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Texas State vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-69
38-26 42-43
Position#125
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#365
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game53.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v UTSA Roadrunners
12 Nov 2025
TEXA80
UTSA69
17 Nov 2023
TEXA72
UTSA62
07 Dec 2019
TEXA71
UTSA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
38-33
29-32
31-28
40-25
40-38
36-36
46-46
37-36
32-38
33-41
44-36
29-27
32-37
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
150.8Avg total
77.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.772.3150.0+5.333%
Season at home (1)114.055.0169.0+59.0100%
Season away (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)77.573.3150.8+4.250%
Last 5 (5)79.274.8154.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.569.5151.0+11.962%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#147
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H20/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
97-30
97
30
+67
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
37-41
23-40
53-40
40-29
33-49
39-38
43-44
31-23
53-33
36-41
34-34
39-38
44-42
28-34
37-36
56-18
41-12
29-34
31-43
147.2Avg total
76.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.553.5132.0+25.050%
Season at home (2)78.553.5132.0+25.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.171.1147.2+5.030%
Last 5 (5)75.066.4141.4+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.875.1139.9-10.310%
vs Similar (18)79.778.2157.8+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)107.044.0151.0+63.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.2+3.2
Texas StateUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.469.9+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.332.871.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.736.068.7-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.931.567.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.868.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar (10)33.235.768.9-2.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.631.970.5+6.769%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#147
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A23/02
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.669.2+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.330.569.8+8.879%-
Last 30 away (16)32.436.368.7-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.367.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.070.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)28.434.663.0-6.230%-
vs Similar (18)37.134.471.5+2.672%-
vs Weaker (2)58.521.079.5+37.5100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
2
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83
07/03/25HOld Dominion61-64
01/03/25HJames Madison102-93 OT
26/02/25HTroy69-74
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25HSiu Edwardsville60-77
06/11/25HCBS Ambassadors97-30
14/03/25AEast Carolina65-70
09/03/25ACharlotte83-80
05/03/25HMemphis70-75
02/03/25HRice84-56
23/02/25AEast Carolina89-96 OT
20/02/25HSouth Florida73-78
15/02/25ATulsa76-80
13/02/25AWichita State64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.7114.059.5
Allowed / game72.355.081.0
Point differential+5.3+59.0-21.5
Avg total150.0169.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game53.553.5-
Point differential+25.0+25.0-
Avg total132.0132.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy330100%96.071.3+24.7
2 South Alabama330100%83.764.7+19.0
3 Marshall330100%86.378.0+8.3
4 Coastal Carolina32167%88.062.0+26.0
5 Old Dominion32167%75.065.7+9.3
6 Georgia Southern32167%92.392.0+0.3
7 Arkansas State32167%80.086.7-6.7
8 Appalachian State42250%71.864.2+7.5
9 James Madison42250%74.273.2+1.0
10 Southern Miss31233%83.775.0+8.7
11 Texas State31233%77.772.3+5.3
12 Louisiana Monroe31233%78.381.0-2.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette31233%61.364.3-3.0
14 Georgia State3030%58.069.3-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa220100%91.061.0+30.0
2 Wichita State220100%90.060.0+30.0
3 Temple220100%86.564.0+22.5
4 North Texas330100%77.356.3+21.0
5 Tulane330100%76.768.3+8.3
6 South Florida32167%99.072.0+27.0
7 Charlotte32167%72.367.7+4.7
8 Florida Atlantic32167%81.781.0+0.7
9 UTSA Roadrunners21150%78.553.5+25.0
10 Memphis21150%76.576.5+0.0
11 East Carolina21150%82.088.0-6.0
12 Rice31233%80.362.0+18.3
13 UAB31233%83.375.3+8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State384280
UTSA Roadrunners264369
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