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Academic Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-87
17-18 13-35 19-15 21-19
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game97.0
Academic Plovdiv
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game62.0
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Sila Sport Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Academic Plovdiv v CSKA Sofia
14 Oct 2023
ACAD70
CSKA87
26 Apr 2023
ACAD99
CSKA74
16 Feb 2023
ACAD73
CSKA100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
H10/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
A14/04
NBL
Levski
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
A19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H22/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
99-74
99
74
+25
no box
H26/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A08/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
71-97
71
97
-26
61avg 61
A08/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
22-23
26-17
20-16
22-9
20-20
20-30
25-24
15-18
25-23
15-36
14-15
19-16
24-24
16-26
29-30
20-17
17-21
22-21
8-15
29-18
24-15
18-17
28-24
19-24
27-22
15-17
18-13
14-20
19-24
19-24
14-17
15-18
20-23
22-31
19-25
12-29
20-21
18-19
21-28
162.7Avg total
78.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.097.0168.0-26.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.097.0168.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)78.184.6162.7-6.540%
Last 5 (5)78.285.8164.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)74.686.2160.8-11.719%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.279.5165.8+6.875%
vs Weaker (5)88.076.2164.2+11.8100%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
no box
A26/04
NBL
Levski
#6
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
H02/05
NBL
Levski
#6
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A05/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A12/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A14/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 75
H07/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-24
17-18
24-28
22-21
25-16
26-17
21-23
28-21
21-12
17-26
21-20
23-24
19-16
20-9
28-30
16-15
17-28
14-21
24-16
21-27
19-14
16-24
14-20
20-18
27-31
15-17
21-26
23-13
22-17
25-24
18-17
26-17
24-19
20-23
16-13
19-19
18-16
25-10
18-17
161.9Avg total
82.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.379.6161.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.379.9160.2+0.455%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.279.9166.1+6.475%
vs Weaker (10)89.877.7167.5+12.180%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Academic PlovdivCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H10/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/04
NBL
Levski
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/10
NBL
79.5Avg total
39.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.679.8-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.480.0+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)35.544.079.5-8.514%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.179.5-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.641.879.4-4.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.841.881.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker (5)39.440.479.8-1.060%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A26/04
NBL
Levski
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H02/05
NBL
Levski
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A05/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H19/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A26/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H28/05
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/10
NBL
82.0Avg total
42.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.681.6+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.179.3+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.584.3+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.782.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.282.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.038.879.8+2.255%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.037.982.9+7.162%-
vs Weaker (10)44.339.784.0+4.680%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.0
55.6%
54.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.03.0
13.0%
31.3%9.0
🏀 Free throws22.020.0
90.9%
71.1%20.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.0
57.9%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.08.0
25.0%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.0
80.0%
71.1%12.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academic Plovdiv
LLLWWLLLWW
CSKA Sofia
WWWLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#5
-37.0
Net rating
+27.2
91.3
Offensive rating
108.8
128.3
Defensive rating
81.6
41.5%
Effective FG%
48.6%
66.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
26.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
38.9%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.21
13.0%
3-point %
25.0%
52.2%
Assist %
76.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 108.8Defence128.3 · 81.6Shooting41.5% · 48.6%3-point %13.0% · 25.0%Ball care26.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds38.9% · 35.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Academic Plovdiv   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Academic Plovdiv wins
2
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
26/04/23Academic Plovdiv v CSKA Sofia99-74
16/02/23Academic Plovdiv v CSKA Sofia73-100
17/12/22CSKA Sofia v Academic Plovdiv82-75
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23ASpartak Pleven71-97
08/05/23ARilski Sportist76-97
05/05/23HRilski Sportist66-85
02/05/23ARilski Sportist79-76
26/04/23HCSKA Sofia99-74
22/04/23HBalkan67-74
19/04/23ALevski88-96
14/04/23ASpartak Pleven69-92
10/04/23HRilski Sportist87-83
01/04/23HShumen79-72
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HYambol80-62
28/05/23HRilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23ARilski Sportist88-71
19/05/23HBalkan83-92
17/05/23HBalkan70-85
14/05/23ABalkan71-80
12/05/23ABalkan90-79
05/05/23ALevski87-79
02/05/23HLevski94-77
26/04/23AAcademic Plovdiv74-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-26.0--26.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist110100%95.049.0+46.0
2 Levski110100%94.066.0+28.0
3 Spartak Pleven110100%97.071.0+26.0
4 CSKA Sofia110100%80.062.0+18.0
5 Chernomorets110100%86.074.0+12.0
6 Balkan110100%88.083.0+5.0
7 Shumen1010%83.088.0-5.0
8 Beroe1010%74.086.0-12.0
9 Yambol1010%62.080.0-18.0
10 Academic Plovdiv1010%71.097.0-26.0
11 Cherno More1010%66.094.0-28.0
12 Minyor1010%49.095.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academic Plovdiv1713192170
CSKA Sofia1835151987
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