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Abilene Christian vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-60
44-30 41-30
Position#14
Record20-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game60.8
vs
Position#271
Record8-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAARound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · Abilene Christian v Incarnate Word
04 Dec 2021
ABIL98
INCA65
06 Mar 2021
ABIL85
INCA60
01 Feb 2020
ABIL72
INCA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#344
W
93-58
93
58
+35
H23/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#271
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A09/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H13/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
54-33
36-35
46-27
29-31
46-36
36-28
41-34
37-35
45-34
52-26
36-33
40-19
43-36
43-38
43-34
49-36
33-48
28-34
35-27
146.0Avg total
81.1Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.660.8137.4+15.983%
Season at home (14)81.555.7137.2+25.8100%
Season away (10)69.867.8137.6+2.060%
Last 10 (10)81.164.9146.0+16.290%
Last 5 (5)80.466.2146.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)72.077.0149.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)76.862.1138.9+14.786%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H17/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H28/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H02/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-45
32-38
30-28
42-25
30-41
27-32
31-29
36-46
33-21
34-37
27-25
31-28
35-34
32-34
21-38
24-29
40-45
32-43
39-36
28-36
132.7Avg total
63.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.370.7139.0-2.340%
Season at home (12)69.869.3139.2+0.542%
Season away (8)66.172.6138.8-6.538%
Last 10 (10)63.769.0132.7-5.330%
Last 5 (5)61.869.6131.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)66.074.2140.2-8.227%
vs Similar (9)66.968.3135.2-1.456%
vs Weaker (6)76.271.5147.7+4.750%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -3.0-3.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -3.0-3.0
Abilene ChristianIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#344
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H23/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H28/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#271
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H13/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A04/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
38.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.329.366.6+7.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.827.267.0+12.694%-
Last 30 away (13)33.932.266.1+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)38.930.769.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.430.673.0+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.229.166.3+8.176%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H17/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
31.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.764.9-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.233.466.6-0.250%-
Last 30 away (12)30.831.662.4-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.266.1-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.668.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.732.062.7-1.347%-
vs Similar (9)31.232.864.0-1.656%-
vs Weaker (6)37.734.271.8+3.567%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Abilene Christian wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/21AStephen F. Austin63-61
27/02/21ACentral Arkansas82-84
25/02/21HSam Houston St.86-72
13/02/21HTexas A&M-CC83-55
11/02/21HHouston Christian88-59
09/02/21ATexas A&M-CC82-69
06/02/21ALamar77-62
31/01/21AIncarnate Word75-67
28/01/21HStephen F. Austin82-62
23/01/21HCentral Arkansas93-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/21AHouston Christian67-72
02/03/21HNew Orleans72-88
25/02/21HLamar45-67
11/02/21HNorthwestern St.67-68
06/02/21ATexas A&M-CC58-53
04/02/21ALamar67-58
31/01/21HAbilene Christian67-75
28/01/21HHouston Christian57-73
23/01/21HTexas A&M-CC72-53
17/01/21HStephen F. Austin65-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game76.681.569.8
Allowed / game60.855.767.8
Point differential+15.9+25.8+2.0
Avg total137.4137.2137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayWLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %40%42%38%
Points / game68.369.866.1
Allowed / game70.769.372.6
Point differential-2.3+0.5-6.5
Avg total139.0139.2138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah2219386%84.268.5+15.8
2 Abilene Christian2420483%76.660.8+15.9
3 California Baptist2011955%79.173.4+5.7
4 Utah Valley State1910953%74.074.1-0.1
5 UT Arlington25121348%72.270.8+1.4
6 Tarleton1771041%69.965.2+4.6
7 Utah Tech2081240%70.276.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2015575%81.171.2+9.8
2 Nicholls State2216673%79.173.0+6.1
3 UTRGV179853%73.967.1+6.8
4 McNeese State22101245%82.272.3+9.9
5 Incarnate Word2081240%68.370.7-2.3
6 Northwestern St.25101540%72.078.5-6.6
7 New Orleans2281436%75.476.8-1.4
8 SE Louisiana2371630%68.077.8-9.8
9 Lamar2471729%65.873.4-7.5
10 Houston Christian2251723%71.581.0-9.5
11 Texas A&M-CC2341917%63.571.6-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Abilene Christian444185
Incarnate Word303060
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