.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.3
25.6%
27.8%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.313.0
61.0%
61.8%13.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SK Zabovreskytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SK Zabovresky: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.3 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.1
53.6%
51.2%46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.6
26.0%
27.8%16.7
🏀 Free throws19.610.7
54.7%
61.8%10.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlin
WWWLWLWWLL
SK Zabovresky
LLWLWLWWLW
#4
League position
#11
+6.8
Net rating
-9.2
88.9
Offensive rating
69.7
82.2
Defensive rating
78.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
22.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
25.6%
3-point %
26.0%
61.0%
Assist %
67.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 69.7Defence82.2 · 78.9Shooting49.4% · 48.8%3-point %25.6% · 26.0%Ball care16.5% · 22.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Zlin   ■ SK Zabovresky
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zlin wins
0
SK Zabovresky wins
No previous meetings.
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AMS Academy122-71
01/11/26HSvitavy97-74
23/10/26ABasketbal Olomouc95-65
16/10/26HPardubice 283-84 OT
11/10/26ABrno U2392-62
04/10/26ANovy Jicin70-76
25/09/26HVysoka71-59
18/09/26AOpava 267-55
29/04/26AHradec Kralove62-94
27/04/26HHradec Kralove56-81
SK Zabovreskylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HNovy Jicin69-84
01/11/26AVysoka71-76
23/10/26HOpava 272-67
16/10/26HBrno U2359-95
09/10/26AMS Academy80-72
02/10/26HSvitavy74-96
25/09/26ABasketbal Olomouc90-64
18/09/26HPardubice 270-60
24/05/26ASokol Prazsky79-103
20/05/26ABrno95-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game87.183.789.2
Allowed / game68.272.365.8
Point differential+18.9+11.3+23.4
Avg total155.4156.0155.0
Over 154.550%67%40%
Win by 10+75%67%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
SK Zabovresky
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game73.168.880.3
Allowed / game76.880.470.7
Point differential-3.6-11.6+9.7
Avg total149.9149.2151.0
Over 154.512%20%0%
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin660100%84.271.5+12.7
2 Jindrichuv Hradec87188%84.670.0+14.6
3 Novy Jicin87188%86.874.8+12.0
4 Zlin86275%87.168.2+18.9
5 Svitavy86275%92.585.8+6.8
6 USK Prague B75271%80.976.3+4.6
7 CZ.ACADEMY53260%85.077.2+7.8
8 Brno U2384450%85.180.2+4.9
9 Sokol Prazsky84450%84.986.0-1.1
10 Vysoka84450%72.173.6-1.5
11 SK Zabovresky84450%73.176.8-3.6
12 Litomerice73443%78.781.4-2.7
13 Opava 283538%75.176.4-1.2
14 Liberecko62433%69.080.5-11.5
15 Pardubice 272529%74.781.7-7.0
16 Polabi82625%82.884.4-1.6
17 MS Academy82625%76.587.4-10.9
18 Radotin82625%73.186.1-13.0
19 Slavia Prague Tygri71614%78.485.6-7.1
20 Basketbal Olomouc71614%65.187.0-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlin2032221993
SK Zabovresky1519112065
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