Morphou will host AEK Larnaca on 8 November 2026 in Division A, with the model clearly favouring the latter as the powerhouse, a 94% chance of victory driven by their flawless 4-0 record, 86.2 points per game and 67.5 points allowed per game, placing them first in the league. Morphou, meanwhile, sits seventh with a 1-3 record, averaging 68.0 points scored and 78.0 points allowed, and has won only one of its four games, though it did win its sole home outing 76-74 against Anorthosis. AEK Larnaca's road form is spotless, 2-0 with 87.5 points per game and 65.0 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, including a 91-72 win over Morphou on 17 January 2026. The projected score is 71-89, with a total of 160.0 points; the home team faces a 17.5-point spread and a 49% chance to cover, while the over on the 148.5 line has a 76% probability. Overtime is unlikely, with only a 1% chance. The next game will see AEK Larnaca extend its unbeaten run.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 68.0 | 78.0 | 146.0 | -10.0 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 76.0 | 74.0 | 150.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 65.3 | 79.3 | 144.7 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.7 | 84.6 | 157.3 | -11.9 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.0 | 80.2 | 149.2 | -11.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 74.6 | 87.3 | 161.9 | -12.7 | 14% |
| vs Similar (6) | 74.8 | 75.0 | 149.8 | -0.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 92.5 | 88.5 | 181.0 | +4.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 86.2 | 67.5 | 153.8 | +18.8 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 85.0 | 70.0 | 155.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 87.5 | 65.0 | 152.5 | +22.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.3 | 76.7 | 160.0 | +6.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.0 | 75.6 | 159.6 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 72.3 | 80.0 | 152.3 | -7.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (7) | 78.0 | 76.6 | 154.6 | +1.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 86.5 | 74.9 | 161.4 | +11.5 | 89% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (22) | 36.5 | 43.0 | 79.5 | -6.5 | 18% | 73% |
| Last 30 at home (10) | 37.4 | 41.4 | 78.8 | -4.0 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 35.7 | 44.3 | 80.0 | -8.7 | 8% | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.0 | 41.7 | 78.7 | -4.7 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.4 | 39.2 | 74.6 | -3.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 36.1 | 42.0 | 78.1 | -5.9 | 21% | 71% |
| vs Similar (6) | 33.0 | 42.8 | 75.8 | -9.8 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 49.0 | 50.5 | 99.5 | -1.5 | 50% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.4 | 40.3 | 83.7 | +3.1 | 50% | 83% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.5 | 39.1 | 84.6 | +6.5 | 60% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.3 | 41.5 | 82.9 | -0.2 | 40% | 93% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.1 | 40.1 | 84.2 | +4.0 | 60% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 41.0 | 87.4 | +5.4 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 36.0 | 45.3 | 81.3 | -9.3 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (7) | 40.3 | 39.1 | 79.4 | +1.1 | 29% | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 46.1 | 39.7 | 85.8 | +6.4 | 68% | 89% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 150 | 73.6% | 1.94 | 1.94 | - | - | - | - | +26.9pp | Won |
| Over 149 | 75.6% | 1.83 | 1.86 | 1.79 | - | - | - | +26.8pp | Won |
| Over 148 | 77.6% | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.71 | - | - | - | +26.6pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 72.1% | 1.95 | 1.98 | 1.92 | - | - | - | +26.5pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 74.1% | 1.86 | 1.90 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +26.4pp | Won |
| Over 147 | 79.4% | 1.70 | 1.70 | - | - | - | - | +26.1pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 76.1% | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 1.83 | +26.1pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 78.0% | 1.71 | 1.74 | 1.67 | - | - | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 79.8% | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.61 | - | - | - | +25.5pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 82 | 76.8% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +23.5pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 82.5 | 74.4% | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.62 | - | +22.6pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 83 | 73.5% | 1.72 | 1.76 | 1.68 | - | - | - | +22.0pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 83.5 | 71.0% | 1.81 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.73 | +21.0pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 81.5 | 77.5% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 80.5 | 80.4% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 79.5 | 83.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 78.5 | 85.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca over 77.5 | 87.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +17.6pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca (regulation) | 92.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| AEK Larnaca win | 93.7% | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.02 | +2.8pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 83.1% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 145 | 82.8% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 81.5% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 146 | 81.2% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.8 | 17.8 | 52.0% | 35.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.1 | 7.4 | 34.4% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.4 | 11.9 | 72.9% | 11.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.7 | 22.7 | 52.0% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.0 | 7.4 | 34.4% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.0 | 16.1 | 72.9% | 16.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 | AEK Larnaca v Morphou | 91-72 |
| 01/11/25 | Morphou v AEK Larnaca | 71-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | AEL | 49-71 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Anorthosis | 76-74 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Keravnos | 82-91 |
| 09/10/26 | A | ETHA Engomi | 65-76 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Paralimni | 73-89 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Keravnos | 73-96 |
| 08/02/26 | H | ETHA Engomi | 93-91 |
| 02/02/26 | A | Apoel BC | 69-75 |
| 24/01/26 | H | AEL | 75-92 |
| 17/01/26 | A | AEK Larnaca | 72-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | A | Iraklis | 64-81 |
| 31/10/26 | H | ETHA Engomi | 87-61 |
| 27/10/26 | A | MZT Skopje | 85-69 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Paralimni | 85-74 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Tartu Ulikool | 99-93 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Apoel BC | 83-79 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Dziki Warszawa | 80-94 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Apollon | 90-56 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Wurzburg | 73-65 |
| 16/09/26 | A | CSM Oradea | 87-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWL | 25% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 68.0 | 76.0 | 65.3 |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 74.0 | 79.3 |
| Point differential | -10.0 | +2.0 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 146.0 | 150.0 | 144.7 |
| Over 148.5 | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 86.2 | 85.0 | 87.5 |
| Allowed / game | 67.5 | 70.0 | 65.0 |
| Point differential | +18.8 | +15.0 | +22.5 |
| Avg total | 153.8 | 155.0 | 152.5 |
| Over 148.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 86.2 | 67.5 | +18.8 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 75.2 | +14.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.8 | 70.0 | +7.8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.6 | 72.4 | +6.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 73.4 | 73.6 | -0.2 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.8 | 83.8 | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 68.0 | 78.0 | -10.0 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 71.2 | 86.2 | -15.0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 75.0 | 82.2 | -7.2 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 74.4 | 91.6 | -17.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 18 | 33 | 17 | 78 | |
| 29 | 25 | 21 | 28 | 103 |
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