Academica vs Belenenses Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 88-81

18-18 29-24 18-20 23-19

Position#6

Record10-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game73.7

Academica 🏆

Belenenses

Position#13

Record7-12

FormWLLLL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game87.2

Proliga

Other2022-23

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Belenenses winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Academica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illiabum

64-71

-7

A07/01

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

94-73

+21

A14/01

Proliga

Galomar

92-99

-7

H21/01

Proliga

Maia

70-76

-6

A28/01

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

82-53

+29

H05/02

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

90-75

+15

A18/02

Proliga

Belenenses

#13

80-78

A26/02

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

85-75

+10

A04/03

Proliga

Benfica Lisboa B

#12

86-73

+13

H11/03

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

67-79

-12

H18/03

Proliga

20-27

11-14

14-12

19-18

25-19

25-11

21-13

23-30

22-22

24-23

32-31

14-23

16-18

21-23

16-23

17-12

18-21

21-10

31-17

12-5

28-15

28-25

18-17

16-18

22-18

15-17

21-20

22-23

25-19

20-26

16-15

24-15

17-15

28-21

13-24

28-13

17-25

14-17

23-14

13-23

156.2Avg total

81.0Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.4	73.7	151.1	+3.6	53%
Season at home (9)	73.6	70.3	143.9	+3.2	44%
Season away (10)	80.8	76.8	157.6	+4.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	75.2	156.2	+5.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	76.0	157.6	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	75.4	90.1	165.5	-14.7	0%
vs Similar (6)	69.5	69.5	139.0	+0.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	80.9	72.9	153.8	+8.0	73%

This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Belenenses Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Portimonense

77-75

H07/01

Proliga

CA Queluz

#11

78-87

-9

A14/01

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

97-85

+12

H21/01

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

82-88

-6

A28/01

Proliga

Benfica Lisboa B

#12

91-84

H05/02

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

89-76

+13

H19/02

Proliga

Academica

78-80

-2

H26/02

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

82-87

-5

H05/03

Proliga

Maia

71-91

-20

A11/03

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

68-86

-18

A18/03

Proliga

17-18

21-16

16-16

23-25

23-15

19-18

25-25

11-29

27-22

18-20

28-26

24-17

22-15

26-32

17-27

17-14

17-20

23-31

24-21

27-12

23-16

25-21

16-23

25-16

18-22

17-15

20-21

23-22

32-26

15-21

23-20

12-20

18-21

16-26

16-25

21-19

15-24

15-22

20-11

18-29

165.2Avg total

81.3Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	83.4	87.2	170.6	-3.8	37%
Season at home (10)	86.7	89.2	175.9	-2.5	40%
Season away (9)	79.7	85.0	164.7	-5.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	83.9	165.2	-2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	84.0	161.6	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	76.5	85.6	162.1	-9.1	27%
vs Similar (14)	86.7	85.4	172.1	+1.3	50%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	54.0	136.0	+28.0	100%

This opponent (Academica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AcademicaBelenenses

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.5	39.3	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.8	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.5	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	23.1	44.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.5	40.3	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	22.7	41.5	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.9	21.9	44.9	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	7.0	23.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.7	22.6	40.3	-4.9	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.0	15.2	31.2	+0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.1	18.5	38.5	+1.6	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.5	41.0	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.5	43.0	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	22.1	40.2	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	21.6	42.6	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	10.0	32.0	+12.0	100%	-

AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illiabum

31-41

-10

A07/01

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

50-30

+20

A14/01

Proliga

Galomar

46-45

H21/01

Proliga

Maia

37-41

-4

A28/01

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

39-31

H05/02

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

56-40

+16

A18/02

Proliga

Belenenses

#13

37-35

A26/02

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

45-45

A04/03

Proliga

Benfica Lisboa B

#12

45-36

H11/03

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

31-42

-11

H18/03

Proliga

80.3Avg total

41.7Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	40.2	78.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	41.1	77.7	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	39.3	79.8	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	38.6	80.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.5	45.3	82.8	-7.8	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.7	35.2	70.8	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	64%	-

This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BelenensesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Portimonense

38-34

H07/01

Proliga

CA Queluz

#11

42-33

A14/01

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

45-42

H21/01

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

48-47

A28/01

Proliga

Benfica Lisboa B

#12

40-51

-11

H05/02

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

48-37

+11

H19/02

Proliga

Academica

35-37

-2

H26/02

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

47-47

H05/03

Proliga

Maia

34-47

-13

A11/03

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

30-46

-16

A18/03

Proliga

82.8Avg total

40.7Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.3	83.5	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	44.7	87.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	41.9	79.3	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.8	81.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.9	44.8	81.7	-7.9	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.9	43.6	87.4	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	17.0	55.0	+21.0	100%	-

This opponent (Academica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.1	38.7	-1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.8	24.8	43.6	-5.9	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.5	13.8	29.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.2	91%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.3	18.1	35.5	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	17.9	35.9	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.1	18.5	37.5	+0.6	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	20.5	40.3	-0.8	47%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.4	77.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	37.6	74.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.3	79.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	36.6	75.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.8	44.8	82.6	-6.9	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.8	34.3	68.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.7	35.9	75.6	+3.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	41.9	83.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	38.3	76.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	41.8	82.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.1	38.7	75.7	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.9	41.9	84.7	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Academica wins

Belenenses wins

Date	Game	Score
26/02/23	Belenenses v Academica	78-80

Academicalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	H	Barreirense	67-79
11/03/23	H	Benfica Lisboa B	86-73
04/03/23	A	Ginasio Olhanense	85-75
26/02/23	A	Belenenses	80-78
18/02/23	A	Barreirense	90-75
05/02/23	H	Sampaense	82-53
28/01/23	A	Maia	70-76
21/01/23	H	Galomar	92-99
14/01/23	A	Galitos Aveiro	94-73
07/01/23	A	Illiabum	64-71

Belenenseslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	A	Electrico FC	68-86
11/03/23	A	Maia	71-91
05/03/23	H	Sampaense	82-87
26/02/23	H	Academica	78-80
19/02/23	H	Electrico FC	89-76
05/02/23	H	Benfica Lisboa B	91-84
28/01/23	A	Ginasio Olhanense	82-88
21/01/23	H	Barreirense	97-85
14/01/23	A	CA Queluz	78-87
07/01/23	H	Portimonense	77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica

Proliga 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	53%
Home	WLWWL	44%
Away	WLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	44%	60%
Points / game	77.4	73.6	80.8
Allowed / game	73.7	70.3	76.8
Point differential	+3.6	+3.2	+4.0
Avg total	151.1	143.9	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	44%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Belenenses

Proliga 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	37%
Home	WWWLL	40%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	37%	40%	33%
Points / game	83.4	86.7	79.7
Allowed / game	87.2	89.2	85.0
Point differential	-3.8	-2.5	-5.3
Avg total	170.6	175.9	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Galomar	20	17	3	85%	83.0	72.5	+10.5
2	Illiabum	20	14	6	70%	80.5	72.9	+7.6
3	Santo Andre	20	14	6	70%	83.8	79.3	+4.5
4	Galitos Barreiro	19	13	6	68%	82.7	76.2	+6.5
5	Portimonense	20	13	7	65%	78.5	74.7	+3.9
6	Galitos Aveiro	20	12	8	60%	76.2	75.5	+0.7
7	Academica	19	10	9	53%	77.4	73.7	+3.6
8	Maia	19	10	9	53%	77.8	77.3	+0.5
9	Vasco Da Gama	19	10	9	53%	81.9	81.6	+0.3
10	CA Queluz	21	8	13	38%	84.8	86.0	-1.2
11	Belenenses	19	7	12	37%	83.4	87.2	-3.8
12	Barreirense	19	6	13	32%	83.8	89.1	-5.3
13	Ginasio Olhanense	20	6	14	30%	80.1	82.5	-2.4
14	Benfica Lisboa B	20	6	14	30%	72.2	80.5	-8.2
15	Electrico FC	20	6	14	30%	71.0	79.2	-8.2
16	Sampaense	19	5	14	26%	76.3	85.5	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Academica	18	29	18	23	88
Belenenses	18	24	20	19	81

← all games of the day

Academica vs Belenenses Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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