Academica vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2013

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 79-74 (OT)

20-19 16-12 16-26 15-10 12-7

Position#3

Record21-10

FormWLWLL

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game69.3

Academica 🏆

Benfica

Position#1

Record27-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game64.8

LPBLPB - Final

Other2012-13

Meetings · Academica v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Academica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sampaense

71-83

-12

H21/04

LPB

Sampaense

86-65

+21

A27/04

LPB

Sampaense

90-83

A28/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

74-91

-17

A04/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-59

+17

A05/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-58

+18

H11/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

83-89

-6

H12/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

79-76

A15/05

LPB

Benfica

67-69

-2

A18/05

LPB

Benfica

62-94

-32

A19/05

LPB

22-22

9-21

14-20

26-20

26-14

25-16

19-13

16-22

20-29

24-9

22-23

24-22

14-25

20-24

20-18

20-24

–

14-17

18-10

21-20

23-11

17-21

30-25

18-24

18-19

15-21

14-17

30-21

20-17

15-15

21-21

12-17

19-16

11-21

12-22

18-27

21-24

153.1Avg total

76.4Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	73.3	69.3	142.6	+4.0	68%
Season at home (14)	71.6	65.5	137.1	+6.1	71%
Season away (17)	74.8	72.5	147.2	+2.3	65%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	76.7	153.1	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	77.2	150.6	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	67.5	81.8	149.2	-14.2	0%
vs Similar (9)	75.3	72.1	147.4	+3.2	67%
vs Weaker (17)	73.9	65.2	139.1	+8.6	82%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

88-63

+25

H06/04

LPB

Ovarense

78-62

+16

A13/04

LPB

Lusitania

102-74

102

+28

H20/04

LPB

Lusitania

92-64

+28

H21/04

LPB

Lusitania

89-65

+24

A27/04

LPB

Ovarense

88-55

+33

H04/05

LPB

Ovarense

70-50

+20

H05/05

LPB

Ovarense

78-67

+11

A11/05

LPB

Academica

69-67

H18/05

LPB

Academica

94-62

+32

H19/05

LPB

29-18

19-5

20-17

20-23

15-20

22-12

14-17

27-13

28-14

30-11

32-19

12-30

26-16

15-9

22-19

29-20

20-18

27-14

21-14

21-19

22-16

14-11

26-9

26-19

18-6

12-16

20-15

20-13

18-16

18-12

18-15

24-24

15-15

21-21

17-12

16-19

21-11

22-12

27-18

24-21

147.7Avg total

84.8Scored

62.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	84.6	64.8	149.4	+19.9	96%
Season at home (16)	88.3	65.1	153.4	+23.2	94%
Season away (12)	79.7	64.2	143.9	+15.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	62.9	147.7	+21.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	60.2	140.0	+19.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	60.5	63.5	124.0	-3.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	84.6	64.8	149.4	+19.9	96%

This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AcademicaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.5	17.3	34.8	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	16.4	33.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.4	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	19.0	33.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.6	18.5	34.1	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	14.9	35.5	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	14.1	35.4	+7.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.4	16.1	35.5	+3.3	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	12.8	31.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	14.0	12.0	26.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.7	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.5	17.0	34.6	+0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	15.4	32.9	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	18.3	37.6	+0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.8	21.8	36.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	17.5	15.4	32.9	+2.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	13.9	34.3	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	12.7	33.5	+8.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	15.4	35.4	+4.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	12.3	32.3	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	14.4	31.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.6	13.6	34.3	+7.0	78%	-

AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sampaense

31-43

-12

H21/04

LPB

Sampaense

51-30

+21

A27/04

LPB

Sampaense

44-38

A28/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

34-49

-15

A04/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-27

H11/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-46

H12/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-38

-9

A15/05

LPB

Benfica

36-36

A18/05

LPB

Benfica

23-43

-20

A19/05

LPB

75.2Avg total

36.3Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.0	34.3	69.4	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.9	31.7	66.6	+3.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.3	38.9	75.2	-2.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	38.0	71.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	32.0	38.5	70.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	34.6	36.6	71.2	-2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	35.9	32.3	68.2	+3.6	71%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

48-23

+25

H06/04

LPB

Ovarense

37-32

A13/04

LPB

Lusitania

58-25

+33

H20/04

LPB

Lusitania

41-25

+16

H21/04

LPB

Lusitania

47-32

+15

A27/04

LPB

Ovarense

36-27

H04/05

LPB

Ovarense

30-22

H05/05

LPB

Ovarense

36-28

A11/05

LPB

Academica

36-36

H18/05

LPB

Academica

43-23

+20

H19/05

LPB

68.5Avg total

41.2Scored

27.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.0	28.8	69.8	+12.2	86%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	26.8	68.9	+15.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.4	31.5	70.9	+7.9	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	27.3	68.5	+13.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	27.2	63.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	30.0	32.0	62.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.4	28.7	70.1	+12.7	89%	-

This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	16.9	33.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.0	23.2	39.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.5	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.2	16.5	38.7	+5.6	82%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	17.3	40.8	+6.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	15.5	35.9	+4.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.5	37.2	+6.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	13.8	35.4	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.4	16.4	38.9	+6.0	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	16.9	37.5	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.8	16.3	37.1	+4.5	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.9	41.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	17.2	37.1	+2.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.7	18.7	39.3	+2.0	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	35.5	73.9	+2.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.7	33.8	70.5	+2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	37.1	77.0	+2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.5	43.2	78.8	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.6	37.1	77.8	+3.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	37.9	32.9	70.9	+5.0	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.8	35.3	78.1	+7.5	75%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	37.2	82.0	+7.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.2	32.8	73.0	+7.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	35.6	79.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	33.0	76.6	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	35.0	42.0	77.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.1	35.1	78.2	+8.0	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Academica wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/13	Benfica v Academica	94-62
18/05/13	Benfica v Academica	69-67
10/02/13	Benfica v Academica	93-79
10/11/12	Academica v Benfica	62-71
22/04/12	Academica v Benfica	67-75
21/04/12	Academica v Benfica	63-62
15/04/12	Benfica v Academica	65-49
14/04/12	Benfica v Academica	81-58
03/03/12	Benfica v Academica	90-70
26/11/11	Academica v Benfica	66-74

Academicalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/13	A	Benfica	62-94
18/05/13	A	Benfica	67-69
15/05/13	A	CAB Madeira	79-76
12/05/13	H	CAB Madeira	83-89
11/05/13	H	CAB Madeira	76-58
05/05/13	A	CAB Madeira	76-59
04/05/13	A	CAB Madeira	74-91
28/04/13	A	Sampaense	90-83
27/04/13	A	Sampaense	86-65
21/04/13	H	Sampaense	71-83

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/13	H	Academica	94-62
18/05/13	H	Academica	69-67
11/05/13	A	Ovarense	78-67
05/05/13	H	Ovarense	70-50
04/05/13	H	Ovarense	88-55
27/04/13	A	Lusitania	89-65
21/04/13	H	Lusitania	92-64
20/04/13	H	Lusitania	102-74
13/04/13	A	Ovarense	78-62
06/04/13	H	Barreirense	88-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	68%
Home	WWLWL	71%
Away	LWWLL	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	14	17
Win %	68%	71%	65%
Points / game	73.3	71.6	74.8
Allowed / game	69.3	65.5	72.5
Point differential	+4.0	+6.1	+2.3
Avg total	142.6	137.1	147.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	29%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (11)	100% (4)	57% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	16	12
Win %	96%	94%	100%
Points / game	84.6	88.3	79.7
Allowed / game	64.8	65.1	64.2
Point differential	+19.9	+23.2	+15.4
Avg total	149.4	153.4	143.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	81%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	4%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	28	27	1	96%	84.6	64.8	+19.9
2	CAB Madeira	30	21	9	70%	75.9	69.0	+6.9
3	Academica	31	21	10	68%	73.3	69.3	+4.0
4	Ovarense	28	16	12	57%	71.6	72.4	-0.8
5	Vitoria	25	13	12	52%	78.4	76.2	+2.2
6	Sampaense	24	10	14	42%	71.4	79.8	-8.4
7	Barcelos	25	10	15	40%	74.5	78.6	-4.1
8	Lusitania	23	8	15	35%	65.5	73.2	-7.7
9	Torres Vedras	20	6	14	30%	65.0	71.3	-6.3
10	Alges	20	3	17	15%	71.5	78.5	-6.9
11	Barreirense	20	2	18	10%	69.5	78.3	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Academica	20	16	16	15	12	79
Benfica	19	12	26	10	7	74

← all games of the day

Academica vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature