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Bilbao

Spain BCL 3-1 · 1/4 Group 2 ACB 4-3 · 9/18
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
LWWWLWLWLW
Points / game
85.6
allowed 87.0
Over 177.5
40%
game total, 43 games
Game total
172.6
both teams per game
Win rate
53%
23-20
Margin / game
-1.5
points
1st half
40.4
points scored / game
Overtime
9%
games to overtime
Sections
Bilbao

Bilbao 2026-27 has a 6-4 overall record, 2-1 in the Basketball Champions League where they sit second of four and 4-3 in Liga ACB, ninth of eighteen. Their last five games show a 2-3 slump, highlighted by a narrow 87-92 loss to Basquet Girona on 7 November and a 81-78 win over Joventut Badalona on 1 November, while a 100-103 defeat to Alba Berlin on 28 October in the BCL added to the recent woes. In the ACB, the team's net rating of 1.3 places them ninth, down from seventh a few games ago. Home form is flawless, 4-0 with 97.0 points for and 85.2 against, whereas away results are 2-4 with 90.8 points for and 95.8 against. Leaders include Darrun Hilliard averaging 14.1 points, Tryggvi Hlinason with 6.8 rebounds and Adam Somogyi dishing 4.3 assists per game. The next fixture is a home ACB match against Murcia on 15 November, where the model projects a 60% chance of victory.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Bilbao stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the Liga ACB (2025-26 + 2026-27) Bilbao score 85.6 points a game and allow 87.0 across 43 games – 40% of their games go over 177.5 and they clear 88.5 team points in 35%. They win 53% (76% at home, 32% away), by -1.5 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

BilbaoLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
PAOK
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 81
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
75avg 81
H03/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 81
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 81
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 81
A17/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 81
H24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 81
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 81
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 81
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
107-92
107
92
+15
102avg 81
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 81
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 81
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 81
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 81
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
L
100-103
100
103
-3
98avg 81
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-18
27-16
19-17
16-16
25-30
26-19
21-18
26-25
22-29
19-15
14-21
24-22
16-22
20-22
28-16
9-21
20-26
31-15
23-26
25-23
17-18
22-26
22-13
15-17
17-17
30-22
25-26
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
175.5Avg total
88.5Scored
87.0Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
19.3
20.8
-1.5
won 56%
Q2
21.2
21.2
-0.0
won 40%
Q3
22.9
21.6
+1.3
won 49%
Q4
21.2
22.5
-1.3
won 42%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 42% of 43 games, the 2nd half in 49%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=21AWAY n=22
87.0
Points / game
84.2
81.6
Allowed / game
92.3
168.5
Game total
176.5
33%
Over 177.5
45%
76%
Win %
32%
+5.4
Margin
-8.0
42.0
1st half scored
38.9
62%
Won the 1st half
23%
48%
Won by 10+
0%
Points scored per game
6%12%17%23%12%65-697%70-745%75-7923%80-8419%85-899%90-9414%95-997%100-1045%105-109
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
6%12%17%23%9%70-7419%75-7923%80-8414%85-8912%90-947%95-999%100-1040%105-1092%110-1145%115-119
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 89.0 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)87.886.289.581.386.191.160%
vs Stronger (7)78.392.979.585.077.896.014%
vs Similar (9)89.283.789.281.789.387.778%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.492.779.990.689.071%
Over 177.5 (game total)40% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
8thof 2053%
Attack: points scored per game
17thof 2085.6
Defence: points allowed per game
10thof 2087.0
Game total: both teams' points per game
18thof 20172.6
Ranked against the 20 teams of the league over 2025-26 + 2026-27. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏆 Win %
2025-26 + 2026-27
1 Real Madrid77%
2 Valencia76%
3 Baskonia70%
4 Barcelona69%
5 Murcia66%
6 Joventut Badalona55%
7 Tenerife54%
8 Bilbao53%
9 Unicaja49%
10 Breogan48%
11 Basquet Girona44%
12 Obradoiro CAB43%
13 Leyma Coruna43%
14 Manresa41%
15 Basket Zaragoza37%
16 San Pablo Burgos33%
17 Forca Lleida32%
18 Gran Canaria29%
19 MoraBanc Andorra26%
20 Granada18%
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
1 Real Madrid95.8
2 Valencia95.8
3 Breogan93.6
4 Baskonia92.7
5 Leyma Coruna91.9
6 Barcelona91.0
7 Murcia90.4
8 Obradoiro CAB90.3
9 San Pablo Burgos90.0
10 Tenerife88.7
11 Basket Zaragoza88.0
12 Unicaja87.8
13 MoraBanc Andorra87.3
14 Basquet Girona86.5
15 Manresa86.3
16 Joventut Badalona86.1
17 Bilbao85.6
18 Forca Lleida85.5
19 Granada83.8
20 Gran Canaria81.3
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
1 Joventut Badalona83.5
2 Valencia84.3
3 Barcelona85.3
4 Baskonia86.1
5 Real Madrid86.2
6 Gran Canaria86.2
7 Murcia86.5
8 Unicaja86.8
9 Tenerife86.9
10 Bilbao87.0
11 Basquet Girona90.4
12 Basket Zaragoza92.4
13 Manresa92.6
14 Granada92.7
15 San Pablo Burgos92.8
16 Forca Lleida93.6
17 MoraBanc Andorra93.8
18 Breogan94.6
19 Obradoiro CAB96.6
20 Leyma Coruna99.9
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
1 Leyma Coruna191.7
2 Breogan188.2
3 Obradoiro CAB186.9
4 San Pablo Burgos182.8
5 Real Madrid181.9
6 MoraBanc Andorra181.1
7 Basket Zaragoza180.5
8 Valencia180.1
9 Forca Lleida179.1
10 Manresa178.9
11 Baskonia178.8
12 Murcia176.9
13 Basquet Girona176.9
14 Granada176.5
15 Barcelona176.3
16 Tenerife175.5
17 Unicaja174.6
18 Bilbao172.6
19 Joventut Badalona169.7
20 Gran Canaria167.5
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
18thof 2044.2%
2-point accuracy
18thof 2052.6%
3-point accuracy
13thof 2034.1%
Free-throw accuracy
11thof 2075.0%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
1 Barcelona51.9%
2 Real Madrid49.3%
3 Tenerife48.6%
4 Breogan48.4%
5 Valencia48.3%
6 Baskonia48.2%
7 Basket Zaragoza47.2%
8 Joventut Badalona46.6%
9 Leyma Coruna46.3%
10 Forca Lleida46.0%
11 Murcia46.0%
12 Unicaja45.9%
13 San Pablo Burgos45.8%
14 Gran Canaria45.3%
15 MoraBanc Andorra45.2%
16 Granada45.1%
17 Basquet Girona44.4%
18 Bilbao44.2%
19 Manresa43.9%
20 Obradoiro CAB43.1%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
1 Barcelona60.0%
2 Real Madrid59.4%
3 Valencia57.9%
4 Baskonia56.6%
5 Leyma Coruna56.4%
6 Breogan55.6%
7 Tenerife55.6%
8 Basket Zaragoza55.5%
9 Murcia54.6%
10 Joventut Badalona54.4%
11 Forca Lleida54.3%
12 Unicaja54.3%
13 Gran Canaria54.0%
14 Basquet Girona53.6%
15 San Pablo Burgos53.1%
16 MoraBanc Andorra53.0%
17 Granada52.8%
18 Bilbao52.6%
19 Obradoiro CAB52.3%
20 Manresa51.9%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
1 Tenerife39.8%
2 Barcelona39.7%
3 Breogan38.9%
4 Baskonia36.9%
5 Valencia36.2%
6 MoraBanc Andorra35.7%
7 Real Madrid35.7%
8 Unicaja35.6%
9 Murcia35.6%
10 Joventut Badalona34.9%
11 Basquet Girona34.3%
12 Basket Zaragoza34.2%
13 Bilbao34.1%
14 Granada34.0%
15 Gran Canaria34.0%
16 Manresa33.4%
17 San Pablo Burgos32.8%
18 Forca Lleida32.5%
19 Leyma Coruna30.9%
20 Obradoiro CAB29.4%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
1 Tenerife82.5%
2 Real Madrid80.3%
3 MoraBanc Andorra80.1%
4 Baskonia80.1%
5 Breogan78.1%
6 Granada76.9%
7 Basket Zaragoza76.2%
8 Barcelona75.7%
9 Joventut Badalona75.3%
10 Murcia75.2%
11 Bilbao75.0%
12 Basquet Girona74.9%
13 Forca Lleida74.3%
14 San Pablo Burgos74.0%
15 Valencia73.7%
16 Manresa73.7%
17 Unicaja73.7%
18 Leyma Coruna73.4%
19 Gran Canaria73.3%
20 Obradoiro CAB73.2%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
44.2%-2.6pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#18 of 20 in ACB
✋ 2-pointers
52.6%-2.5pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#18 of 20 in ACB
🌟 3-pointers
34.1%-1.4pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#13 of 20 in ACB
🏹 Free throws
75.0%-1.2pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#11 of 20 in ACB

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BilbaoLeague average
99.8
Offensive rating
101.3
97.9
Defensive rating
101.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
36.4%
46.1%
3-point attempt rate
43.1%
63.5%
Assist %
57.0%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 101.3Defence97.9 · 101.3Shooting54.6% · 55.3%3-point %35.8% · 36.4%Ball care14.7% · 14.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.34
■ Bilbao   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 177.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+14757%5-02-0100%WWWWW
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+7871%2-13-10%LWWWW
3 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2086%4-01-2100%WLWWW
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+5425%3-12-150%WWWLW
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+3471%3-12-1100%WWLWW
6 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+7557%3-02-267%WLLWW
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+28100%2-12-2-WLLWL
8 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-4686%4-00-3100%LWWLW
9 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-471%3-01-333%WLWWL
10 Murcia73443%90.193.3-2243%3-10-3-LLWWL
11 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+1843%1-22-20%WWWLL
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-4471%1-22-267%WWLLL
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-5671%3-10-3100%LLLWW
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-443%2-10-40%WWLLL
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-462%0-32-20%LLWLL
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-7538%1-20-40%LWLLL
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-8986%0-31-333%LLLLL
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-11086%1-30-3100%LLLLW
Playoffs Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 177.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
BilbaoLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H03/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A17/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
107-92
107
92
+15
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#27
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A28/10
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A01/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A07/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-18
27-16
19-17
16-16
25-30
26-19
21-18
26-25
22-29
19-15
14-21
24-22
16-22
20-22
28-16
9-21
20-26
31-15
23-26
25-23
17-18
22-26
22-13
15-17
17-17
30-22
25-26
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
27-23
11-21
29-17
14-17
25-19
19-27
23-20
20-26
22-18
23-21
19-14
19-22
175.5Avg total
88.5Scored
87.0Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 177.5
Last 30 (30)87.886.2174.0+1.660%40%
Last 30 at home (15)89.581.3170.8+8.387%33%
Last 30 away (15)86.191.1177.1-5.033%47%
Last 10 (10)90.989.9180.8+1.060%60%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.060%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.392.9171.1-14.614%29%
vs Similar (9)89.283.7172.9+5.678%33%
vs Weaker (14)91.684.4176.1+7.271%50%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 177.5 = the league line
Over 177.540%
n=30
Under 177.560%
n=30
Won the game60%
n=30
Lost the game40%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025-26 + 2026-27, ACB games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 177.5)Team points (line 88.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (43)172.6168.5176.585.687.084.2-1.5+5.4-8.0
vs Stronger (16)167.8161.9172.377.677.477.8-12.5-7.0-16.8
vs Similar (16)176.0173.5178.590.793.488.0+5.4+13.2-2.5
vs Weaker (11)174.7169.7180.889.689.589.8+4.5+9.3-1.2
% over line / win40%33%45%35%43%27%53%76%32%
% under line / loss60%67%55%65%57%73%47%24%68%
Scoring dials
Points / game85.6
League avg 89.0 · below by 3.4
Allowed / game87.0
League avg 89.0 · below by 1.9
1st half scored40.4
League avg 42.8 · below by 2.4
3-pointers made9.7
League avg 10.6 · below by 0.9
Free throws made19.6
League avg 17.5 · above by 2.1
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025-26 + 2026-27)
Over 83.5 pts58%
n=43
Under 83.5 pts42%
n=43
Over 88.5 pts35%
n=43
Under 88.5 pts65%
n=43
Over 93.5 pts26%
n=43
Under 93.5 pts74%
🔥 70%+n=43
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 167.560%
n=43
Under 167.540%
n=43
Over 177.540%
n=43
Under 177.560%
n=43
Over 187.521%
n=43
Under 187.579%
🔥 70%+n=43
Result markets
Win53%
n=43
Win by 6+ (-5.5)33%
n=43
Cover +5.572%
🔥 70%+n=43
Win by 10+23%
n=43
Win the 1st half42%
n=43
Overtime9%
n=43
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.619.3
72.6%
76.0%19.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Bilbao: 91.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.1
53.6%
55.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.9
36.0%
36.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.1%
76.0%16.3
Their opponents take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Luke PetrasekBCL ACB9523.510.03.60.955.0%38.2%
Margiris NormantasBCL ACB9522.512.12.42.340.5%40.4%
Darrun HilliardBCL ACB8724.114.13.44.240.2%35.6%
N. DarlingBCL ACB9421.28.82.82.132.2%32.4%
Harald FreyBCL ACB9519.98.41.93.446.9%45.5%
Adam SomogyiBCL ACB9419.36.02.24.338.2%31.6%
Tryggvi HlinasonBCL ACB8320.910.56.81.575.0%-
Bastien VautierBCL ACB8618.99.55.11.256.6%0.0%
M. KrampeljBCL ACB7317.112.03.00.762.9%55.6%
Aleix FontBCL ACB9011.04.21.20.645.2%36.4%
M. AnsorregiBCL ACB4213.13.03.00.266.7%66.7%
Manex AnsorreguiBCL ACB3112.04.02.70.050.0%33.3%
O. HustakBCL ACB408.43.82.80.250.0%100.0%
D. DuscakBCL ACB403.71.00.21.040.0%0.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
5.4
13 rated players
M. Krampelj8.6 pts10.0
O. Hustak3.8 pts8.4
Tryggvi Hlinason9.7 pts8.1
Justin Jaworski13.3 pts7.4
Darrun Hilliard12.0 pts7.2
Margiris Normantas8.3 pts6.8
Luke Petrasek8.7 pts6.7
Stefan Lazarevic3.8 pts5.6
Jan Pantzar Melwin10.2 pts5.6
Bastien Vautier9.5 pts4.6
Aleix Font5.6 pts4.6
Harald Frey7.1 pts4.4
Manex Ansorregui4.0 pts3.5
N. Darling8.8 pts2.7
Adam Somogyi6.0 pts1.4
D. Duscak1.0 pts1.3
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
Justin Jaworski69%
Darrun Hilliard69%
Jan Pantzar Melwin56%
Tryggvi Hlinason48%
M. Krampelj47%
Luke Petrasek44%
Bastien Vautier38%
Margiris Normantas36%
N. Darling33%
Harald Frey23%
15+ points
Games with 15 or more points
Darrun Hilliard45%
Justin Jaworski33%
Bastien Vautier25%
Jan Pantzar Melwin22%
M. Krampelj16%
Tryggvi Hlinason11%
Margiris Normantas11%
Aleix Font10%
Luke Petrasek10%
Harald Frey6%
20+ points
Games with 20 or more points
Justin Jaworski21%
Darrun Hilliard10%
Harald Frey4%
Tryggvi Hlinason3%
Luke Petrasek3%
B. Bagayoko2%
Jan Pantzar Melwin2%
M. Krampelj2%
Aleix Font2%
Margiris Normantas2%
5+ rebounds
Games with 5 or more rebounds
Tryggvi Hlinason79%
Jan Pantzar Melwin44%
Bastien Vautier38%
B. Bagayoko34%
M. Krampelj33%
M. Ansorregi25%
O. Hustak25%
Stefan Lazarevic24%
Luke Petrasek23%
Darrun Hilliard21%
5+ assists
Games with 5 or more assists
Jan Pantzar Melwin46%
Adam Somogyi44%
Harald Frey21%
Darrun Hilliard16%
Margiris Normantas7%
Tryggvi Hlinason3%
Luke Petrasek3%
B. Bagayoko2%
Justin Jaworski2%
Aleix Font2%
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
Justin Jaworski63%
Darrun Hilliard48%
N. Darling44%
Margiris Normantas43%
Luke Petrasek39%
Aleix Font33%
Harald Frey26%
M. Ansorregi25%
M. Krampelj25%
Jan Pantzar Melwin18%
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
Jan Pantzar Melwin52%
Darrun Hilliard48%
Tryggvi Hlinason39%
Justin Jaworski27%
Bastien Vautier25%
M. Krampelj14%
Luke Petrasek13%
Margiris Normantas11%
Aleix Font10%
B. Bagayoko9%
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
Justin Jaworski46%
Darrun Hilliard31%
Aleix Font16%
Luke Petrasek13%
Harald Frey11%
Margiris Normantas10%
M. Krampelj4%
Jan Pantzar Melwin0%
Tryggvi Hlinason0%
N. Darling0%
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Tryggvi Hlinason70%
B. Bagayoko59%
Bastien Vautier57%
M. Krampelj55%
Amar Sylla53%
Luke Petrasek50%
Aleix Font47%
Stefan Lazarevic45%
Jan Pantzar Melwin44%
Harald Frey41%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Tryggvi Hlinason70%
Luke Petrasek65%
B. Bagayoko64%
M. Krampelj63%
Amar Sylla61%
Bastien Vautier60%
Aleix Font56%
Stefan Lazarevic56%
Harald Frey53%
Margiris Normantas49%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
M. Krampelj44%
Aleix Font42%
Jan Pantzar Melwin40%
Justin Jaworski39%
Luke Petrasek38%
Harald Frey33%
N. Darling32%
Darrun Hilliard32%
Adam Somogyi32%
Margiris Normantas30%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Justin Jaworski88%
Luke Petrasek85%
Harald Frey83%
Aleix Font83%
O. Hustak80%
Darrun Hilliard79%
N. Darling79%
Jan Pantzar Melwin78%
Margiris Normantas78%
M. Krampelj77%
2025-26 + 2026-27, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
81%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
44-10favourite won / lost
Across 54 games of Bilbao, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 81% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Bilbao
v
Murcia
Sun 15 Nov, 17:00 UTC
Pythia: Bilbao 58%
home 58%away 42%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Bilbao v Murcia Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
2nd half: Under 9370.4%1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87		---+20.4pp
2nd half: Under 93.571.3%1.82
Marathon Bet
1.82
1xBet
1.82		---+20.0pp
Bilbao under 95.573.3%1.52
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50		---+12.8pp
Murcia under 94.577.3%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.36		---+11.0pp
Murcia +12.581.1%1.23
Betano
1.23		----+6.3pp
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🔒 147 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=34		2023-24
n=34		2024-25
n=34		2025-26
n=36		2026-27
n=7		Trend
Points scored / game76.178.781.984.392.0
Points allowed / game80.481.784.586.092.6
Game total156.5160.4166.4170.3184.6
Over 167.521%38%35%58%71%
Over 177.515%12%24%33%71%
Over 187.53%0%12%17%43%
Team points over 88.59%15%29%33%43%
Win %41%38%32%53%57%
Home win %65%59%53%72%100%
Away win %18%18%12%33%25%
Margin / game-4.4-2.9-2.7-1.7-0.6
Won by 10+21%18%24%22%29%
Close games won (5 or fewer)67%44%22%57%33%
Overtime %0%3%12%8%14%
1st half total75.678.379.681.487.6
Won the 1st half32%59%47%44%29%
3-point attempt rate41%39%44%45%49%
Effective FG%49%51%50%51%55%
Pace73.774.274.979.2-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
10 NovBilbao v Alba Berlin Champions League83-75W
07 NovBasquet Girona v Bilbao ACB92-87L
01 NovJoventut Badalona v Bilbao ACB78-81W
28 OctAlba Berlin v Bilbao Champions League103-100L
25 OctBilbao v MoraBanc Andorra ACB88-76W
18 OctReal Madrid v Bilbao ACB119-84L
14 OctBilbao v Slavia Prague ERA NBK Champions League97-86W
11 OctBilbao v San Pablo Burgos ACB96-87W
06 OctIgokea v Bilbao Champions League79-92W
04 OctLeyma Coruna v Bilbao ACB104-101 OTL
Upcoming games
17:00SunR8Bilbao v Murcia58%42%BIL1.66MUR2.4011:00SunR9Bilbao v Baskonia62%38%BIL-BAS-18:30SatR10Obradoiro CAB v Bilbaono forecast yetOKA-BIL-17:00TueSlavia Prague ERA NBK v Bilbaono forecast yetSPE-BIL-19:00ThuR11Breogan v Bilbaono forecast yetBRE-BIL-11:00SunR12Bilbao v Basket Zaragozano forecast yetBIL-ZAR-
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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