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Abilene Christian vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-64
39-26 44-38
Position#227
Record5-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#277
Record4-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A12/11
NCAA
McMurry
#659
W
104-46
104
46
+58
H16/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H22/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A23/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A27/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#571
W
93-46
93
46
+47
H01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
88-42
88
42
+46
H03/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-25
20-31
29-34
29-43
50-30
54-16
31-42
30-35
40-40
27-37
31-37
34-39
39-40
53-42
41-19
52-27
42-19
46-23
34-35
30-46
141.7Avg total
75.7Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.766.0141.7+9.750%
Season at home (6)79.357.2136.5+22.267%
Season away (4)70.279.2149.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)75.766.0141.7+9.750%
Last 5 (5)80.465.4145.8+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
vs Similar (12)68.674.8143.3-6.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.765.1143.8+13.587%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
73-69 OT
73
69
+4
A15/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
101-46
101
46
+55
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-31
33-46
28-46
49-34
31-28
30-33
21-34
43-38
23-30
30-27
36-33
39-28
56-24
45-22
23-15
30-36
39-35
36-49
42-43
34-48
139.5Avg total
70.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.768.8139.5+1.940%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (8)66.472.6139.0-6.225%
Last 10 (10)70.768.8139.5+1.940%
Last 5 (5)76.066.6142.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.061.3125.3+2.767%
vs Similar (6)69.076.3145.3-7.317%
vs Weaker (1)101.046.0147.0+55.0100%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.8+0.8
Abilene ChristianTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A12/11
NCAA
McMurry
#659
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#571
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/12
NCAA
70.3Avg total
38.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.267.4+5.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.528.667.1+9.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.833.867.6+0.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.232.170.3+6.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.067.4+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)30.233.163.3-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.529.568.1+9.067%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A12/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
23-15
23
15
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/12
NCAA
64.5Avg total
32.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)32.331.864.1+0.545%-
Last 30 at home (2)46.028.574.5+17.5100%-
Last 30 away (9)29.232.661.8-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.964.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.069.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.727.354.0-0.767%-
vs Similar (6)31.735.567.2-3.833%-
vs Weaker (1)56.024.080.0+32.0100%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Abilene Christian wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22AKansas State64-81
03/12/22HArlington Baptist Patriots88-42
01/12/22HNorth American Stallions93-46
27/11/22ANorthern Arizona92-82
23/11/22HUC Riverside65-76
23/11/22AWeber State67-77
22/11/22HWright State61-77
16/11/22HMcMurry104-46
12/11/22ATexas A&M58-77
08/11/22HJackson State65-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22AWyoming76-91
04/12/22ADenver75-84
01/12/22AHawaii53-51
29/11/22HArlington Baptist Patriots101-46
20/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-61
19/11/22AGeorgia State53-57
19/11/22AUNC Asheville64-72
15/11/22AAir Force73-69 OT
12/11/22ANorthern Colorado77-80
08/11/22ASMU Mustangs60-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game75.779.370.2
Allowed / game66.057.279.2
Point differential+9.7+22.2-9.0
Avg total141.7136.5149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game70.788.066.4
Allowed / game68.853.572.6
Point differential+1.9+34.5-6.2
Avg total139.5141.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist106460%63.960.4+3.5
2 Southern Utah95456%88.872.3+16.4
3 Tarleton95456%75.366.7+8.7
4 Utah Valley State95456%74.470.0+4.4
5 Abilene Christian105550%75.766.0+9.7
6 Utah Tech105550%74.073.6+0.4
7 UT Arlington104640%69.061.7+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.97278%73.172.2+0.9
2 Stephen F. Austin85362%78.067.6+10.4
3 Texas A&M-CC95456%79.770.0+9.7
4 UTRGV95456%78.977.0+1.9
5 SE Louisiana105550%78.775.6+3.1
6 Incarnate Word105550%69.867.3+2.5
7 Lamar94544%71.670.9+0.7
8 TX A&M Commerce104640%70.768.8+1.9
9 Nicholls State83538%78.477.0+1.4
10 McNeese State93633%66.472.4-6.0
11 Houston Christian103730%79.079.9-0.9
12 New Orleans72529%69.379.1-9.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Abilene Christian394483
TX A&M Commerce263864
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