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Abilene Christian vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 61-50
39-26 22-24
Position#264
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#365
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#308
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A28/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/03
NCAA
McMurry
#528
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H11/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
27-30
32-23
38-36
29-36
31-37
44-44
30-30
25-30
38-39
41-22
51-33
37-37
36-34
56-25
48-38
33-35
33-41
22-32
27-31
138.8Avg total
71.1Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.865.6142.4+11.260%
Season at home (3)89.763.0152.7+26.7100%
Season away (2)57.569.5127.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.167.7138.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)76.865.6142.4+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.978.1138.0-18.212%
vs Similar (12)67.566.5134.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.965.8142.6+11.175%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#144
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
97-30
97
30
+67
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
43-44
31-23
53-33
36-41
34-34
39-38
44-42
28-34
37-36
56-18
41-12
29-34
31-43
26-38
43-42
37-28
47-51
53-33
50-37
151.7Avg total
80.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.667.2149.8+15.460%
Season at home (3)86.759.0145.7+27.767%
Season away (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.471.3151.7+9.150%
Last 5 (5)82.667.2149.8+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.374.9141.2-8.618%
vs Similar (16)80.078.9158.9+1.144%
vs Weaker (3)105.752.7158.3+53.0100%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +4.9+4.9
Abilene ChristianUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#308
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H14/03
NCAA
McMurry
#528
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H11/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A19/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.965.8+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.030.567.5+6.553%-
Last 30 away (15)30.833.364.1-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.166.5+2.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.268.0+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.038.466.4-10.40%-
vs Similar (12)32.730.863.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.929.168.0+9.875%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#144
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A23/02
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H18/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
37.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.469.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.631.071.6+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)32.235.667.8-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.569.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.270.4+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.933.662.5-4.736%-
vs Similar (16)37.234.972.1+2.369%-
vs Weaker (3)56.725.081.7+31.7100%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Abilene Christian wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ATexas State49-63
15/11/25AStephen F. Austin66-76
11/11/25HSouthwest Adventist104-63
07/11/25HNebraska O.73-71
04/11/25HMcMurry92-55
14/03/25HSeattle63-69
08/03/25HGrand Canyon82-81 OT
07/03/25HUtah Valley State60-73
01/03/25AUT Arlington70-59
28/02/25ATarleton52-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HSouthwestern Christian103-70
15/11/25ADenver84-79
13/11/25ATexas State69-80
07/11/25HSiu Edwardsville60-77
06/11/25HCBS Ambassadors97-30
14/03/25AEast Carolina65-70
09/03/25ACharlotte83-80
05/03/25HMemphis70-75
02/03/25HRice84-56
23/02/25AEast Carolina89-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game76.889.757.5
Allowed / game65.663.069.5
Point differential+11.2+26.7-12.0
Avg total142.4152.7127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game82.686.776.5
Allowed / game67.259.079.5
Point differential+15.4+27.7-3.0
Avg total149.8145.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist550100%75.462.2+13.2
2 UT Arlington75271%79.463.4+16.0
3 Utah Valley State53260%87.468.6+18.8
4 Abilene Christian53260%76.865.6+11.2
5 Tarleton74357%77.979.0-1.1
6 Utah Tech84450%79.873.5+6.2
7 Southern Utah72529%80.987.7-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic65183%82.571.7+10.8
2 Wichita State54180%81.862.8+19.0
3 Tulsa54180%87.473.6+13.8
4 UAB75271%87.771.6+16.1
5 North Texas64267%69.861.8+8.0
6 Tulane64267%76.879.3-2.5
7 South Florida53260%100.081.6+18.4
8 UTSA Roadrunners53260%82.667.2+15.4
9 Temple53260%80.274.2+6.0
10 Charlotte63350%73.271.8+1.3
11 East Carolina52340%72.081.6-9.6
12 Rice72529%76.674.3+2.3
13 Memphis51420%74.078.8-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Abilene Christian392261
UTSA Roadrunners262450
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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