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Denver vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-75
35-39 49-36
Position#233
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game70.9
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
Position#277
Record4-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#189
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A26/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#425
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A19/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A23/11
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A24/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
47-46
35-32
27-50
35-30
33-33
49-29
41-39
36-33
33-40
30-28
40-41
46-34
40-30
34-33
40-38
35-30
42-46
49-44
44-39
149.8Avg total
77.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.470.9149.2+7.588%
Season at home (3)75.768.0143.7+7.767%
Season away (5)80.072.6152.6+7.4100%
Last 10 (10)77.272.6149.8+4.680%
Last 5 (5)80.072.6152.6+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.279.2148.4-10.115%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.674.3147.9-0.770%
vs Weaker (6)82.870.5153.3+12.383%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A16/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
73-69 OT
73
69
+4
A15/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
101-46
101
46
+55
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
36-31
27-31
33-46
28-46
49-34
31-28
30-33
21-34
43-38
23-30
30-27
36-33
39-28
56-24
45-22
23-15
30-36
132.9Avg total
69.0Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.564.1133.6+5.450%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (6)63.367.7131.0-4.333%
Last 10 (9)69.063.9132.9+5.156%
Last 5 (5)69.257.4126.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.061.3125.3+2.767%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.870.8136.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (1)101.046.0147.0+55.0100%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +4.4+4.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +4.4+4.4
DenverTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#189
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#425
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A19/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A24/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.035.068.9-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.433.970.3+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)32.135.867.9-3.647%-
Last 10 (10)38.532.470.9+6.1100%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.872.6+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.636.868.4-5.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.234.967.1-2.760%-
vs Weaker (6)39.532.271.7+7.367%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A16/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A12/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
23-15
23
15
+8
A01/12
NCAA
60.7Avg total
30.4Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)30.430.260.7+0.244%-
Last 30 at home (2)46.028.574.5+17.5100%-
Last 30 away (7)26.030.756.7-4.729%-
Last 10 (9)30.430.260.7+0.244%-
Last 5 (5)31.827.259.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.727.354.0-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)27.233.861.0-6.525%-
vs Weaker (1)56.024.080.0+32.0100%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denver wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/22AHouston Christian93-83
25/11/22ANew Orleans77-76
24/11/22ACitadel74-71
23/11/22AIUPUI86-64
19/11/22AIdaho State70-69
15/11/22HSacramento State69-73
11/11/22HColorado College90-68
08/11/22HIdaho68-63
06/03/22ANorth Dakota St62-82
26/02/22AWestern Illinois83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22AHawaii53-51
29/11/22HArlington Baptist Patriots101-46
20/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-61
19/11/22AGeorgia State53-57
19/11/22AUNC Asheville64-72
15/11/22AAir Force73-69 OT
12/11/22ANorthern Colorado77-80
08/11/22ASMU Mustangs60-77
16/11/21AUTSA Roadrunners65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%67%100%
Points / game78.475.780.0
Allowed / game70.968.072.6
Point differential+7.5+7.7+7.4
Avg total149.2143.7152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game69.588.063.3
Allowed / game64.153.567.7
Point differential+5.4+34.5-4.3
Avg total133.6141.5131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %12%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver87188%78.470.9+7.5
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)107370%78.068.2+9.8
3 Oral Roberts96367%83.274.7+8.6
4 South Dakota Coyotes95456%67.870.6-2.8
5 North Dakota105550%68.272.3-4.1
6 UMKC114736%65.366.6-1.4
7 South Dakota St.93633%67.373.7-6.3
8 Nebraska O.93633%64.376.7-12.3
9 North Dakota St91811%68.980.0-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.86275%71.871.0+0.8
2 Stephen F. Austin85362%78.067.6+10.4
3 UTRGV95456%78.977.0+1.9
4 Texas A&M-CC84450%77.170.9+6.2
5 TX A&M Commerce84450%69.564.1+5.4
6 Incarnate Word105550%69.867.3+2.5
7 SE Louisiana94544%75.676.1-0.6
8 Nicholls State73443%79.476.9+2.6
9 Lamar83538%69.172.8-3.6
10 New Orleans72529%69.379.1-9.9
11 McNeese State82625%68.275.4-7.1
12 Houston Christian92722%76.785.1-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver354984
TX A&M Commerce393675
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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