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Aarhus vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-77
16-26 27-18 23-16 17-17
Position#9
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game79.5
Aarhus 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#5
Record3-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game92.4
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 26
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aarhus v Randers
21 Nov 2012
AARH83
RAND77
13 Oct 2012
AARH97
RAND90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm
#7
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A29/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H08/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H13/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A25/10
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
16-9
20-23
14-17
13-28
17-22
12-18
19-15
16-15
27-25
11-16
11-23
19-23
31-25
21-27
26-15
21-25
12-30
22-26
22-24
–
–
–
–
13-16
11-30
11-13
15-16
13-20
15-11
17-15
17-16
14-14
15-14
14-13
11-23
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
142.9Avg total
64.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.479.5147.9-11.236%
Season at home (6)73.281.5154.7-8.350%
Season away (5)62.677.2139.8-14.620%
Last 10 (10)64.978.0142.9-13.130%
Last 5 (5)56.472.0128.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.985.5150.4-20.612%
vs Similar (2)69.065.5134.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A09/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A13/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H17/10
Basketligaen
Haderslev
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A23/10
Denmark Cup
Aalborg
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H25/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
105-111
105
111
-6
A11/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A15/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-21
29-24
17-25
23-19
25-31
27-21
15-26
30-14
12-27
19-27
26-12
–
–
–
–
31-31
20-17
24-19
25-15
25-27
25-34
13-16
28-16
30-18
27-18
11-22
27-22
28-22
15-18
22-20
21-29
34-28
25-31
23-27
23-25
–
–
–
–
179.9Avg total
90.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.592.4182.9-1.827%
Season at home (5)92.285.4177.6+6.860%
Season away (6)89.298.2187.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)90.289.7179.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)91.893.6185.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.095.3179.3-11.30%
vs Similar (4)86.290.5176.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.292.6188.8+3.640%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
AarhusRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A29/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H08/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H13/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A18/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A28/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
72.7Avg total
33.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)33.739.172.8-5.445%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.839.774.5-4.833%-
Last 30 away (5)32.438.470.8-6.060%-
Last 10 (9)33.039.772.7-6.744%-
Last 5 (5)28.239.267.4-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.044.678.6-10.629%-
vs Similar (2)30.527.057.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A09/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A13/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H25/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H03/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
Basketligaen
95.6Avg total
48.2Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)47.547.394.8+0.355%-
Last 30 at home (5)48.041.889.8+6.2100%-
Last 30 away (6)47.251.899.0-4.717%-
Last 10 (8)48.247.495.6+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)52.048.8100.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.548.093.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.842.584.2-0.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)53.050.8103.8+2.240%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aarhus wins
0
Randers wins
DateGameScore
13/10/12Aarhus v Randers97-90
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
08/11/12AAalborg54-64
30/10/12HVaerlose71-68 OT
28/10/12ASisu50-75
25/10/12ABakken Bears59-73
18/10/12ABakken Bears77-105
13/10/12HRanders97-90
11/10/12AHorsens65-79
08/10/12HTeam FOG Naestved61-83
29/09/12AHorsholm67-63
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/12ASisu82-95
11/11/12AVaerlose105-111
07/11/12HHorsens86-89
03/11/12HVaerlose95-80
31/10/12AHorsholm91-93
25/10/12HAalborg100-82
23/10/12AHaderslev84-77
17/10/12HTeam FOG Naestved87-80
13/10/12AAarhus90-97
09/10/12ASisu82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game68.473.262.6
Allowed / game79.581.577.2
Point differential-11.2-8.3-14.6
Avg total147.9154.7139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %18%33%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game90.592.289.2
Allowed / game92.485.498.2
Point differential-1.8+6.8-9.0
Avg total182.9177.6187.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg12120100%92.281.2+11.0
2 Bakken Bears1110191%91.575.2+16.3
3 Horsens139469%87.480.4+7.0
4 Sisu128467%81.174.2+6.9
5 Team FOG Naestved116555%76.973.3+3.6
6 Aarhus114736%68.479.5-11.2
7 Horsholm134931%77.486.3-8.9
8 Randers113827%90.592.4-1.8
9 Vaerlose1221017%76.585.1-8.6
10 Aalborg121118%78.291.8-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aarhus1627231783
Randers2618161777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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