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Absheron Lions vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 96-99
20-25 29-23 27-25 20-26
Position#27
Record1-2
FormWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#26
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game63.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Absheron Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
89-73
89
73
+16
85avg 67
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
60-77
60
77
-17
42avg 67
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 67
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
29-20
22-15
12-27
17-20
13-19
18-24
12-14
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
159.0Avg total
78.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.081.0159.0-3.033%
Season at home (2)87.083.0170.0+4.050%
Season away (1)60.077.0137.0-17.00%
Last 10 (3)78.081.0159.0-3.033%
Last 5 (3)78.081.0159.0-3.033%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (3)78.081.0159.0-3.033%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Lublin
#4
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
88avg 78
A04/06
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 78
H07/06
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 78
H10/06
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 78
A13/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
84avg 78
A27/09
Super Cup
Lublin
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
76avg 78
H28/09
Super Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
93-81
93
81
+12
95avg 78
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 78
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
92-63
92
63
+29
98avg 78
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Krosno
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
103avg 78
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
30-21
18-23
19-25
23-26
13-18
17-18
19-17
25-22
17-23
24-29
19-14
19-18
18-21
30-15
15-19
21-22
29-21
27-18
19-21
25-18
21-14
11-27
20-23
26-18
20-24
28-23
19-16
15-19
31-16
16-18
24-27
27-14
20-20
21-13
24-16
25-20
30-24
31-17
19-24
168.9Avg total
88.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.063.0155.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)92.063.0155.0+29.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.380.6168.9+7.770%
Last 5 (5)90.678.2168.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)87.081.0167.9+6.060%
vs Weaker (8)93.285.5178.8+7.862%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Absheron LionsTrefl Sopot
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.0Avg total
42.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)42.740.383.0+2.333%-
Last 30 at home (2)49.041.090.0+8.050%-
Last 30 away (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
Last 10 (3)42.740.383.0+2.333%-
Last 5 (3)42.740.383.0+2.333%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (3)42.740.383.0+2.333%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A04/06
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/06
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H10/06
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A13/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A27/09
Super Cup
Lublin
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/09
Super Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Krosno
#16
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
85.0Avg total
45.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.186.9+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.741.386.0+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)46.940.987.7+6.073%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.685.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.037.485.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)44.641.486.0+3.265%-
vs Weaker (8)48.141.489.5+6.888%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.0
47.7%
52.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.4%
34.9%20.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.3
80.7%
73.4%15.3
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.1
51.3%
52.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.8
42.2%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
73.4%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Absheron Lions
LLW
Trefl Sopot
WWWWLWWLLW
#27
League position
#26
-3.0
Net rating
+10.4
100.5
Offensive rating
114.7
103.5
Defensive rating
104.4
45.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.4%
3-point %
42.2%
59.0%
Assist %
63.8%
33%
Form (last 3/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 114.7Defence103.5 · 104.4Shooting45.4% · 56.0%3-point %27.4% · 42.2%Ball care17.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 3/10)33% · 70%
■ Absheron Lions   ■ Trefl Sopot
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Absheron Lions wins
0
Trefl Sopot wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
01/10/25AAnorthosis60-77
24/09/25HAnorthosis89-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AKrosno105-85
15/10/25HNeftchi IK92-63
11/10/25ADziki Warszawa86-80
04/10/25HSlask Wroclaw93-81
28/09/25HLublin77-82
27/09/25ALegia96-82
13/06/25AAnwil Wloclawek82-73
10/06/25HAnwil Wloclawek85-88
07/06/25HLublin72-79
04/06/25ALublin95-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.087.060.0
Allowed / game81.083.077.0
Point differential-3.0+4.0-17.0
Avg total159.0170.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+29.0+29.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trefl Sopot110100%92.063.0+29.0
2 Cedevita Junior110100%94.076.0+18.0
3 Rostock220100%97.581.0+16.5
4 Basket Zaragoza110100%97.082.0+15.0
5 CSM Oradea110100%89.075.0+14.0
6 Vechta330100%85.371.3+14.0
7 PAOK110100%85.074.0+11.0
8 Petkim Spor110100%85.074.0+11.0
9 Lublin110100%90.080.0+10.0
10 Reggiana110100%96.088.0+8.0
11 Peristeri110100%84.081.0+3.0
12 Sporting CP110100%80.077.0+3.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig110100%98.097.0+1.0
14 FC Porto110100%80.079.0+1.0
15 Cibona43175%88.584.0+4.5
16 Brno43175%74.878.8-4.0
17 Corona Brasov32167%84.072.7+11.3
18 BC Prievidza32167%88.784.3+4.3
19 Anorthosis32167%84.081.0+3.0
20 Bilbao21150%93.067.5+25.5
21 KK Bosna42250%82.875.2+7.5
22 Murcia21150%74.575.0-0.5
23 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%88.590.0-1.5
24 Neftchi IK21150%79.088.0-9.0
25 Anwil Wloclawek31233%88.383.0+5.3
26 Absheron Lions31233%78.081.0-3.0
27 Bashkimi31233%76.787.0-10.3
28 Sassari1010%77.080.0-3.0
29 Dijon2020%80.586.0-5.5
30 Antwerp Giants2020%79.587.5-8.0
31 Bakken Bears1010%94.0102.0-8.0
32 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
33 Trepca1010%74.085.0-11.0
34 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
35 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
36 AEK Larnaca1010%75.089.0-14.0
37 Keravnos1010%68.082.0-14.0
38 Rilski Sportist1010%63.077.0-14.0
39 Szombathely1010%82.097.0-15.0
40 Kutaisi1010%66.084.0-18.0
41 Pelister1010%76.094.0-18.0
42 Tartu Ulikool1010%82.0100.0-18.0
43 Valcea1010%72.091.0-19.0
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Absheron Lions2029272096
Trefl Sopot2523252699
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