Zwolle vs Limburg Result & Analysis

On 15 November 2026 the BNXT League will see Zwolle host Limburg, with the model designating Limburg as the favourite thanks to their 4-2 record, 92.0 points per game and 84.3 allowed, compared to Zwolle's 3-3 record, 72.7 points per game and 77.0 allowed, and the fact that Limburg sits in fourth place while Zwolle is tenth. Zwolle has gone 2-1 at home, averaging 69.3 points and conceding 73.0, and their last five games have yielded two wins and three losses, including a 73-71 home victory over Kortrijk and a 65-89 home loss to Brussels Basketball; Limburg's road record is 3-1, with 91.2 points scored and 79.2 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, highlighted by a 96-73 win over Donar Groningen. In their eight prior meetings Limburg has won six, though Zwolle's most recent encounter was a 90-77 win on 1 April 2026. Pythia projects a 78-87 score, a 165.2 total, a 22% chance for Zwolle to win, a 78% chance for Limburg, a 5.5-point line with a 38% probability that Zwolle covers, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on Limburg's ability to maintain their offensive output against Zwolle's defensive resilience.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winWon

22.2%fair 4.51

Best odds3.22

Implied28.6%

Edge-6.4pp

Limburg winLost

77.8%fair 1.28

Best odds1.37

Implied71.4%

Edge+6.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZwolle

Date

Competition

Spirou Charleroi

#11

78-77

73avg 72

H03/05

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#13

61-69

-8

53avg 72

A06/05

BNXT League

Kortrijk

70-83

-13

63avg 72

H09/05

BNXT League

Bakken Bears

#28

78-89

-11

70avg 72

A16/09

Champions League

Den Bosch

70-59

+11

69avg 72

H04/10

BNXT League

Oostende

70-98

-28

no box

A10/10

BNXT League

Belfius Mons

#16

74-57

+17

72avg 72

A17/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

65-89

-24

50avg 72

H25/10

BNXT League

Kortrijk

#13

73-71

62avg 72

H01/11

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

84-88

-4

no box

A06/11

BNXT League

21-23

14-13

22-17

21-24

17-20

16-15

10-10

18-24

16-24

15-18

25-25

14-16

33-22

12-21

16-22

17-24

16-11

15-23

16-15

23-10

25-14

13-26

17-31

15-27

24-15

15-15

17-15

18-12

23-19

16-20

14-28

12-22

18-17

18-26

25-6

18-25

21-23

25-18

20-22

150.3Avg total

72.3Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	72.7	77.0	149.7	-4.3	50%
Season at home (3)	69.3	73.0	142.3	-3.7	67%
Season away (3)	76.0	81.0	157.0	-5.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.3	78.0	150.3	-5.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	80.6	153.8	-7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	76.7	90.4	167.1	-13.7	23%
vs Similar (8)	72.1	69.4	141.5	+2.8	62%
vs Weaker (8)	87.2	76.6	163.9	+10.6	75%

This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLimburg

Date

Competition

LWD Basket

#15

106-79

106

+27

107avg 88

A25/04

BNXT League

BAL Weert

#18

91-54

+37

96avg 88

H01/05

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

99-85

+14

98avg 88

H06/05

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

82-71

+11

72avg 88

A09/05

BNXT League

Mechelen

#11

100-109

100

109

-9

94avg 88

H02/10

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

101-73

101

+28

94avg 88

A09/10

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#14

87-80

79avg 88

H16/10

BNXT League

Kortrijk

#13

88-83

89avg 88

A23/10

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

80-88

-8

61avg 88

A31/10

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

96-73

+23

no box

A08/11

BNXT League

28-18

28-20

24-31

26-10

22-10

22-16

25-6

22-22

22-19

28-22

25-16

24-28

24-15

18-27

22-12

18-17

33-29

20-23

27-29

20-28

26-13

30-16

21-24

24-20

25-17

22-20

21-28

19-15

31-20

26-15

19-20

12-28

19-17

24-22

26-24

11-25

31-10

23-26

19-20

23-17

172.5Avg total

93.0Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	92.0	84.3	176.3	+7.7	67%
Season at home (2)	93.5	94.5	188.0	-1.0	50%
Season away (4)	91.2	79.2	170.5	+12.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	93.0	79.5	172.5	+13.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	79.4	169.8	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	86.0	91.0	177.0	-5.0	33%
vs Similar (5)	96.0	92.2	188.2	+3.8	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	93.6	79.0	172.6	+14.5	77%

This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 158Actual: Over 158

Over 158

66.8%

Under 158

33.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 163 · main lineActual: Over 163

Over 163

54.8%

@ 1.87+4.8pp

Under 163

45.2%

@ 1.87-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.87

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Bet365

1.80

SBO

1.79

Under

Pinnacle

1.87

SBO

1.87

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Over/Under 168Actual: Over 168

Over 168

42.4%

Under 168

57.6%

@ 1.53

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Zwolle total 74.5Actual: Zwolle over 74.5

Over 74.5

63.8%

@ 1.42-0.7pp

Under 74.5

36.2%

@ 2.70+0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.39

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.37

Zwolle total 78.5 · main lineActual: Zwolle over 78.5

Over 78.5

48.4%

@ 1.83-1.6pp

Under 78.5

51.6%

@ 1.88+1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.71

Zwolle total 82.5Actual: Zwolle over 82.5

Over 82.5

33.5%

@ 2.57-3.1pp

Under 82.5

66.5%

@ 1.50+3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.39

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Limburg total 80.5Actual: Limburg over 80.5

Over 80.5

73.9%

@ 1.40+9.4pp

Under 80.5

26.1%

@ 2.67-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.40

Limburg total 84.5 · main lineActual: Limburg under 84.5

Over 84.5

59.6%

@ 1.83+9.1pp

Under 84.5

40.4%

@ 1.88-9.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Under

Betano

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Limburg total 88.5Actual: Limburg under 88.5

Over 88.5

43.8%

@ 2.50+7.0pp

Under 88.5

56.2%

@ 1.45-7.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.37

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zwolle +3.5Actual: Zwolle +3.5

ZWO +3.5

30.9%

@ 2.27-10.8pp

LIMB -3.5

69.1%

@ 1.57+10.8pp

Best 5 market prices

ZWO

Betano

2.27

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.20

Pinnacle

2.18

LIMB

Bet365

1.57

Pinnacle

1.56

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.54

1xBet

1.48

Spread Zwolle +6.5 · main lineActual: Zwolle +6.5

ZWO +6.5

41.8%

@ 1.87-8.2pp

LIMB -6.5

58.2%

@ 1.91+8.2pp

Best 5 market prices

ZWO

Pinnacle

1.87

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.82

LIMB

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.87

1xBet

1.86

Marathon Be

1.86

Betano

1.85

Spread Zwolle +9.5Actual: Zwolle +9.5

ZWO +9.5

52.9%

@ 1.57-7.3pp

LIMB -9.5

47.1%

@ 2.30+7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

ZWO

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.51

1xBet

1.44

LIMB

1xBet

2.30

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZwolleLimburg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.1	42.4	+0.1	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.9	40%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	38%	69%
vs Similar (8)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.1	25%	25%
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	62%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	24.4	19.8	44.2	+4.6	70%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	24.8	17.6	42.3	+7.2	92%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	24.2	21.3	45.4	+2.9	56%	67%
Last 10 (10)	26.1	16.8	42.9	+9.3	100%	40%
Last 5 (5)	26.4	15.4	41.8	+11.0	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.3	67%	67%
vs Similar (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.1	77%	59%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.3	37.4	-1.3	40%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.9	36.9	-1.0	47%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.7	37.9	-1.6	33%	33%
Last 10 (10)	15.5	19.1	34.6	-3.6	30%	10%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	38%	31%
vs Similar (8)	15.9	16.4	32.2	-0.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.6	38%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	53%	70%
Last 30 at home (12)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	67%	67%
Last 30 away (18)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.2	44%	72%
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.7	44.8	+3.4	70%	90%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.8	44.8	+5.2	80%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	24.7	46.7	-2.7	67%	100%
vs Similar (5)	26.0	23.2	49.2	+2.8	60%	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.9	50%	64%

ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spirou Charleroi

#11

35-36

-1

H03/05

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

#13

33-35

-2

A06/05

BNXT League

Kortrijk

31-42

-11

H09/05

BNXT League

Bakken Bears

#28

45-43

A16/09

Champions League

Den Bosch

31-34

-3

H04/10

BNXT League

Oostende

38-40

-2

A10/10

BNXT League

Belfius Mons

#16

39-30

A17/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

39-39

H25/10

BNXT League

Kortrijk

#13

30-39

-9

H01/11

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

39-48

-9

A06/11

BNXT League

74.6Avg total

36.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.5	79.7	-1.2	30%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	41.7	80.5	-2.9	27%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	39.3	79.0	+0.5	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	20%	20%
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.2	76.2	-2.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	41.4	43.5	84.8	-2.1	23%	62%
vs Similar (8)	33.1	35.8	68.9	-2.6	25%	0%
vs Weaker (8)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	38%	62%

This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LWD Basket

#15

56-38

+18

A25/04

BNXT League

BAL Weert

#18

44-26

+18

H01/05

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

50-41

H06/05

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

42-42

A09/05

BNXT League

Mechelen

#11

53-52

H02/10

BNXT League

CB Liege

#15

56-29

+27

A09/10

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#14

47-37

+10

H16/10

BNXT League

Kortrijk

#13

57-35

+22

A23/10

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

43-39

A31/10

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

54-36

+18

A08/11

BNXT League

87.7Avg total

50.2Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	47.2	41.8	89.0	+5.4	67%	73%
Last 30 at home (12)	48.6	39.0	87.6	+9.6	92%	58%
Last 30 away (18)	46.3	43.6	89.9	+2.7	50%	83%
Last 10 (10)	50.2	37.5	87.7	+12.7	90%	90%
Last 5 (5)	51.4	35.2	86.6	+16.2	100%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.7	45.0	89.7	-0.3	67%	100%
vs Similar (5)	48.0	46.0	94.0	+2.0	60%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.4	40.4	87.7	+7.0	68%	73%

This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Limburg win

ZWO win

no forecast

@ 2.67

LIMB win

no forecast

@ 1.50

1st half Spread Zwolle +3.5 · main lineActual: Limburg -3.5

ZWO +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

LIMB -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Zwolle 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Zwolle under 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Limburg 1st half total 42 · main lineActual: Limburg over 42

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: ZWO + total 81.5

ZWO & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

ZWO & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half: Draw + total 81.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: LIMB + total 81.5

LIMB & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

LIMB & under

no forecast

@ 3.00

1st half Over/Under 80.25Actual: Over 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.77

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 82.75Actual: Under 82.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Zwolle +2.5Actual: Limburg -2.5

ZWO +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

LIMB -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Zwolle +4.5Actual: Limburg -4.5

ZWO +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.72

LIMB -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Spread Zwolle +1.5Actual: Limburg -1.5

ZWO +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

LIMB -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.61

1st half Spread Zwolle +5.5Actual: Limburg -5.5

ZWO +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

LIMB -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Zwolle (regulation)

ZWO

no forecast

@ 2.72

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

LIMB

no forecast

@ 1.54

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.1	40.3	-1.8	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	53%	60%
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.6	41.8	-5.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	24.1	42.8	-5.3	23%	62%
vs Similar (8)	18.2	16.9	35.1	+1.4	62%	38%
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	19.6	42.8	+3.5	88%	62%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	24.4	19.9	44.3	+4.5	63%	70%
Last 30 at home (12)	26.2	20.0	46.2	+6.2	67%	83%
Last 30 away (18)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	61%	61%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	67%	67%
vs Similar (5)	24.4	20.8	45.2	+3.6	60%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.6	19.5	44.1	+5.0	64%	64%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	33%	67%
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.5	22.8	39.4	-6.3	8%	54%
vs Similar (8)	20.8	16.8	37.5	+4.0	50%	38%
vs Weaker (8)	22.9	17.0	39.9	+5.9	75%	62%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (12)	23.8	20.2	44.1	+3.6	75%	67%
Last 30 away (18)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	50%	39%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	25.0	43.7	-6.3	33%	33%
vs Similar (5)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	40%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.6	19.1	40.8	+2.5	68%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.5	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	39.1	77.9	-0.2	40%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	42.1	81.4	-2.9	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	36.3	39.4	75.7	-3.1	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.4	77.6	-5.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.3	46.9	82.2	-11.6	8%	31%
vs Similar (8)	39.0	33.6	72.6	+5.4	62%	25%
vs Weaker (8)	46.0	36.6	82.6	+9.4	88%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	45.6	40.3	85.9	+5.3	70%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	50.1	40.2	90.3	+9.8	75%	83%
Last 30 away (18)	42.6	40.3	82.9	+2.2	67%	44%
Last 10 (10)	42.8	42.0	84.8	+0.8	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	44.2	83.2	-5.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.3	46.0	87.3	-4.7	33%	67%
vs Similar (5)	45.2	44.0	89.2	+1.2	80%	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.2	38.7	84.9	+7.5	73%	55%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ZWO win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

LIMB win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ZWO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LIMB leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ZWO:LIMB): ZWO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Limburg -2	74.7%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
Limburg -3	71.1%	1.53	Bet365 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.54	Pinnacle 1.52	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Limburg -1.5	75.6%	1.42	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Limburg +4.5	86.5%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Limburg +3.5	84.4%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Lost
Limburg over 79.5	77.0%	1.37	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Limburg over 77.5	82.6%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Limburg over 81.5	70.6%	1.48	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.44	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Limburg (regulation)	75.5%	1.36	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Limburg over 78.5	79.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Limburg over 73.5	90.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Limburg over 80.5	73.9%	1.39	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Limburg over 75.5	87.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Limburg -2.5	72.0%	1.47	Marathon Bet 1.51	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.40	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Limburg +9.5	93.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Limburg +2.5	82.5%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Lost
Limburg over 74.5	89.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Limburg +1.5	79.8%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Limburg +14.5	97.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Limburg over 71.5	93.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Limburg over 67.5	97.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Limburg over 69.5	95.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Limburg over 72.5	92.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Limburg +19.5	98.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Limburg over 70.5	94.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Limburg over 68.5	96.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Limburg over 65.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Limburg over 66.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Limburg win	77.8%	1.34	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.36	WilliamHill 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.35	Betano 1.34	+6.4pp	Lost
Over 155.5	71.8%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Zwolle under 89.5	86.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Zwolle under 98.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Zwolle under 96.5	95.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Zwolle under 88.5	83.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Zwolle under 94.5	93.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Zwolle under 90.5	88.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.0%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Over 138.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Zwolle under 92.5	91.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Zwolle under 86.5	79.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Zwolle under 84.5	73.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Over 153.5	75.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 148.5	84.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 143.5	90.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Under 188.5	91.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Zwolle over 68.5	82.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Zwolle over 69.5	80.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Zwolle over 70.5	77.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Zwolle +20.5	85.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Under 183.5	86.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Zwolle over 72.5	70.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Under 178.5	79.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Limburg under 94.5	77.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Limburg under 93.5	74.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Zwolle +15.5	72.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.0	52.0%	53.2%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.2	32.7%	32.1%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.6	69.5%	71.0%	11.6

They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 94.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	24.8	60.5%	53.2%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.7	34.0%	32.1%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	16.1	80.9%	71.0%	16.1

They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	23.3	58.2%	53.2%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	5.4	25.7%	32.1%	16.2
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.1	65.8%	71.0%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	19.6	51.4%	53.2%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.3	32.5%	32.1%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.3	73.1%	71.0%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	19.0	54.1%	53.2%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.7	34.3%	32.1%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.8	77.4%	71.0%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	24.4	59.0%	53.2%	48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	8.4	35.2%	32.1%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	22.7	18.0	79.0%	71.0%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	22.5	56.7%	53.2%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.4	32.6%	32.1%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.7	70.4%	71.0%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.7	50.8%	53.2%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.2	32.4%	32.1%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	25.5	18.3	72.0%	71.0%	18.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Zwolle

LWLWLWLLLW

Limburg

WLWWWLWWWW

League position

-3.2

Net rating

+16.1

86.7

Offensive rating

105.7

89.9

Defensive rating

89.6

50.8%

Effective FG%

56.6%

51.5%

Opp. effective FG%

50.4%

18.3%

Turnover %

13.6%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.29

32.7%

3-point %

34.0%

59.2%

Assist %

67.5%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Zwolle ■ Limburg

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zwolle wins

Limburg wins

Date	Game	Score
01/04/26	Zwolle v Limburg	90-77
07/11/25	Limburg v Zwolle	94-62
30/04/25	Zwolle v Limburg	69-84
08/11/24	Limburg v Zwolle	85-73
03/05/24	Limburg v Zwolle	91-57
03/03/24	Zwolle v Limburg	64-70
28/04/23	Limburg v Zwolle	81-51
02/04/23	Zwolle v Limburg	77-72

Zwollelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	A	CB Liege	84-88
01/11/26	H	Kortrijk	73-71
25/10/26	H	Brussels Basketball	65-89
17/10/26	A	Belfius Mons	74-57
10/10/26	A	Oostende	70-98
04/10/26	H	Den Bosch	70-59
16/09/26	A	Bakken Bears	78-89
09/05/26	H	Kortrijk	70-83
06/05/26	A	Leuven Bears	61-69
03/05/26	H	Spirou Charleroi	78-77

Limburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Donar Groningen	96-73
31/10/26	A	Antwerp Giants	80-88
23/10/26	A	Kortrijk	88-83
16/10/26	H	Rotterdam	87-80
09/10/26	A	CB Liege	101-73
02/10/26	H	Mechelen	100-109
09/05/26	A	Donar Groningen	82-71
06/05/26	H	Okapi Aalst	99-85
01/05/26	H	BAL Weert	91-54
25/04/26	A	LWD Basket	106-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	50%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	72.7	69.3	76.0
Allowed / game	77.0	73.0	81.0
Point differential	-4.3	-3.7	-5.0
Avg total	149.7	142.3	157.0
Over 163	33%	0%	67%
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Limburg

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	50%	75%
Points / game	92.0	93.5	91.2
Allowed / game	84.3	94.5	79.2
Point differential	+7.7	-1.0	+12.0
Avg total	176.3	188.0	170.5
Over 163	100%	100%	100%
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Antwerp Giants	7	7	0	100%	99.3	78.0	+21.3
2	Spirou Charleroi	7	5	2	71%	79.0	68.0	+11.0
3	Brussels Basketball	7	5	2	71%	80.4	70.9	+9.6
4	Okapi Aalst	7	5	2	71%	91.7	86.9	+4.9
5	Limburg	6	4	2	67%	92.0	84.3	+7.7
6	Oostende	7	4	3	57%	76.9	73.1	+3.7
7	Den Bosch	7	4	3	57%	83.6	83.6	+0.0
8	Zwolle	6	3	3	50%	72.7	77.0	-4.3
9	Donar Groningen	6	3	3	50%	81.3	89.5	-8.2
10	Leiden	7	3	4	43%	77.1	78.4	-1.3
11	Mechelen	7	3	4	43%	88.4	91.0	-2.6
12	Leuven Bears	7	3	4	43%	69.9	74.6	-4.7
13	Rotterdam	6	2	4	33%	75.8	80.2	-4.3
14	Kortrijk	7	2	5	29%	83.0	82.4	+0.6
15	CB Liege	7	1	6	14%	77.0	89.0	-12.0
16	Belfius Mons	7	0	7	0%	66.9	89.4	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zwolle	22	14	25	27	88
Limburg	22	23	19	20	84

← all games of the day

Zwolle vs Limburg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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