Acadia vs Saint Marys Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 70-96

17-19 20-28 17-24 16-25

Position#38

Record4-9

FormWWLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game80.2

Acadia

Saint Marys 🏆

Position#4

Record12-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game71.0

U Sports

Other2018-19

Meetings · Acadia v Saint Marys

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Acadia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Saint Marys winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Acadia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UPEI

#41

92-81

+11

H11/11

U Sports

Memorial

#39

76-88

-12

A17/11

U Sports

Memorial

#39

59-74

-15

A18/11

U Sports

StFX

#33

75-89

-14

H25/11

U Sports

Dalhousie

75-69

H06/01

U Sports

Memorial

#39

66-54

+12

H12/01

U Sports

Memorial

#39

79-69

+10

H13/01

U Sports

UNB

#15

64-79

-15

H19/01

U Sports

Cape Breton

#26

56-82

-26

A20/01

U Sports

Saint Marys

93-103

103

-10

H25/01

U Sports

23-15

18-27

30-17

21-22

21-17

18-29

18-19

19-23

8-15

16-19

11-16

24-24

21-22

20-23

18-26

16-18

13-16

12-16

27-19

23-18

16-18

13-16

21-16

16-4

23-19

11-26

29-20

16-4

14-14

8-24

23-26

19-15

9-22

15-15

13-26

19-19

18-22

27-29

19-30

29-22

152.3Avg total

73.5Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.6	80.2	154.8	-5.5	31%
Season at home (8)	76.6	76.9	153.5	-0.2	50%
Season away (5)	71.4	85.4	156.8	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	78.8	152.3	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	77.4	149.0	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	73.4	82.6	156.0	-9.2	31%
vs Similar (10)	77.3	79.0	156.3	-1.7	40%
vs Weaker (7)	85.3	69.3	154.6	+16.0	86%

This opponent (Saint Marys) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Saint Marys Canada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Memorial

#39

86-78

A11/11

U Sports

UPEI

#41

83-68

+15

A17/11

U Sports

UPEI

#41

84-47

+37

A18/11

U Sports

Dalhousie

73-68 OT

A24/11

U Sports

StFX

#33

84-64

+20

H05/01

U Sports

UPEI

#41

92-74

+18

H12/01

U Sports

UPEI

#41

100-60

100

+40

H13/01

U Sports

Dalhousie

69-63

H16/01

U Sports

UNB

#15

85-71

+14

H20/01

U Sports

Acadia

#38

103-93

103

+10

A25/01

U Sports

24-19

15-18

20-17

27-24

25-15

22-17

20-13

16-23

14-13

20-2

24-16

26-16

9-11

17-16

18-12

16-21

19-11

19-15

24-23

22-15

25-21

20-14

27-20

20-19

28-12

26-14

24-21

22-13

9-19

17-10

24-8

19-26

15-18

21-18

23-24

26-11

22-18

29-27

30-19

22-29

154.5Avg total

85.9Scored

68.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	86.8	71.0	157.8	+15.8	100%
Season at home (7)	87.6	71.1	158.7	+16.4	100%
Season away (5)	85.8	70.8	156.6	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	68.6	154.5	+17.3	100%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	72.2	162.0	+17.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	65.0	75.5	140.5	-10.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	85.9	87.1	173.0	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.0	71.2	157.2	+14.9	95%

This opponent (Acadia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AcadiaSaint Marys

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.1	20.2	37.2	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	17.1	37.6	+3.3	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	15.7	35.9	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.7	34.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.6	19.8	35.4	-4.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	22.4	38.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	22.0	36.8	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.6	20.9	36.5	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	16.3	36.8	+4.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	15.8	36.3	+4.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	16.7	37.3	+3.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	15.1	35.7	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	15.8	37.5	+5.8	85%	-

AcadiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UPEI

#41

41-42

-1

H11/11

U Sports

Memorial

#39

39-46

-7

A17/11

U Sports

Memorial

#39

24-34

-10

A18/11

U Sports

StFX

#33

41-45

-4

H25/11

U Sports

Dalhousie

25-32

-7

H06/01

U Sports

Memorial

#39

29-34

-5

H12/01

U Sports

Memorial

#39

34-45

-11

H13/01

U Sports

UNB

#15

22-38

-16

H19/01

U Sports

Cape Breton

#26

24-37

-13

A20/01

U Sports

Saint Marys

45-51

-6

H25/01

U Sports

72.8Avg total

32.4Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	38.8	74.3	-3.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.9	39.0	72.9	-5.1	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	38.6	75.9	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.4	40.4	72.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	41.0	71.8	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	32.7	41.1	73.8	-8.4	8%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.1	38.8	73.9	-3.7	20%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.3	34.6	75.9	+6.7	43%	-

This opponent (Saint Marys) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Saint MarysLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Memorial

#39

39-37

A11/11

U Sports

UPEI

#41

47-32

+15

A17/11

U Sports

UPEI

#41

34-15

+19

A18/11

U Sports

Dalhousie

26-27

-1

A24/11

U Sports

StFX

#33

38-26

+12

H05/01

U Sports

UPEI

#41

45-35

+10

H12/01

U Sports

UPEI

#41

54-26

+28

H13/01

U Sports

Dalhousie

26-29

-3

H16/01

U Sports

UNB

#15

36-36

H20/01

U Sports

Acadia

#38

51-45

A25/01

U Sports

70.4Avg total

39.6Scored

30.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	33.3	72.8	+6.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	31.5	72.2	+9.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	35.0	73.5	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	30.8	70.4	+8.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	34.2	76.6	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.8	34.6	75.4	+6.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.9	32.5	72.4	+7.3	75%	-

This opponent (Acadia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	19.1	42.6	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.5	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.4	15.6	38.0	+6.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	18.4	41.3	+4.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.3	40.7	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.4	44.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	21.5	36.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	24.1	45.8	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.5	17.9	41.4	+5.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.1	37.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	12.8	32.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.1	41.5	+1.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	24.9	44.0	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	20.4	42.4	+1.7	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.5	79.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	37.2	79.9	+5.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	40.1	79.7	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.4	79.5	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.4	77.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	40.7	41.5	82.2	-0.8	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.1	37.3	77.4	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.0	34.7	78.7	+9.3	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.2	84.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	43.9	86.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	38.5	82.8	+5.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	38.0	85.4	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	40.5	73.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.8	49.0	89.8	-8.2	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.5	38.2	83.8	+7.3	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Acadia wins

Saint Marys wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/19	Acadia v Saint Marys	93-103
03/11/18	Saint Marys v Acadia	94-81
01/11/18	Saint Marys v Acadia	89-85
10/02/18	Saint Marys v Acadia	104-96 OT
02/02/18	Acadia v Saint Marys	79-82
12/02/17	Saint Marys v Acadia	93-90
14/01/17	Acadia v Saint Marys	90-82
05/11/16	Saint Marys v Acadia	97-89
03/11/16	Acadia v Saint Marys	77-86
24/02/16	Acadia v Saint Marys	74-90

Acadialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/19	H	Saint Marys	93-103
20/01/19	A	Cape Breton	56-82
19/01/19	H	UNB	64-79
13/01/19	H	Memorial	79-69
12/01/19	H	Memorial	66-54
06/01/19	H	Dalhousie	75-69
25/11/18	H	StFX	75-89
18/11/18	A	Memorial	59-74
17/11/18	A	Memorial	76-88
11/11/18	H	UPEI	92-81

Saint Maryslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/19	A	Acadia	103-93
20/01/19	H	UNB	85-71
16/01/19	H	Dalhousie	69-63
13/01/19	H	UPEI	100-60
12/01/19	H	UPEI	92-74
05/01/19	H	StFX	84-64
24/11/18	A	Dalhousie	73-68 OT
18/11/18	A	UPEI	84-47
17/11/18	A	UPEI	83-68
11/11/18	A	Memorial	86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Acadia

U Sports 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	31%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	31%	50%	0%
Points / game	74.6	76.6	71.4
Allowed / game	80.2	76.9	85.4
Point differential	-5.5	-0.2	-14.0
Avg total	154.8	153.5	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Saint Marys

U Sports 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.8	87.6	85.8
Allowed / game	71.0	71.1	70.8
Point differential	+15.8	+16.4	+15.0
Avg total	157.8	158.7	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	71%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	17	17	0	100%	91.9	57.5	+34.5
2	Calgary	17	17	0	100%	90.6	67.1	+23.5
3	Saint Marys	12	12	0	100%	86.8	71.0	+15.8
4	TMU	17	16	1	94%	87.4	60.5	+26.9
5	UBC	17	16	1	94%	95.8	73.5	+22.3
6	Concordia	11	9	2	82%	83.1	75.3	+7.8
7	Regina	18	13	5	72%	85.6	78.7	+6.9
8	Laurier	18	13	5	72%	83.7	78.0	+5.7
9	Alberta	17	12	5	71%	84.1	71.5	+12.6
10	University of Ottawa	17	12	5	71%	81.4	73.6	+7.7
11	Western	17	12	5	71%	75.2	73.4	+1.8
12	Winnipeg	18	12	6	67%	92.2	85.6	+6.7
13	Brock	17	11	6	65%	87.0	79.5	+7.5
14	UFV	17	11	6	65%	78.2	76.5	+1.7
15	UNB	14	9	5	64%	83.9	79.6	+4.2
16	Lethbridge	17	10	7	59%	93.6	79.7	+13.9
17	Saskatchewan	17	10	7	59%	85.6	85.2	+0.5
18	Cape Breton	12	7	5	58%	84.9	82.2	+2.8
19	Laurentian	17	9	8	53%	83.9	83.8	+0.2
20	Queens	17	9	8	53%	74.6	74.8	-0.2
21	Dalhousie	12	6	6	50%	75.4	73.0	+2.4
22	McGill	8	4	4	50%	70.1	71.8	-1.6
23	UNBC	17	8	9	47%	80.0	79.1	+0.9
24	Manitoba	17	8	9	47%	75.8	77.2	-1.4
25	McMaster	17	8	9	47%	80.1	84.1	-4.0
26	UQAM	9	4	5	44%	76.4	76.1	+0.3
27	Laval	9	4	5	44%	75.9	78.3	-2.4
28	Victoria	17	7	10	41%	76.8	80.1	-3.3
29	Toronto	17	7	10	41%	73.8	83.1	-9.4
30	Guelph	18	7	11	39%	78.5	85.3	-6.8
31	Mount Royal	18	7	11	39%	79.3	87.1	-7.7
32	UBC Okanagan	19	7	12	37%	71.1	87.7	-16.6
33	Thompson Rivers	17	6	11	35%	77.1	81.8	-4.8
34	Memorial	12	4	8	33%	76.9	78.0	-1.1
35	StFX	12	4	8	33%	81.0	86.4	-5.4
36	Windsor	18	6	12	33%	69.8	82.6	-12.8
37	Acadia	13	4	9	31%	74.6	80.2	-5.5
38	UPEI	13	4	9	31%	70.7	83.1	-12.4
39	Lakehead	17	5	12	29%	76.6	83.3	-6.6
40	York	17	5	12	29%	78.9	87.4	-8.5
41	Bishop's	11	3	8	27%	78.5	83.4	-4.9
42	Algoma	17	4	13	24%	74.1	86.4	-12.3
43	Waterloo	17	3	14	18%	73.9	86.8	-12.8
44	Nipissing	17	2	15	12%	71.2	81.2	-10.0
45	Brandon	17	2	15	12%	80.6	92.2	-11.5
46	MacEwan	17	1	16	6%	72.2	91.4	-19.2
47	Trinity Western	17	0	17	0%	72.3	95.2	-22.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Acadia	17	20	17	16	70
Saint Marys	19	28	24	25	96

← all games of the day

Acadia vs Saint Marys Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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