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Achilleas K. vs Morphou Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 78-80
Projected total 157.6
Scheduled
Position#10
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game91.6
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Vs
42%
58%
■ ACHI 42%■ MORP 58%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Morphou
Cyprus
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.0
CyprusDivision ARound 6· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Achilleas K. v Morphou
15 Nov 2026
ACHI v MORP
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
ACHI65
MORP71
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Achilleas K. will host Morphou on 15 November 2026 in Division A, with the model favouring Morphou at 58% to 42% for the home side, projecting a close 78-80 score and a total of 157.6 points; the home team's line is 3.5 with a 53% chance of covering, while the over on the 156.5 line has a 52% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Achilleas K. is 0-5 in the season, averaging 74.4 points and allowing 91.6, and has gone 0-3 at home with 77.3 points and 93.7 allowed; their last five were all losses, including 78-93 to ETHA Engomi, 82-96 to Paralimni, and 62-84 to Apoel BC. Morphou is 1-4 overall, scoring 70.0 and conceding 83.0, and has gone 0-3 on the road with 65.3 points and 79.3 allowed; their last five contain one win, 76-74 over Anorthosis, and losses to AEK Larnaca and AEL. In previous meetings Morphou has won both of the two encounters, most recently 71-65 on 4 January 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. win
41.9%fair 2.39
Best odds2.30
Implied41.1%
Edge+0.8pp
Morphou win
58.1%fair 1.72
Best odds1.57
Implied58.9%
Edge-0.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
64-94
64
94
-30
52avg 62
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 62
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 62
H06/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
66avg 62
A13/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 62
H06/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
62-95
62
95
-33
6avg 62
H10/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
86avg 62
H16/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
62-84
62
84
-22
54avg 62
A23/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 62
H01/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A06/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-22
20-30
12-21
18-20
16-16
15-26
24-20
20-24
20-24
23-29
27-15
16-23
15-23
21-11
13-19
18-22
19-29
22-24
21-15
14-31
20-26
14-20
14-18
21-24
30-14
16-17
12-24
10-19
22-28
13-21
17-16
30-26
15-29
20-24
17-17
21-19
13-28
23-26
21-20
163.6Avg total
74.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.491.6166.0-17.20%
Season at home (3)77.393.7171.0-16.30%
Season away (2)70.088.5158.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)74.489.2163.6-14.80%
Last 5 (5)74.491.6166.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.186.7158.8-14.68%
vs Similar (4)76.581.8158.2-5.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Morphou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 61
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
51avg 61
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 61
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 61
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 61
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
23avg 61
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 61
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 61
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
49-71
49
71
-22
35avg 61
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
H08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
26-16
17-20
18-30
17-24
20-23
18-17
14-11
24-21
27-21
22-24
20-25
12-32
19-15
20-23
22-26
21-24
16-19
17-24
19-22
17-19
14-9
17-22
17-26
22-24
21-19
18-35
21-13
24-20
16-20
23-22
13-12
11-20
15-22
13-19
10-10
10-29
18-25
33-21
17-28
159.1Avg total
73.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Season at home (2)77.088.5165.5-11.550%
Season away (3)65.379.3144.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)73.385.8159.1-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.888.3163.1-13.513%
vs Similar (6)74.875.0149.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)92.588.5181.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5
Over 151.5
63.8%
Under 151.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.5 · main line
Over 156.5
51.9%
@ 1.85+1.9pp
Under 156.5
48.1%
@ 1.85-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
40.0%
Under 161.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Achilleas K. total 72.5
Over 72.5
68.8%
@ 1.37+5.0pp
Under 72.5
31.2%
@ 2.42-5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.42
Achilleas K. total 76.5 · main line
Over 76.5
54.1%
@ 1.83+3.8pp
Under 76.5
45.9%
@ 1.91-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.71
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Achilleas K. total 80.5
Over 80.5
38.9%
@ 2.35+1.7pp
Under 80.5
61.1%
@ 1.39-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.39
Morphou total 76
Over 76
65.4%
Under 76
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morphou total 80 · main line
Over 80
49.7%
@ 1.83+0.2pp
Under 80
50.3%
@ 1.83-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.69
Morphou total 84
Over 84
34.0%
Under 84
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Achilleas K. +0.5
ACHI +0.5
41.9%
MORP -0.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
ACHI
No market prices yet.
MORP
No market prices yet.
Spread Achilleas K. +3.5 · main line
ACHI +3.5
52.5%
@ 1.85+2.5pp
MORP -3.5
47.5%
@ 1.85-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
ACHI
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
MORP
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Spread Achilleas K. +6.5
ACHI +6.5
63.8%
@ 1.55+3.0pp
MORP -6.5
36.2%
@ 2.26-3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
ACHI
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.46
MORP
1xBet
2.26

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
Achilleas K.Morphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A13/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H10/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H16/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H01/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A06/11
Division A
83.8Avg total
37.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)35.042.877.8-7.817%47%
Last 30 at home (16)36.443.980.3-7.619%62%
Last 30 away (14)33.441.574.9-8.114%29%
Last 10 (10)37.046.883.8-9.810%70%
Last 5 (5)39.248.888.0-9.620%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.844.078.8-9.112%50%
vs Similar (4)36.035.271.2+0.850%25%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Morphou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H08/11
Division A
79.2Avg total
36.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (23)36.143.579.6-7.417%61%
Last 30 at home (11)36.542.579.1-6.027%64%
Last 30 away (12)35.744.380.0-8.78%58%
Last 10 (10)36.442.879.2-6.420%80%
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.642.878.4-7.220%67%
vs Similar (6)33.042.875.8-9.80%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%100%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
ACHI win
no forecast
@ 2.12
MORP win
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Achilleas K. +1.5 · main line
ACHI +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
MORP -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Achilleas K. 1st half total 37.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Morphou 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half: ACHI + total 76.5
ACHI & over
no forecast
@ 4.10
ACHI & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half: Draw + total 76.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: MORP + total 76.5
MORP & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
MORP & under
no forecast
@ 3.35
1st half Over/Under 76.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Achilleas K. +2.5
ACHI +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.63
MORP -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
1st half Spread Achilleas K. +3.5
ACHI +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
MORP -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
ACHI
no forecast
@ 2.20
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
MORP
no forecast
@ 1.71

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ACHI win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
MORP win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ACHI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MORP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ACHI:MORP): ACHI wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.2
47.9%
52.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.8
35.3%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.211.4
66.3%
72.9%11.4
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.9%11.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLLLLL
Morphou
LLWLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#8
-23.1
Net rating
-6.8
83.9
Offensive rating
85.6
107.0
Defensive rating
92.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
45.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
28.4%
68.4%
Assist %
65.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence83.9 · 85.6Defence107.0 · 92.4Shooting49.8% · 45.2%3-point %35.3% · 28.4%Ball care17.8% · 14.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ Morphou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Achilleas K. wins
2
Morphou wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Achilleas K. v Morphou65-71
17/10/25Morphou v Achilleas K.81-80
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AETHA Engomi78-93
01/11/26HParalimni82-96
23/10/26AApoel BC62-84
16/10/26HApollon88-90 OT
10/10/26HKeravnos62-95
06/03/26HApoel BC80-90
13/02/26AAEL65-76
06/02/26HAEK Larnaca90-92
01/02/26AApollon73-82
25/01/26HKeravnos64-94
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-103
30/10/26AAEL49-71
25/10/26HAnorthosis76-74
18/10/26AKeravnos82-91
09/10/26AETHA Engomi65-76
07/03/26AParalimni73-89
14/02/26AKeravnos73-96
08/02/26HETHA Engomi93-91
02/02/26AApoel BC69-75
24/01/26HAEL75-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.477.370.0
Allowed / game91.693.788.5
Point differential-17.2-16.3-18.5
Avg total166.0171.0158.5
Over 156.580%100%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Morphou
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.077.065.3
Allowed / game83.088.579.3
Point differential-13.0-11.5-14.0
Avg total153.0165.5144.7
Over 156.540%50%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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