Aabyhoj vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2011

Tip-off: 15:15

Final 62-86

20-22 16-12 9-25 17-27

Position#7

Record6-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game82.0

Aabyhoj

Svendborg 🏆

Position#2

Record11-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game71.3

Basketligaen

Other2011-12

Meetings · Aabyhoj v Svendborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aabyhoj winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Svendborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aabyhoj

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#19

70-62

A05/10

Denmark Cup

Sisu

91-88 OT

H08/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

99-88

+11

A13/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

71-84

-13

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

63-79

-16

A24/10

Basketligaen

Koge

#11

82-63

+19

A27/10

Denmark Cup

Aalborg

85-84

H29/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

74-72

A09/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

87-84

A12/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

68-75

-7

H17/11

Basketligaen

–

21-24

18-23

12-17

27-14

20-25

17-21

24-20

38-22

18-30

11-16

26-21

16-17

–

27-24

25-18

17-27

16-15

20-15

20-18

16-18

18-21

19-22

23-24

26-19

19-19

15-20

17-21

17-19

19-15

156.9Avg total

79.0Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.6	82.0	159.6	-4.4	55%
Season at home (6)	75.5	82.3	157.8	-6.8	50%
Season away (5)	80.2	81.6	161.8	-1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	77.9	156.9	+1.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	75.6	154.8	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	63.6	79.3	142.9	-15.6	7%
vs Similar (13)	79.5	80.1	159.6	-0.5	69%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	70.5	156.5	+15.5	50%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

84-78

A11/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

72-59

+13

A17/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

84-71

+13

A19/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

75-65

+10

H22/10

Basketligaen

Jonstrup

#16

116-74

116

+42

A26/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

70-64

A29/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

70-61

H02/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

75-74

H10/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

91-83

A12/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

83-82

H16/11

Denmark Cup

18-18

18-15

19-33

29-12

26-14

7-15

14-20

25-10

30-18

16-11

21-26

17-16

18-21

20-14

18-19

19-11

–

25-17

15-22

14-12

16-13

17-13

27-16

13-21

13-11

24-20

16-21

12-15

23-18

18-17

21-15

24-20

28-31

–

153.1Avg total

82.0Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	82.8	71.3	154.1	+11.5	100%
Season at home (5)	81.0	70.2	151.2	+10.8	100%
Season away (6)	84.3	72.2	156.5	+12.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	71.1	153.1	+10.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	72.8	150.6	+5.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	71.1	72.4	143.5	-1.2	50%
vs Similar (1)	70.0	61.0	131.0	+9.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.7	72.3	158.9	+14.4	90%

This opponent (Aabyhoj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AabyhojSvendborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.2	22%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	14%	-
Last 10 (7)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.7	24.0	39.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	18.0	45.5	+9.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (6)	23.8	17.2	41.0	+6.7	83%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	14.0	40.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.1	20.5	37.6	-3.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (7)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	14.6	20.0	34.6	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	20.8	41.4	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (6)	16.8	15.5	32.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.5	16.1	33.6	+1.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	7.0	15.0	22.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	16.0	43.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.0	75%	-

AabyhojLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

39-47

-8

H08/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

37-46

-9

A13/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

29-46

-17

H19/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

52-42

+10

H29/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

40-33

A09/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

42-46

-4

A12/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-41

-9

H17/11

Basketligaen

81.7Avg total

38.7Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	37.6	42.4	80.1	-4.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.0	42.9	79.9	-5.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (7)	38.6	41.7	80.3	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	38.7	43.0	81.7	-4.3	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	30.3	44.0	74.3	-13.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.4	42.6	83.0	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.5	36.5	87.0	+14.0	50%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

36-33

A11/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

33-29

A17/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

46-29

+17

A19/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

38-35

H22/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

40-39

A29/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-29

+15

H02/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

40-41

-1

H10/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

39-32

A12/11

Basketligaen

72.9Avg total

39.5Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	42.7	34.5	77.2	+8.2	90%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	45.8	37.2	83.0	+8.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (6)	40.7	32.7	73.3	+8.0	100%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.5	33.4	72.9	+6.1	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	35.2	75.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	29.0	62.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	44.0	29.0	73.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.8	35.9	79.6	+7.9	88%	-

This opponent (Aabyhoj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.7	22%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	18%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	19.7	20.1	39.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	15.5	31.5	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (6)	20.3	21.8	42.2	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.9	20.8	37.6	-3.9	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	21.0	34.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.8	17.2	36.9	+2.6	61%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.1	15.3	33.4	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (7)	22.4	20.1	42.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.9	17.6	39.4	+4.3	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.0	14.7	30.7	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	18.0	14.5	32.5	+3.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (6)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.7	83%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.2	15.2	36.5	+6.0	88%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	10.0	35.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	11.0	24.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.8	17.9	39.6	+3.9	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	37.9	37.0	74.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	34.8	35.3	70.1	-0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (7)	42.9	39.7	82.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (7)	41.6	37.7	79.3	+3.9	71%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.6	35.4	70.0	-0.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.5	34.0	69.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	39.8	37.3	77.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	34.0	34.0	68.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	43.7	39.5	83.2	+4.2	83%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.1	36.0	74.1	+2.1	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.2	70.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	30.0	69.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	32.0	58.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.6	38.9	80.5	+2.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aabyhoj wins

Svendborg wins

Date	Game	Score
19/10/11	Aabyhoj v Svendborg	71-84
02/02/11	Svendborg v Aabyhoj	93-69
05/01/11	Aabyhoj v Svendborg	63-75
03/11/10	Svendborg v Aabyhoj	92-62

Aabyhojlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/11	H	Bakken Bears	68-75
12/11/11	A	Horsholm	87-84
09/11/11	A	Vaerlose	74-72
29/10/11	H	Aalborg	85-84
27/10/11	A	Koge	82-63
24/10/11	A	Horsens	63-79
19/10/11	H	Svendborg	71-84
13/10/11	A	Herlev Wolfpack	99-88
08/10/11	H	Sisu	91-88 OT
05/10/11	A	Aalborg	70-62

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	83-82
12/11/11	A	Aalborg	91-83
10/11/11	H	Horsens	75-74
02/11/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	70-61
29/10/11	A	Horsholm	70-64
26/10/11	A	Jonstrup	116-74
22/10/11	H	Vaerlose	75-65
19/10/11	A	Aabyhoj	84-71
17/10/11	A	Bakken Bears	72-59
11/10/11	A	Sisu	84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aabyhoj

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	55%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	77.6	75.5	80.2
Allowed / game	82.0	82.3	81.6
Point differential	-4.4	-6.8	-1.4
Avg total	159.6	157.8	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	82.8	81.0	84.3
Allowed / game	71.3	70.2	72.2
Point differential	+11.5	+10.8	+12.2
Avg total	154.1	151.2	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	60%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Svendborg	11	11	0	100%	82.8	71.3	+11.5
2	Bakken Bears	11	10	1	91%	76.5	62.0	+14.5
3	Team FOG Naestved	11	7	4	64%	81.8	72.9	+8.9
4	Aabyhoj	11	6	5	55%	77.6	82.0	-4.4
5	Horsholm	11	5	6	45%	75.6	77.7	-2.1
6	Vaerlose	11	4	7	36%	76.9	79.6	-2.7
7	Sisu	11	4	7	36%	77.3	83.1	-5.8
8	Aalborg	11	3	8	27%	76.5	83.4	-6.8
9	Horsens	12	3	9	25%	81.7	86.4	-4.8
10	Herlev Wolfpack	12	3	9	25%	76.2	83.6	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aabyhoj	20	16	9	17	62
Svendborg	22	12	25	27	86

← all games of the day

Aabyhoj vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature