Abejas vs Toros de Nuevo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 02:15

Final 83-89

14-21 22-25 23-20 24-23

Position#9

Record15-13

FormLWWWL

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game85.2

Abejas

Toros de Nuevo 🏆

Position#2

Record21-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game75.1

LNBPRound 29

Other2012-13

Meetings · Abejas v Toros de Nuevo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Toros de Nuevo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abejas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panteras

91-93

-2

A02/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

111-107 OT

111

107

A04/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

#11

90-79

+11

H09/11

LNBP

Huracanes

74-79

-5

H11/11

LNBP

Pioneros

73-81

-8

A16/11

LNBP

Soles

81-86

-5

A18/11

LNBP

Guerreros

#13

107-91

107

+16

H23/11

LNBP

Gansos

#14

108-95

108

+13

H25/11

LNBP

Gigantes

#16

93-81

+12

A30/11

LNBP

Osos

#15

92-95

-3

A02/12

LNBP

18-30

24-20

27-17

22-26

31-23

16-20

20-24

25-25

20-17

22-21

31-21

17-20

17-17

25-26

22-18

10-18

20-27

18-15

10-18

25-21

23-22

18-26

20-15

20-23

31-20

25-23

26-26

25-22

31-23

26-22

25-28

24-18

21-22

25-22

23-19

–

180.7Avg total

92.0Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	87.1	85.2	172.3	+2.0	54%
Season at home (13)	91.0	86.7	177.7	+4.3	69%
Season away (15)	83.8	83.9	167.7	-0.1	40%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	88.7	180.7	+3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.2	89.6	185.8	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	81.5	88.5	170.0	-7.0	17%
vs Similar (8)	89.1	89.5	178.6	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (10)	90.0	78.3	168.3	+11.7	90%

This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toros de Nuevo Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gansos

#14

94-72

+22

H03/11

LNBP

Guerreros

#13

75-80

-5

H04/11

LNBP

Soles

50-59

-9

A09/11

LNBP

Pioneros

79-81

-2

A11/11

LNBP

Huracanes

101-70

101

+31

H17/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

#11

95-68

+27

H18/11

LNBP

Xalapa

95-99 OT

-4

A23/11

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

69-82

-13

A25/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

100-84

100

+16

H01/12

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

92-67

+25

H02/12

LNBP

28-20

22-17

25-18

19-17

23-16

26-17

18-27

8-20

15-15

11-17

17-12

7-15

23-21

22-19

13-21

21-20

25-17

40-19

13-19

23-15

21-15

24-15

24-18

26-20

19-30

25-23

28-21

19-17

16-11

15-27

20-28

18-16

28-20

24-20

31-22

17-22

21-18

23-15

24-17

161.2Avg total

85.0Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	86.6	75.1	161.7	+11.5	75%
Season at home (16)	92.6	76.4	168.9	+16.2	88%
Season away (12)	78.7	73.3	152.0	+5.3	58%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	76.2	161.2	+8.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	80.0	170.2	+10.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.8	84.8	161.5	-8.0	25%
vs Similar (9)	77.4	75.9	153.3	+1.6	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.2	72.9	164.2	+18.3	88%

This opponent (Abejas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AbejasToros de Nuevo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.5	23.2	46.8	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	22.6	46.3	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	23.8	47.2	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.9	21.9	45.8	+2.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	22.0	47.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.5	24.2	45.7	-2.7	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.5	23.2	46.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	26.6	21.8	48.4	+4.9	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	18.1	41.9	+5.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	24.4	17.4	41.8	+6.9	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	21.6	45.6	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.6	21.8	43.3	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.6	21.2	43.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.8	20.4	36.2	-4.7	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	26.1	18.2	44.2	+7.9	94%	-

AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panteras

42-50

-8

A02/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

47-43

A04/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

#11

42-38

H09/11

LNBP

Huracanes

42-43

-1

H11/11

LNBP

Pioneros

38-42

-4

A16/11

LNBP

Soles

41-48

-7

A18/11

LNBP

Guerreros

#13

56-43

+13

H23/11

LNBP

Gansos

#14

57-45

+12

H25/11

LNBP

Gigantes

#16

45-40

A30/11

LNBP

89.1Avg total

45.6Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	45.8	44.7	90.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.6	44.3	91.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	45.1	88.9	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.6	43.6	89.1	+2.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	43.6	91.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	43.1	45.9	89.0	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.1	44.5	90.6	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	49.4	43.0	92.4	+6.4	88%	-

This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toros de NuevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gansos

#14

50-37

+13

H03/11

LNBP

Guerreros

#13

49-33

+16

H04/11

LNBP

Soles

26-32

-6

A09/11

LNBP

Pioneros

45-40

A11/11

LNBP

Huracanes

65-36

+29

H17/11

LNBP

Correcaminos

#11

45-30

+15

H18/11

LNBP

Xalapa

44-53

-9

A23/11

LNBP

Halcones Rojos

31-38

-7

A25/11

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

52-40

+12

H01/12

LNBP

Barreteros

#10

44-33

+11

H02/12

LNBP

82.3Avg total

45.1Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	44.4	37.3	81.7	+7.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.8	37.2	84.0	+9.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.2	37.5	78.7	+3.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	37.2	82.3	+7.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	38.8	82.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.3	45.3	82.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	50.4	35.6	86.1	+14.8	94%	-

This opponent (Abejas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.1	21.0	41.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.2	20.6	43.9	+2.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	18.6	38.3	+1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.2	46.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	18.7	39.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	20.6	42.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.3	22.4	43.8	-1.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.9	22.4	48.2	+3.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.5	18.3	36.9	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	19.7	35.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	17.6	37.3	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.1	42.9	85.0	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	43.0	85.4	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	42.7	84.5	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.3	42.8	87.1	+1.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	43.2	88.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.4	42.6	81.0	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.6	43.1	83.8	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	49.1	43.0	92.1	+6.1	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.1	37.3	76.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.2	35.2	72.3	+2.0	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.2	77.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	39.6	85.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	38.3	74.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.9	36.9	75.8	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.8	37.4	77.1	+2.4	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Abejas wins

Toros de Nuevo wins

Date	Game	Score
09/09/12	Toros de Nuevo v Abejas	83-75
09/12/11	Toros de Nuevo v Abejas	88-70
12/11/11	Abejas v Toros de Nuevo	89-81
01/10/11	Toros de Nuevo v Abejas	103-95

Abejaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/12	A	Osos	92-95
30/11/12	A	Gigantes	93-81
25/11/12	H	Gansos	108-95
23/11/12	H	Guerreros	107-91
18/11/12	A	Soles	81-86
16/11/12	A	Pioneros	73-81
11/11/12	H	Huracanes	74-79
09/11/12	H	Correcaminos	90-79
04/11/12	A	Barreteros	111-107 OT
02/11/12	A	Panteras	91-93

Toros de Nuevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/12	H	Barreteros	92-67
01/12/12	H	Barreteros	100-84
25/11/12	A	Halcones Rojos	69-82
23/11/12	A	Xalapa	95-99 OT
18/11/12	H	Correcaminos	95-68
17/11/12	H	Huracanes	101-70
11/11/12	A	Pioneros	79-81
09/11/12	A	Soles	50-59
04/11/12	H	Guerreros	75-80
03/11/12	H	Gansos	94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas

LNBP 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	54%
Home	LWLWW	69%
Away	WLLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	54%	69%	40%
Points / game	87.1	91.0	83.8
Allowed / game	85.2	86.7	83.9
Point differential	+2.0	+4.3	-0.1
Avg total	172.3	177.7	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	46%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	67% (3)	29% (7)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Toros de Nuevo

LNBP 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	75%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	WLLLL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	16	12
Win %	75%	88%	58%
Points / game	86.6	92.6	78.7
Allowed / game	75.1	76.4	73.3
Point differential	+11.5	+16.2	+5.3
Avg total	161.7	168.9	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	62%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	6%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Xalapa	29	25	4	86%	101.3	84.7	+16.6
2	Soles	29	24	5	83%	88.4	77.4	+11.0
3	Toros de Nuevo	28	21	7	75%	86.6	75.1	+11.5
4	Halcones Rojos	28	21	7	75%	87.1	77.5	+9.6
5	Panteras	28	20	8	71%	89.3	84.6	+4.7
6	Pioneros	29	19	10	66%	91.4	81.9	+9.6
7	Huracanes	28	16	12	57%	89.2	87.0	+2.2
8	Fuerza Regia	29	16	13	55%	88.3	85.6	+2.7
9	Abejas	28	15	13	54%	87.1	85.2	+2.0
10	Barreteros	28	11	17	39%	85.9	88.8	-2.9
11	Correcaminos	29	11	18	38%	86.6	91.4	-4.8
12	Lechugueros	28	9	19	32%	76.1	81.5	-5.3
13	Guerreros	28	8	20	29%	85.5	94.4	-8.9
14	Osos	28	5	23	18%	81.5	96.2	-14.7
15	Gansos	30	5	25	17%	83.3	99.8	-16.5
16	Gigantes	29	2	27	7%	80.7	97.1	-16.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Abejas	14	22	23	24	83
Toros de Nuevo	21	25	20	23	89

← all games of the day

Abejas vs Toros de Nuevo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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